Indian Wells QF: Federer routines Wawrinka 6-3, 6-4

Congrats to Roger for making yet another semi-final at Masters Series level. He has now achieved the minimum that I wanted him to achieve in this event. The match wasn’t exactly eye candy however. Roger got the break early on in the first set when Stan double-faulted at 0-1 to give Roger a 2-0 lead. Roger has another good chance at 5-2 to break Stan again but missed a forehand down the line. In the second set Roger got the break in the fifth game after a good defensive point to take a 3-2 lead. Then it was just a question of holding serve for a routine win. It was a match that lacked drama and passion, and although I know you probably prefer that over drama, I found it pretty boring. It was however nice to see Roger attacking some returns and keeping things positive by approaching the net.

Next will be the expected semi-final against Djokovic after Djokovic took care of Gasquet 6-2, 6-4. Djokovic has so far hardly been troubled at all. He really looks unbeatable. Roger himself has looked pretty good but I’m afraid I favor Djokovic to win. And by the way they will be playing for the number two spot so there is everything to play for. Personally I haven’t seen JesusFed since the Masters Cup and that is why I’m not very positive about Roger’s chances tomorrow. He needs to be at nothing less than his best to beat Djokovic and I haven’t seen that since last year. I know that’s not what you want to hear but I just say it the way I see it. Djokovic is looking ominous and I’m worried for Roger’s ranking. He is campaigning for the number one spot, but if Djokovic keeps this form up he may find it hard to stay at number two.

In the other semi-final it will be another blockbuster match between Nadal and Del Potro. I said Del Potro will be dangerous in this event but is he ready yet to beat Nadal? I don’t think he has beaten a top 15 player yet since his comeback and it may be a tough ask to beat the world number one. On the other hand he has a good record against Nadal in the last three matches and Nadal himself is playing his first event since the Oz Open. I really hope Del Potro can get it done. At least that way Roger would have closed in on Nadal in the rankings. With this win Roger keeps his semi-final streak since Toronto last year going. He needs a win over Djokovic tomorrow pretty badly but I’m not holding my breath. I’m hoping for a small miracle. Good luck to Roger and Stan in the doubles semi-final against Nadal and Lopez today.

Roger Federer,Stanislas Wawrinka


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29 Comments

  1. Roger should get the job done this time. I really hope he plays more patiently this time ( given the slow conditions he can’t be all out attack again) against a player who hardly makes any unforced errors and won’t give him any ‘free points’. Three losses in a row by DJ is an escapable scenario for sure, and the GOAT knows that. Therefore all he has to do is switch the ‘JesusFed’ button on this time as he forgot it the last couple of times they played. Hey ho, let’s go Rog!

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  2. To clarify – if Djokovic wins the semi, does he become number 2 and Fed drop to 3? Or does Djoko have to win the event entirely? The point system still confuses me.

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    marron Reply:

    never mind, I found out the answer to my question.

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  3. Everyone is talking about tomorrow’s semi.But according to me the doubles match against M Lopez / R Nadal holds the key!!!!! If the duo of Federer/Wawrinka defeats them,it could become a huge “MORALE BOOSTER”.Then Federer would find his missing “AURA(of confidence)” back….

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    marron Reply:

    Don’t see how winning a match vs Spanish players would necessarily give Fed confidence vs the Serbian fellow.

    Must be a magic formula?

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    muhammad Reply:

    marron,its not any kind of magic formula.just common sense…you spice it up here…keep dropping by

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  4. I absolutely agree with George.Roger and Stan have just beaten Nadal-Lopez and Roger played great.
    I bet Fed over Djoko.GO ROGER you can do it!!!

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  5. Bravo Roger and Stan, you won the doubles to be in the Final. Will there be a miracle tomorrow for you to defeat Djoko? Good luck, Roger, yes you can do it.

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  6. Can someone explain how do they (the organizers) make a 29 year old play two successive matches? Is it legal? And the poor lad has to play semi final match tomorrow… and defend his ranking… It’s not nice of them…

    Federer looked to be in good mood in the doubles match, maybe it’ll help him getting ready for tomorrow since he now has less time to think about the last two matches he lost to Djokovic.

    And a last word about the ranking. I’m sure he talks with his team about it and they keep him looking on the big picture – it’s a long run and he should collect as many points as he can. Djokovic and Nadal (maybe) are going to lose someday and maybe he’ll have a chance to take the #1 spot again.

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    marron Reply:

    Yes, it’s legal of the tournament organizers to schedule the way they do… why do you think most top ATP/WTA players don’t do alot of doubles? Good for the Swiss team for the win, though, and now they have a good shot at taking the whole thing.

    I’m seeing a Delpo-Fed final here, very much like USO 09. But this time I think Delpo won’t beat Fed… but that can’t be right. Doesn’t Fed only get jazzed up for the slams, LOL? (just teasing, people)

    I doubt, the way Rafa’s been playing, that he’s going to get past Del Potro. And I also think Nole is due for a letdown. That’s my call, anyway.

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    marron Reply:

    Of course, I would love to see a Djoko-Nadal final. That’d be my wish. But am not feeling it this time around.

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  7. I’m really hoping for Roger to beat Novak, but I’m not feeling so confident. I feel that Roger just hasn’t been quite sharp enough this tournament. I mean he was great vs Chela but that’s not a tough enough test.
    On the other hand, Novak’s been devastating — but his opposition hasn’t been too tough. Golubev is not a big name, Gulbis didn’t show up at all (1 winner/28 UE in a match?), and Troicki… well, we all saw the score line. Gasquet was a step up, but that’s it. I hope Roger can find a way to get in front and hold on to the lead.

    Just a small correction: Roger’s semifinal streak goes back to TORONTO — not Montreal. I know, I was there for his first match. :-)

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Katerina for the corretction, Toronto is what i meant to say.

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  8. ruan
    Can you make a preview post about the SF preview
    i want to know your thoughts about fed and djokoovic meeting third time in three tournaments

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  9. Ruan, you said “JesusFed has been missing since the WTF”. Have you forgotten Doha ? I thought he had carried over his WTF form into Doha. It is somewhere during the AO that JesusFed went missing and hasn’t made an appearance ever since.
    I have to admit that Djokovic is the favorite going into this match but somewhere deep down, I also feel Federer will pull off a ‘surprise’ win.

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    GEORGE Reply:

    You’re so right, Roger was flawless in Doha too. I bet Ru-an thinks so too, he probably forgot to mention that.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Yes, i forgot.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Yes you are right MS, JesusFed was at Doha. What was i thinking? I totally forgot about Doha. But i think Doha was faster conditions which helped him.

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  10. I think Roger will beat DJ. I don’t know why- I juts have a feeling. DJ beat Roger the last 2 times because he played aggresive. Yet in every interview he gave this week he’s said that he’s just been putting the ball back in play. He’s been passive all week and he hasn’t played against a good aggresive player. Roger has been pretty aggresive all week, his forehand has looked great, he’d hit hardly any mishits. And as someone else said he’s been patient- look at winners to U/E in his last match. So for me I’m going with Roger! DJ also wasn’t too good against Gasquet- he was a break down at the start of both sets and needed his usual medical timeout to help him win when he was 0-3 down in the 2nd set.

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    MS Reply:

    Interesting. I didn’t know Djokovic needed a MTO to regroup in the second set. I watched the first three games when Gasquet went up 3-0 and Djokovic couldn’t do a thing right.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Roger may not have had many mishits in the event so far but we know what happened against DJ at the AO and Dubai, so this will be the real test. If Roger can stay away from the mishits and play a clean match he will have a chance, but if the mishits come out again there can be only one result. It usually happens when he has too much time and these courts are pretty slow. He will just have to time the ball really well and get into JesusFed mode.

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    Stu Rutland Reply:

    Yes, I think this time Fed will win. I’ve exactly the same feeling like yours after watching their respective QF performances.
    Djoko’s body langague = weariness. Maybe the heat has already gotten to him. He also had something around one of the knees, called for med check, unexpected mishits, shaking his head and what have you. I definitely don’t see that unstoppable aura everyone’s been talking about. By contrast, Roger looks far more in form and in control. So let’s see.

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  11. Well that was a disappointing loss. 3 matches in a row in 2011 already to the same player. Not good at all. DJ was playing unbeatable tennis in the 1st set, Roger came back in the 2nd with some great stuff but still couldn’t buy a first serve. Ultimately for me that’s what decided this match. They were fairly even from the baseline but Roger just had no cheap points. Confidence was also key. Roger broke back to get to 2-2 in 3rd set and he had an easy mid court forehand at 40-15 on serve which he hit long. From there he mentally seemed to have a meltdown. He didn’t win another game and just like in Dubai he faded fast. I’m very sad :-(

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    Katarina_YYZ Reply:

    Yes, I too feel that the lack of first serve was key. No cheap points on serve and it affects his confidence, causes UEs on other shots. But I also feel that he made Novak look like “old Novak” not this SuperNovak we’ve seen in 2011. I saw Novak crack a little. Unfortunately Fed couldn’t put him away, but he’s still in the game.

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  12. Cheer up Andrew! I think this was actually pretty positive all-round. The key was that Fed showed – at least to me but I’m sure also himself – that he can still hang with and take out Nole. And I suspect once he showed that there was a little less motivation to actually finish the job and win, for three reasons:
    – keep fuel in the tank for the long haul; the aim is to peak for FO and Wimby, unlike what happened with AO where he peaked the week before in Doha (of course, that might’ve been unavoidable given the need to reassert himself and get going on points with his post-USO tear);
    – let Nole get a little over-confident with wins b/t slams, like in the old days;
    – see how Nole and Rafa match up at this stage.
    Am I imputing too much strategic gaming by Fed? Perhaps. But I really think Fed’s entire approach has been, since USO, to aim for taking over no. 1 round July while also bagging Wimby. And so far the only real hitch has been AO.

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    marron Reply:

    Nelson Goodman askes: ‘…Am I imputing too much strategic gaming by Fed?…’

    Yes, I think so. I doubt very much that Fed purposely lost that match so that he could keep fuel in his tank, or allow Nole’s confidence to stay up.

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    Nelson Goodman Reply:

    Fair enough Marron, but I don’t mean that he explicitly thought this, but rather that at the back of his mind, once he took the second set the main point had been made and some pressure released. Mark my words, Fed is priming for a big run May through July.

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  13. First off, I like to yell the “F” word at the top of my lungs, soooooo…. O.K. I’m done with that. I’m sort of nervous to say this, but I think this just might be the changing of the guard. Gosh, it hurts to say that, cause now who the heck am I going to watch and enjoy. Sure hope I’m wrong, but he isn’t getting any younger, and thats all I think it is. He’s not the same guy we saw for so many years IMHO. Gary

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  14. ITS “OFFICIAL”(apparently) Guys!!!!

    ATP has finally got what it wanted:”A New No:2″….
    And top it all A show piece Final(as some commentators put it)

    And the GREAT RAFA after having gone through Qualifiers+Tough Match(against 239th ranked)+supposedly tough(but 6-4,6-4) Del Potro goes through to the finals

    A Repeat of US Open 2010…????Hmm… ??

    If ATP again gives such DRAW in MIAMI,Its like saying”Hey Roger!!! You got 16 slams+17 Masters+others totaling 67 in all and you are 29!!! We don’t want you anymore or we’ll give the toughest DRAW that even a QUALIFIER wouldn’t dream of???”

    Its so “FRUSTRATING” watching as it unfolds,and not speaking about it…

    As for the FINAL??? It doesn’t really matter who wins
    Can Djokovic carry on the form or would GREAT RAFA do it again…!!! same old STORY!!!!

    May be Federer could take some time off,while playing only Grand Slams & some Masters…He just couldn’t continue on his futile efforts through this HUMDRUM!!!

    – By an IRASCIBLE fan….

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