What Would a Win at Wimbledon Mean for Federer?

Federer starts his title defense at the All England Club tomorrow against Alejandro Falla. It will be his sixth title defense and important one at that. Last year Federer came off a historical win in Paris on the back of two consecutive titles and had no shortage in confidence. Also, there was no Nadal in the draw which made his road to another historical win even easier. This year is a different story. He comes into Wimbledon on the back of his worst run of form for some time. He does not come into Wimbledon on the back of any titles, which is something that has not happened in 8 years. Also, the ever dangerous Nadal is back at Wimbledon this year, lurking in the bottom half of the draw. Clearly Federer faces his most challenging title defense ever. But at the same time he has so much to gain from a successful title defense.

No haircut yet Rog?(Source)

He would equal Sampras’ record 7 Wimbledon titles, and he would get a much needed confidence boost. The 2010 season would also already be a success, since any year you win two majors is a success. Even for the GOAT. This is the good thing about winning the first major of the year. You take a lot of pressure off yourself. So even though Roger has hardly done a thing since Australia, he has still more than enough time to make this year another successful one. One major a year is not bad for the GOAT, but since Roger won the first slam of the year, I’m sure he would have wanted to win at least one more. If he wins Wimbledon a fourth 3-slam year will be a possibility. But this title defense won’t be easy. I have a feeling Roger may need some luck if he is going to defend his title. Maybe he will have another close five set match like last year’s final and just manage to scrape by.


I just have some doubts about his confidence level. He made the final of Madrid, but then lost to Nadal in the final rather disappointingly. He then won his early rounds in Paris with ease, but still lost to Soderling in the quarter finals. I thought he would really get it together at Halle which he has owned since 2003, but managed to waste three consecutive break points on Hewitt’s serve. This all makes me worry for Roger, but at the same time he hasn’t lost it until he’s lost it. He didn’t go into the Australian Open with a heap of confidence either, but only dropped two sets on his way to the title. I have doubted Roger quite a lot of late, so I want to make up for it by being 100% behind him for another title defense. If he does not happen to win the title, I may ask some more questions. But right now I don’t want to think about that.

Lets keep Roger’s following words firmly in mind the following two weeks:

I definitely think every time I play I’ll have a chance to win here, there’s no doubt.”

You didn’t think I was ever going to fail Roger, did you? ;-)

Presser: There is no presser on the Wimby website, but there is this article with some quotes – http://www.wimbledon.org/en_GB/news/articles/2010-06-20/201006201277037821470.html

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19 Comments

  1. I sort of have a feeling this could end up being like the US Open 2008. A couple of dogfights early on, potentially against Berdych in the quarter finals. Really hoping he can win it!

    Actually I was reading over the old match reports on Bodo’s blog about that USO 08 the other day because I was bored, and it sort of made me appreciate him all over again and maybe not be so worried about his chances. Sounds cheesy, but it was a far bleaker landscape back then than it is now because of all the stuff that’s happened since, so that’s something I’m eternally thankful for as a fan!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    True. It doesnt really matter what he does from here on. But you wouldnt really think that from some of my blog posts.

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  2. The embarassment of all time was almost there. Any more excuses, Roger? That would’ve been clear cut the biggest upset in tennis history ever. If he doesn’t change from his excuses mentality, perhaps he better off retires. It’s ridiculous. Mind you, Falla was cramping and he couldn’t jump for his serves.

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    jason Reply:

    Every year Nike designed king-style apparels w/ gold hints, special just for Roger. They came close of having those nice apparels worn only for 1 match.

    Perhaps if he lost that match… maybe losing contracts w/ those franchises, it would really make him wake up & stop being stubborn. Let’s see how his post-match interview. If I have to bet, he’ll be in denial and looking for excuses again. I’m still a huge fan, but I get tired of this.

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  3. Guys guys guys! Chillax. I know it is hard to adjust from the killer Federer was to the struggles we sometimes witness these days…but I am sure Fed has more tennis in him yet.

    Did you guys see his interview? There was no denial there at all…he is perfectly aware that he should have lost that match today and was lucky to walk out of it. Let’s hope it can indeed propell him a la the Andreev match at the AO. There is tennis still to be played here!

    Let’s also not deny that Falla played superbly today. Kudos to him. I just think that being short on matches these days, Fed expects to play himself into these slams. The obvious pitfall is if you play a guy like Falla today…and get mugged early. Thankfully that didn’t happen and Fed made it through by the skin of his teeth. Like he said, the scores are now reset to 0-0!

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  4. In a way, it may even work in Federer’s favor in the long run. That’s what a timely wake-up call is (a la Andreev in AO as GLEN rightly mentioned). Well, it is up to Federer to come out of the slumber right now; if he does, I am sure, he will own 4th of July again. Otherwise, he himself has to blame for as God may not give him a second chance (all the time). The ball is on his court. We can only wish him good luck.

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  5. Someone said yesterday that loosing the first set was a good sign as he did the same thing in AO this year ending in winning the tournament. Still I am thinking that loosing two sets in Wimbledon can be a good sign and he will win the tournament. What about US Open he has to loose first 3 sets in tha first match in order to win the tournament?!
    Now seriously guys he played, actually is a matter of speaking “played”, poorly yesterday. I think as Ru-an is saying that he has a Nadal complex but yesterday he confused the not good looking, left handed, Spanish speaker for the first 4 sets. When he finally understood that the crowd is shouting “Alex, Alex, Alex” and not “Rafa, Rafa, Rafa” I think he started to come back… I have decided yesterday when Fala (in Romoanian means “Glory”) was leading 4:3 to let go the enormous pain that Roger is causing me. After all is just a game and he has almost the same amount of money as the sum of the other 9 players in the top 10. So if he wants to embarrass himself is his choice and I really have no reason to feel embarrassed myself.
    Still I couldn’t let go the joy that FINALLY he won. I am hardly waiting the next game in order to check if the “pain relief” strategy is working…
    On the other hand I agree with Jiten that the only thing we can do right now is to wish him good luck and not to fail this chance that God, really only God, gave him.
    After all he mentioned that “”I’ve lost many matches this season I should have won and today I won a match I should have lost. He played incredible”.
    “For some reason, I wasn’t able to read his serve. That really rattled me. I had to look for that for a long time. Thank God I found it eventually.

    “He played well. He’s unconventional. He doesn’t look like much, but he definitely plays very solid and plays very uncomfortable. I think he played terrific. He made it hard for me.”

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    jane Reply:

    hehe..gragos ..u are so funnie..are u watching the world cup..who are u supporting?

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    Dragos Reply:

    I am Romanian so logically I don’t support anyone because Romania is not there and is not going to be soon in a World cup. As a matter of fact I am a bit confused because I like Barcelona and Arsenal as club teams and I felt a bit sad when Spain lost against Swiss team. It is, if you want, exactly the opposite than a match between Roger and Nadal. Spain is playing an offensive football and Swiss is defending. You might appreciate a team that is defending but definitely you don’t like it. I like to watch South American teams as almost all the European teams disappointed me.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    I also prefer Spain over Switzerland. Spain is one of my favorites, along with Portugal and Brazil.

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    jane Reply:

    yeah..i like spain and m watching england now

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  6. The important thing is he came up with the goods on the crucial points. Especially that drop shot in the fourth that helped him get two break points, that may be the shot that let him climb back into the match.

    He’s missed on just a few big points in his recent matches, and that’s been the difference between winning and losing. He showed today that he can still convert on those key points, which is a good sign for this tournament.

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    Dragos Reply:

    I just read a good thing some minutes ago: “It is not enough for you to be lucky you need that others are unlucky in the same time”. Yesterday it worked but in the future I think Roger has to apply another Romanian ancient sign of wisdom saying: “the luck is as the man is making” meaning that he has to CREATE his own luck.
    I think that first sets the level of psychical wear out of Roger could have been seen. After all he had a standard that should be matched every game if he doesn’t want to be crucified by the press and the angry fans :-) . Fortunately he also has experience and I believe that Fala’s virginity of 5 setters was one of the weaknesses that experience told Roger it can be exploited.
    It seems that Nick Bollettiery himself watch the whole match and he confessed that he never believed that Roger will give up. It is the truth or just an image of the old saying: “after the war a lot of brave men show up”? I don’t know what to say I was praying yesterday as I never prayed before in my life. I might end up in having a very close connection with God because of our beloved Roger :-) . After all life is good…

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  7. Ru-an I suddenly have an “insight” about what you mean about “changing” mentality that Roger should have in order to beat Nadal. I was reading in the morning what Fala did after last defeat suffered from Roger in Halle. Alejandro mentioned this in hiss press conference: in Halle he lost because he had problems playing the balls sliced by Rooger in his forehand. What the Columbia guy did? He practiced last two weeks for being able to play this type of sliced balls in his forehand.
    When I said that there is no need for Roger to change his game I assumed that he is doing, and already for a long time now, the same thing practicing against that poisonous forehand topspin of Nadal. Who knows for sure if he is doing this or not? I am very, very curious about this issue.
    And Jane, if you are watching the game Nadal against that little samurai Nishikori you have noticed the comments like “a rally of 16 strokes against Nadal is like a rally of 50 strokes against anybody else”. Is this meaning that Nadal is not the most “powerful” player on the tour?

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  8. It was a BBC live streaming and I really don’t know who they were. It seemed to me that one of them was saying “isn’t it Mats?” but I am not sure. Anyhow they were talking in deep admiration about the fitness form of Nadal and about the wicked uncle that was forcing the poor hidalgo to, quote: “hit the ball harder and harder every time in order to develop the muscles”. Also one mentioned that after a practice of 2 hours with Nadal he felt like after 6 hours of regular training. I know you admire Nadal as an athlete but my personal opinion is that Roger is much more natural than him because is not looking so “Incredible Hulk” as Nadal is. It seems like to me like Nadal is a lab product. I am not trying to be ironic or to suggest anything but is just how I see things.

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