You will see above that Roger got Murray, Soderling, and Ferrer in his group. I guess you could say he got a tough group, given that he has a 5-8 head-to-head with Murray and Soderling just won Paris. But the players in each group doesn’t matter all that much, since Roger should make the semi’s either way. Ideally I suppose he would have liked to get Nadal’s draw as one of the top two players. He has good records against Djokovic, Roddick, and Berdych. Roger has had problem with big hitters in the past, and of the two big hitters Soderling is the one in form right now. This all means one of Roger, Murray, or Soderling won’t make semi’s. All these guys have a title shot, so it’s a pretty tough group. Roger opens on Sunday against Ferrer, which is not a bad match to start with and get used to the conditions.
He should win that one which means he has to win at least one more match to qualify for the semi’s. If Ferrer ends up losing every match and the other players each win two matches, then sets will come into play as well. Preferably Roger should win all his matches during group stage, and if not then he needs to win try and win as many sets as he can and lose as few as he can. The other group isn’t so certain either. Nadal and Djokovic are the top ranked players in their group, but we have seen that Djokovic looked mentally tired in Paris. It’s definitely not impossible that Roddick or Berdych can sneak into the semi-finals. Berdych has not been in form of late, but when he catches fire he is capable of beating anyone. I am feeling a little more positive about Roger’s chances at present. It’s hard for me to say he can’t win it just to avoid disappointment, because that is simply not true.
The truth his he can win it, but it won’t be easy. With Nadal he is probably the joint favorite. This will be the true test of whether he can keep his from throughout an event because there are no easy matches. To win the event he must play five matches against top eight opponents and win at least four of them. He probably can’t afford to have a drop in form like he did against Murray in Shanghai or Monfils in Paris. If he does happen to win the event it will make me happy, because he will have turned a somewhat average year into a pretty good one. If he does not win it he will still walk away with a slam, a Masters Series, a 500, and a 250. It would just look so much better with the Masters Cup there as well, and give him a lot of confidence heading into next year. He has had a great stretch of form now and is still the most in form player at present.
Therefor I’d really like to see him take advantage of that fact and win this, making a big statement at the end of the year. But Nadal will be just as hungry for a first Masters Cup title. We have seen how hard he is to stop of late when he sets his sights on something. He may be impossible to stop even.
Attire for London: The shirt and shoes changes, the rest stays the same. Always love the red.
Article: Thanks to Jiten for posting this article on my blog about Roger’s adjustments which is starting to pay off. Lets face it, since he started working with Annacone things have changed for the better, and him and Annacone haven’t even been together long. Hopefully that is only a sign of better things to come. It’s a positive article and I recommend it. You can find it here.
New Federer Mercedes Benz commercial: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3P8vv1Hbq0