That was more like it from Roger. It seems like he just carried on from the last two sets of his last match. The most telling thing about this match was the break point conversion rate which was 5/6. You can now see what a difference it makes to the result when he takes his break points. This is the difference between Federror and JesusFed. Other than that Roger served very well and played some nice volleys. His backhand did show signs of vulnerability again but Tipsarevic didn’t exploit it, and Roger didn’t allow him to to a certain extent. So at last we are seeing some signs of improvement from Roger. How long it will last we don’t know. He next faces Wawrinka who he has only lost to once in nine meetings. I expect another straight set victory or maybe four sets. So far David Ferrer has also looked to be in fine form, and he now plays Monfils. The winner there will be Roger’s next opponent of he beats Wawrinka.
Roger looks to be in good from so far and is moving under the radar. The biggest issue for him is however his one-handed backhand. If he faces the likes of Djokovic or Nadal it will be exploited. The same could be true if he faces Del Potro. Del Potro and Djokovic is currently locked at a set all, after play was stopped due to bad light yesterday. Del Potro was always going to be a tough third round opponent. But aside from that, Djokovic is battling history. It is a bit unlucky for him, because otherwise he would be a lock for the title. You have the feeling this winning streak could come to an end at any time now. There is a reason the big winning streaks start ending in the early forties. Djokovic is not only battling the draw, he is also battling history. Nadal on the other hand is really struggling after what Djokovic did to him.
His confidence has taken a major hit, as I expected it would. If it wasn’t for immense choking by his opponent in the last round, he would have been in for another very tough match. It was a tough three set match anyway. Nadal looks very vulnerable. With both Djokovic and Nadal battling certain things, this could leave the door open for Roger. This is the kind of thing he needs these days to win a grand slam, especially if it’s gonna happen on clay. The biggest issue for him, especially on clay, is still his backhand. We saw how Djokovic exposed it at the Australian Open, and on clay it will be even more exploited. If he faces Djokovic or Del Potro in the semis, or Nadal in the final, it will be hard for him. There is so many different scenarios that can take place at the French Open now. Both Djokovic and Nadal could lose early, or both could make the final.
But given that both of them is vulnerable, I guess it’s not impossible that Roger could beat either of them. However I still prefer to see Djokovic in the final rather than Roger. Djokovic is in Nadal’s head, which means if he loses early Nadal will breathe a huge sigh of relief. It’s like 2009 when Nadal lost early, and Roger seized his chance. And the sooner Djokovic loses, the better for Nadal. Right now he is playing with the burden on his shoulders of having Djokovic in the draw. If Djokovic loses early, Nadal’s chances of losing early decreases significantly. An early exit by Djokovic would literally be a disaster. He really has to get by Del Potro. Then things will get a bit easier for him as well. If Roger beats Djokovic in the semis then I guess he belongs in the final. Yet I find it surprising that some of you still think Roger can beat Nadal in the final.
Nothing is impossible, but it’s highly unlikely. If Roger beats Djokovic in the semis while Nadal is waiting in the final, it would be a great favor to Nadal and he would say thank you very much. Then he will probably go ahead and pick up his tenth slam title. I mean it would be a disaster. Anyway there is so many scenarios that can still happen than I’m not gonna get much further into this. I’m just glad that most of you can see my logic by voting Djokovic in the last poll. It shows that all my explaining has not been in vain.