French Open Rd 3: Federer def Tipsarevic 6-1, 6-4, 6-3

That was more like it from Roger. It seems like he just carried on from the last two sets of his last match. The most telling thing about this match was the break point conversion rate which was 5/6. You can now see what a difference it makes to the result when he takes his break points. This is the difference between Federror and JesusFed. Other than that Roger served very well and played some nice volleys. His backhand did show signs of vulnerability again but Tipsarevic didn’t exploit it, and Roger didn’t allow him to to a certain extent. So at last we are seeing some signs of improvement from Roger. How long it will last we don’t know. He next faces Wawrinka who he has only lost to once in nine meetings. I expect another straight set victory or maybe four sets. So far David Ferrer has also looked to be in fine form, and he now plays Monfils. The winner there will be Roger’s next opponent of he beats Wawrinka.

Roger looks to be in good from so far and is moving under the radar. The biggest issue for him is however his one-handed backhand. If he faces the likes of Djokovic or Nadal it will be exploited. The same could be true if he faces Del Potro. Del Potro and Djokovic is currently locked at a set all, after play was stopped due to bad light yesterday. Del Potro was always going to be a tough third round opponent. But aside from that, Djokovic is battling history. It is a bit unlucky for him, because otherwise he would be a lock for the title. You have the feeling this winning streak could come to an end at any time now. There is a reason the big winning streaks start ending in the early forties. Djokovic is not only battling the draw, he is also battling history. Nadal on the other hand is really struggling after what Djokovic did to him.

His confidence has taken a major hit, as I expected it would. If it wasn’t for immense choking by his opponent in the last round, he would have been in for another very tough match. It was a tough three set match anyway. Nadal looks very vulnerable. With both Djokovic and Nadal battling certain things, this could leave the door open for Roger. This is the kind of thing he needs these days to win a grand slam, especially if it’s gonna happen on clay. The biggest issue for him, especially on clay, is still his backhand. We saw how Djokovic exposed it at the Australian Open, and on clay it will be even more exploited. If he faces Djokovic or Del Potro in the semis, or Nadal in the final, it will be hard for him. There is so many different scenarios that can take place at the French Open now. Both Djokovic and Nadal could lose early, or both could make the final.

But given that both of them is vulnerable, I guess it’s not impossible that Roger could beat either of them. However I still prefer to see Djokovic in the final rather than Roger. Djokovic is in Nadal’s head, which means if he loses early Nadal will breathe a huge sigh of relief. It’s like 2009 when Nadal lost early, and Roger seized his chance. And the sooner Djokovic loses, the better for Nadal. Right now he is playing with the burden on his shoulders of having Djokovic in the draw. If Djokovic loses early, Nadal’s chances of losing early decreases significantly. An early exit by Djokovic would literally be a disaster. He really has to get by Del Potro. Then things will get a bit easier for him as well. If Roger beats Djokovic in the semis then I guess he belongs in the final. Yet I find it surprising that some of you still think Roger can beat Nadal in the final.

Nothing is impossible, but it’s highly unlikely. If Roger beats Djokovic in the semis while Nadal is waiting in the final, it would be a great favor to Nadal and he would say thank you very much. Then he will probably go ahead and pick up his tenth slam title. I mean it would be a disaster. Anyway there is so many scenarios that can still happen than I’m not gonna get much further into this. I’m just glad that most of you can see my logic by voting Djokovic in the last poll. It shows that all my explaining has not been in vain.

Interviewhttp://www.rolandgarros.com/en_FR/multimedia/2011-05-27/013031d38a0800000154.html

Roger Federer


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16 Comments

  1. Djoker has defeated Delpo 6-3,3-6,6-3,6-2.
    Next up Gasquet which would be a SWATTING for him in straight SETS!!
    Then Fognini/Montanes none of whom would bother him either!!!

    So if Monfils were to defeat Ferrer an UPSET just like that of Wawrinka’s it would be the Ultimate BLESSING paving way for a PERFECT Djokovic Semifinal CLASH and Federer could CONSERVE his ENERGY for this.

    This could SERVE as the PRECEDENT for the reemergence of “The King” to take back his throne the no:1 Ranking!!! :-)

    But only if things fall in the right place + Roger is fully CONFIDENT & MOTIVATED towards this which i definitely believe he is “RIGHT NOW”

    Go Roger!!!

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  2. djokovic should crash out before the semi, nadal before the final…n after this happens, if federer is still in the draw, he has an 80% chance of winning the title…if either of this fail to happen, federer cant win…i jst saw the match, federer played good but his backhand is gone…it’s like tht shot doesn exist for him except for a slice n 3 straight topspin exchanges at the max before he nets the ball or hits it out..

    there was a time i used to have faith in roger’s ability like crazy, like i din care of his opponent but i knew he wud win newayz…n now offlate, im more into federer’s opponents crashin out b4 he faces thm rather thn root for him while he is playin against thm..

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Well said vaibhav.

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    vaibhav Reply:

    ur’e right ruan…djokovic is jst at his best right now n who knows for how long he’s gonna b in this form…kinda reminds me of the federer of 2006…i have a feelin tht roger already planned his retirement after 2012 olympics coz we kno he is jst playin for tht one thing missin in his resume…tht makes it 6 slams from now till wimbledon 2012..federer needs to do somethin, for i feel we r gonna c him on court jst for another 15 months from now…regular losses will force any former unbeatable champion to quit…all i wanna c i federer retire on a high note…jst wish he gets this french open.

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  3. Having seen the way Djokovic closed down the power-hitting of del Potro I would say that the tournament is really his for the taking. Outside of Nadal I felt del Potro was going to be his most severe test. Gasquet is playing well and might take a set off Djokovic in the next round. Anything more from the Frenchman would surprise me.

    I don’t think Roger is currently in the kind of form to beat Djokovic. Like Nadal, Djokovic leaves virtually no gaps in the court, such are his incredible defensive skills, and his backhand is impossible to break down. Roger’s backhand, however, does not inspire great confidence. It is there where the match will be decided – and probably in Djokovic’s favour, should they meet. Roger may play at the top of his game and take a set. I can’t see him doing that for 2 more sets. If it somehow went to 5 then I would see Djokovic’s irresistible fitness sealing it for him. That of course assumes that Roger will find a way through another Spanish backboard in Ferrer, who looms after the Wawrinka match (again, not a player to be under-estimated.)

    I agree that Djokovic is the better match-up against Nadal in the final, and should they meet it is likely to be truly the beginning of the end for the Spaniard. On the other hand, for Roger to reach the semis here would be a fine achievement on his least favoured surface against the best player in the game currently. His best hope this year is Wimbledon or the USO.

    On a side note: does Janko Tipsarevic get under anyone else’s skin, as he does mine? There is something about him that reeks of how fully he regards himself – without apparent justification. Despite losing in straight sets to Roger, who was not even in top gear, Tipsarevic gave the air of someone who felt the victory should have been his. You can feel he does not have a lot of respect for the winner of 16 grand slams.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Neil for pretty much repeating what ive been saying. Roger is not beating Djokovic in the semis due to his bh, and neither is he beating Nadal in the final. Djokovic once again showed today how good he is. For Roger to get a set against him on clay would be amazing.
    As for Tipsarevic, i didnt get the same feeling. He just said he expected more from himself which you cant blame him for. He really failed to make an impression in the match and could have done better.

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    neil Reply:

    Apologies, Ruan. Enthusiasm for the subject got the better of me. I was also a bit overwhelmed at how good Djokovic was out there today. He looks invincible.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    No need to apologize. Djokovic has been invincible all year. Only way he doesnt win this event is if the streak gets to him and he has a very mediocre day.

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  4. Rafa’s current sloppy form isn’t fuelled solely by the beating his confidence got courtesy Djokovic. So it is safe to say that if Roger is in the final against him, he does have his chances. Whether he will capitalise or not leaves to be seen.

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  5. Read somewhere that Nadal needs to successfully defend his FO otherwise Djoker will be new No1 no matter what. Its cruel but Nadal is better off losing early to save himself misery to get schooled by Djoker this coming Sunday. This will be final nail into the coffin. How I wish Roger can fix his weak BH, there is nothing I love more than Roger to return favour back to Nadal by beating him at FO like Wimbly 2008. That wish will never happen :-(

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  6. Strange sense of fatalism on this site. I think Nadal has never been weaker and Roger would find a way to beat him. Djokovic is another matter. I do question the idea that the French is his weakest tournament. It’s true he only won it once but he was runner-up four times (I think too lazy to check) and I believe he would have won those four matches if he hadn’t played Nadal who was a super-freak on the surface in those days.

    I do think Roger’s serve was extraordinary in that match against the JT and if he was serving that well and Djokovic was having a not stellar day who knows what would happen. When he’s serving like that he’s almost unbreakable. Sort of like that match against Roddick at Wimbledon.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Djokovic has the best return in the game. The guy is simply unplayable. Time to give him some credit for a change. That said, i hope Nadal loses before the semis so i can be 100% behind Roger.

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  7. I certainly will giving him credit for discovering the dangers of wheat. Too bad he won’t reveal his secrets to others:

    “There are some things I can speak about; there are some things I can’t.”–Novak Djokovic on his diet.

    What a farce. The guy’s been on the tour for 7 years and always faded with stamina issues, then suddenly becomes unbeatable because Serbia wins the Davis Cup. No, sorry, because he discovered he has a wheat allergy. Why does he travel around with a Dr. if he knows what ails him?

    I can’t say I’m rooting for him. His chest-thumping is as insufferable as Uncle Toni. I want RF to beat all these pretenders.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Well of course i want Roger to beat them too, but im not gonna set myself up for disappointment either.

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  8. I rarely leave a response, however i did some searching and wound up here French Open Rd 3: Federer def Tipsarevic 6-1, 6-4, 6-3 | Ruans Federer Blog 2.0. And I actually do have some questions for you if it’s allright. Is it just me or does it look as if like some of the remarks appear as if they are left by brain dead visitors? :-P And, if you are writing at other sites, I’d like to keep up with anything new you have to post. Would you make a list of all of all your social sites like your linkedin profile, Facebook page or twitter feed?

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