Well what an unexpected result we had today. Who would have ever expected Ferrer to beat Djokovic, never mind 6-3, 6-1. I missed both matches today so I can’t really understand how Djokovic could lose that badly. All that I can gather is that he made loads of unforced errors, a total of 33. He must have been really off his game. I mean it’s not like Ferrer can dominate him with attacking tennis. Apparently Ferrer served well, he struck his forehand well, and his defense was top notch. Still a very surprising result. But it goes to show that Djokovic really is struggling still, and that his grinding game style is costing him big time towards the end of the season. I keep saying this but I think he should have skipped Paris and focused on London. It looks to me now like he can’t qualify in the top position of his group anymore, which means if he qualifies he will have to play Roger probably.
I wouldn’t mind that. With the form Roger is in I can’t see him losing to this Djokovic. That would give Roger his second win for the year over Djokovic. And it could be a trashing like we saw last year. But Roger could play Berdych too, or Ferrer for that matter. Whoever Roger plays in the semis I think he will be confident that he can win. But the amazing thing about group A is that Ferrer might well qualify on top of the group after being the whipping boy of his group last year. Today Berdych was lucky to win against the sub Tipsarevic 2-6, 6-3, 7-6(6). Tipsarevic had a match point in the tie break but steered a backhand volley wide which would have had Berdych in trouble. That all but ended Tipsarevic’s chances of making semis. Tomorrow we will find out who qualifies second in group B when Tsonga and Nadal faces off.
Tsonga can still qualify on top of group B if he beats Nadal in straights and Roger loses to Fish, but the chances of that happening is so minute that we can pretty much eliminate it. Roger will probably beat Fish in straight sets, and then the winner of Tsonga and Nadal will qualify in second place. It looks like the winner there will then face Ferrer in the semis. So we are probably looking at a Roger vs Djokovic/Berdych and Ferrer vs Tsonga/Nadal semi. It is tough to say who will qualify, but I wouldn’t mind if it is Roger vs Djokovic and Ferrer vs Nadal. That way Roger has a good chance of beating Djokovic and Nadal again. But I think there is a good chance Tsonga will beat Nadal, in which case Roger could face Tsonga for the third time in two weeks if they both make the final.
I would be surprised if Ferrer made the final. I’d rather it be Tsonga or Nadal so that at least we have an exciting final. If it is Roger against Ferrer in the final it will be a blow out. Another Fedal final is also a mouth watering prospect as Roger will have a great chance of making Nadal his indoor pigeon, but somehow I don’t think that final will happen. Tomorrow Roger is first up against Fish. Like I said, I think Roger gets this done in straight sets. He will be relaxed also knowing that he has already qualified and the match won’t take much of an emotional toll on him. The Tsonga/Nadal match in the evening session will be the really interesting one. Can Nadal bounce back after his humiliating defeat against the GOAT? That will be hard. But if anyone can do it it’s probably Nadal. Tsonga has a great chance though. Enjoy!