Federer Scores Phenomenal Win Over Djokovic in Dubai

Impressed yet? I am. Very. As much as I still believed in Roger I didn’t know he had a performance like this left in him. I have always said to you that I believe the game is still there. That it is a question of getting it together mentally. Of finding the pure hunger and desire to make good on the game that is still left. But no doubt there were times I doubted my own words. I thought Roger has good tennis left in him but not this good. I mean you expect that with age he declines. And no doubt he has. But this may be one of the best performances of his career. Yes it’s not a slam and it’s best of three but that was simply mind blowing tennis. Going into this match I definitely thought Djokovic was the favorite, although an upset is always possible. Probably Djokovic would win in three sets I thought.

So when in the first game the two played one of the best points of all time probably and Djokovic won it, I lost even more faith. Djokovic was serving and Roger looked like he was up for the fight, taking almost complete control of the point. But unbelievably Djokovic found a way back in and won it. I thought this dealt a mental blow to Roger, seeing how hard it was to win even one point. I mean Djokovic destroyed Bautista-Agut in the second round, and he looked in unbelievable form at the beginning of this match. He then broke Roger in the next game and surged ahead 3-0. This was looking all too familiar. To Roger’s credit he did well to limit the first set to one break and lose it 6-3. The turning point came in the second set. I think it was at 2-2 probably. I thought Djokovic was going to break for sure but Roger showed massive balls the way he held serve.

Then in the next game he went up 30-0 on the Djokovic serve, after which incredibly rain broke out. It was just a short desert shower though and the players actually stayed on the court while it passed. Roger came back and broke serve, and importantly he consolidated the break. Huge shift in the match. That little passage of play showed me how strong the desire for winning still was with Roger. I didn’t know if he was still that hungry. It changed the entire complexion of the match because from there on Roger made it look pretty routine, winning 3-6, 6-3, 6-2. Are you kidding me? Making it look easy against peak Djokovic at age 32? I almost want to laugh. The guy is so good it’s unreal. I mean we have known that for a long time but he proves it again and again. His talents know no limits.

This is certainly the best I’ve seen Roger play since 2012. Maybe the best I’ve ever seen him play. I’ve always been very positive about Roger but this surprises even me. No doubt it doesn’t hurt to be healthy. Ever since Cincinnati last year Roger have been rebuilding after a dismal 2013, and now here in Dubai 2014 it comes full circle. In all honesty I did say on a few occasions that the lower you fall the higher you climb, and given how low 2013 went this performance proves my statement 100% correct. 2013 was the lowest Roger ever went, so it would only make sense that he went higher than ever in 2014. This performance had that kind of feel about it, crazy as that may sound. Since when does Roger beat peak Djokovic 6-2 in the third? Maybe the French Open 2011 performance matches this one but the final set was not 6-2.

It was 7-6. Of course the surface was very different. This is one of the fastest courts left on tour, and clearly it doesn’t hurt Roger when he faces the base line grinders on faster courts. I’ve said this countless time as well. He is the attacking player that takes the initiative so of course faster courts would help him. Just a shame the god damn ATP does nothing about the slow courts. Anyway this man is so talented he can probably beat the grinders on quicksand. 32-year old Roger is fighting a lone battle out there against the rest of the big 4 who are all young and base line grinders and he is still beating them on today’s slow conditions. Phenomenal. The head-to-head with Djokovic is now 17-15, instead of 16-16. So at least Roger stays in front in the head-to-head with one of his major rivals. Well we have waited a very long time for this performance and finally we have been delivered.

It was a long and arduous road but worth the wait. This is what makes it worth it to be a Fedfan. Roger doesn’t just make good on your hopes, he surpasses them. He breaks new ground. He wows you. Up until this point I still found it hard to make out where Roger’s next slam would come from. But after this performance I now firmly believe he can win another slam, and probably will. Just very exciting and inspiring stuff. I don’t want to go overboard here. I know this was just one match and consistency is the key, but I feel this match justifies my excitement. It really was a God-like performance. Roger now plays one of his difficult opponents in Berdych in the final. A sixth Dubai title is not a foregone conclusion, but I like Roger’s chances here. He is just in brutal form and if he plays anything close to the way he played against Djokovic he is a certain winner.

The man, the myth, the legend…

I think Roger will probably seize his chance here. It’s been a long title drought since Halle last year and he wants it bad. Never mind Berdych standing in his way. A sixth Dubai title would be another phenomenal achievement and give Roger some much needed ranking points as well. Berdych himself has been on a high of late, but my vote still goes to Roger. Well I hope you guys have really enjoyed this win from Roger and feel inspired like I do. This is for the ones who stayed true and kept believing during the hard times. I was just made aware again today of the enormous power of belief. Through all this time Roger kept believing despite countless naysayers and critics. He believed he had the game left and that is all that mattered. And we couldn’t have had a better demonstration of unrelenting belief when Roger came back from a set down for the first time against Djokovic today.

Belief conquers all.

 

Highlights with crazy point in first game: 

Better Quality:

Posted in Uncategorized.

54 Comments

  1. Hi Ruan,
    Roger played well! Roger’s mental strength and fighting spirit was awesome, which was lacking in 2013. Probably Wimbledon will be Roger’s GREAT chance at Slam, now Roger has gud shot at 78th career title and move ahead of John in all time title leaders.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Yes Inbakumar passing Mcenroe in titles won would be one of the sweeter milestones after all Mcenroe’s stinging statements.

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  2. Hi Ru-an, thank you for an inspiring analysis of Roger’s match today. He did it! That was my aloud response to seeing Roger finish this match against Djoko. After reading so many predictions of this match in favor of Djoko, this was priceless, from what I could watch today, he truly played amazing tennis.
    Now, Berdych is lurking in the wings…Go, Roger for the 6th title.
    Kindly,
    Dolores

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    Ru-an Reply:

    I did my customary roar there where Roger hit the bh passing shot to break in the 3rd set as well Dolores. Just delicious stuff.

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  3. Ru-an I thought this wasn’t just a win for Roger but a win for tennis. Great shots from both players but this day belongs to Fabulous Federer. Fingers crossed for tomorrow/

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    Tom Reply:

    A win for tennis, brilliant shout!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Right shows you what a bit of court speed can do for variation. And of course a multi-talented player who can mix things up.

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  4. Ruan great post for a great performance! The serving was immense, the backhand wasn’t just solid today it was a weapon, and the footwork holy moly, Djokovic throwing the kitchen sink at Fed still couldn’t become the aggressor at times. Did Roger step into a time machine? He looks younger today than he did here for sure so maybe he really did!
    http://resources1.news.com.au/images/2013/09/03/1226709/613769-ten-us-open-federer-robredo.jpg
    Even the haters have been silenced for today at least. What a peRFect day! Now we could finally get that elusive piece of silverware I’ve been going on about since the off season…
    Hi-fives and big hugs from me all around to everyone here. :-) Because this rebuilding period has been tough but the true fans have stuck through so yeah nice one everyone you know who you are, and thanks again Ru-an for the work you put into your great blog for us!
    Also another nice stat I saw, after this and beating Murray in Melbourne, this is the first time in Fed’s career that he’s beaten two top 5 players before March. Fed 4.0 has landed!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Tom. I made it pretty quick. Didn’t go much into the third set like the passes he hit to break, but it was 2 am here and I am still sick. Fed 4.0 has indeed landed.

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  5. For me the shot of the match was the passing shot for the double break in the third. I literally jumped out of my chair and yelled out loud when I saw that. Unbelievable. You are right Ruan, for most of the second set and the whole of the third set not only was Roger beating Novak but he was beating him soundly! The serving was great as well, the moment Novak had any chances in the third set (I remember two 15-40 leads for Novak and a few 30-30 and deuces), you could almost put money on a huge first serve. The best statistic was instead of some of the heartbreakers against Nadal and Djokovic in the last year and a half, the break point statistic actually favoured Roger! 1/6 for Novak and 3/7 for Roger, what happened so many times against Nadal and Djokovic in the last two years was something like Nadal/Djokovic 4/5 break points, where as for Roger its like 1/12. Glad to see for once Roger dictating play with the chip and charge and slice and giving himself opportunities on the forehand rather than allowing Djokovic to push him around on his backhand. Anyway great match, I could go on about it all day but my prediction for the final is 6-1 6-4 to Roger. Allez!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    For me it was the bh pass to get the first break in the 3rd set Charlie. Both tremendous shots.

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    Charlie Reply:

    Yeah you could pick lots of different shots for shot of the match. That’s why we are all RF fans! For Djoko or Rafa you might get a couple of these shots per match but Roger can produce an entire highlight reel from just one match! No one else in the history of the game has ever been able to produce shots on a consistent basis at as high a quality. It is so good to see, and it is always all the better after a string of dissapointing losses.

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    Alex Reply:

    That shot actually reminded me of wawrinka’s backhands. It’s not a shot i’ve seen Roger do many times in the past. Of course he has hit many bh passing shots in the past but this one was unexpected for me.

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  6. Great that you could get a post up so quick, Ru-an.

    The win against Stepanek was a pivotal match. First because he showed great mental strength, second because he learned valuable info about how to adjust to the speed of the court, third because it gave him a chance to set up this match which was even more pivotal.

    I think this is an absolutely monumental victory because he’d never beaten Djokovic after losing the first set. Remember even in his prime and semi-prime (’07, ’09, ’12) he was never able to come back from losing the first set. He always ran out of gas and then started going for too much, while Djokovic just remained too steady. This is proof that he is playing a brand of tennis superior to what he produced in his salad days.

    This match showed that with the new racket and attacking game plan, he can break down these brick wall defenders. Now with the new racket he can play closer to the baseline, doesn’t have to do as much running, can come forward more often and can take his opponents’ time away. When he is put on the defensive he can put more spin and depth on his shots and stay at least neutral in the rally instead of being pegged back further and further behind the baseline. The racket also seems to give him more reserve in his service as he can use it to generate effortless aces and unreturnables without power, just by hitting his spots with precision and lots of slice.

    So he can consistently implement all-court tactics and destabilize Djokovic’s monotonous baseline game.

    This heralds a big shift in Federer’s tactics. Instead of always trying to craft perfect points from the baseline, sometimes he deliberately went for flat forcing balls close to the lines to draw errors rather than go for a riskier winner. Serve was pinpoint, forehand fantastic, backhand down the line working wonderfully, and great volleying. The slice was key to force Djokovic to hit up more on the backhand. Our man had full confidence in his game plan despite the ups and downs.

    Djokovic made some ridiculous gets, he looks like Gumby out there stretching for balls. But thanks to Federer’s aggressive game plan, his retrieving wasn’t enough, and he was forced to take the ball early and go closer to the lines and his game broke down.

    This indeed Federer 4.0 and the scary thing is I think he can play even better than this in the coming months. He’s already downed two of the top players in Djokovic and Murray this season, and it’s barely March!

    Regarding the final, when Federer plays his best tennis there can only be one winner. I am hoping for a Federer masterclass tomorrow. Allez!

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  7. Hey Ru-an, some points from me:
    1) Great great article.
    2) Hope you are feeling better now.
    3) Exactly who of the two was 6 years younger??? Damn, Roger ran like hell. Novak beeing beaten by two Swiss guys !!!
    4) For me, he already won. Would be nice if he wins 6th Dubai title, if he doesn’t, I am still proud of him.
    5) After having trouble with a great player like Stephanek, did any of us really thought Roger would beat Rosol and Novak like this??
    6) This is what a real fan is all about. Beeing there when your hero is struggling and then beeing repaid by it with such wins.
    7) Yes, he has not got the mental toughness like Rafa or even Novak. But you do not get so many titles without beeing tough yourself. To be honest, when I saw first set 4-1 for Novak, I kind of gave up. Sorry for that Roger. But no matter how many times his critics tell him to retire or that he will not beat the top 3 anymore, the man has so much self belief in himself and that is what is paying off.
    8) Now we beat Andy and Novak. Guess who is next on the to beat list, yes, Rafa !!!
    9) Now it is time to beat all of them who defeated Roger last year (also Hewitt).
    10) And for God’s sake, can we please beat that Mac Enroe curse !!!
    11) And guys, like I said, don’t be so sure that Roger only has a good chance at Wimby. Like I said, this year Roger will FIRST win RG !!!
    12) And like I already said, Roger will win 25 GS and there will be talk of a Roger Slam.
    13) I LOVE YOU SO SO SO MUCH ROGER !!! It’s Berdych payback time !!!

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    Charlie Reply:

    To say the least I think some of the predictions you have made are a little far-fetched (no offence), but no one would be happier than me if they turned out to be true. Lets just take it one tournament, match, set, game and point at a time. But as far as slams go:

    one more would give Nadal a very difficult target to achieve to pass Roger. There seems to be this crazy belief that Rafa can just go on dominating the French year after year. At some point there will be a clay specialist or all rounder who is more than capable of beating 30+ Rafa on clay. No player can last forever. Father time’s H2H is undefeated vs everyone. Two slams would put Rafa in an almost impossible position, and I think three more slams would put an end to the GOAT debate, particularly if one was a French Open. Of course this is all speculation and we are a long way from the French Open and Wimbledon this year, a lot can change in a short time in professional sports. Assuming Roger were to win this title, his new priority list would be (in order of importance):

    1. Beat Rafa or Novak in a slam (best of 5 set victory would silence the critics who claim that 3 set tennis is not real tennis or whatever crap they feel like saying)

    2. Win a large title, not necessarily a slam but a M1000 would be good to show he can be a factor when it really matters.

    3. Reach a slam final, this would be good, even if he doesn’t win it would be great to see Roger back where he belongs, playing for slam titles.

    Anyway good luck to Roger for tommorow.

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    Katyani Reply:

    Hey Charlie, I know some things I wrote are a little far-fetched, but it is nice to dream right?? I am not setting myself out for a disappointment, but still nice to daydream. And who knows, maybe Roger can make it happen.
    Ofcourse like all of us, I will take it one point, one game, one set, one match at the time. And to be honest, just one GS would for now be enough. Rafa cannot equal or surpass with 6 slams. He may win one slam a year or sometimes even twice, but guess what, even HE is getting older. It is harder for him to win. He is lately (even last year) on so many occations so close to lose.
    But honestly, I hope this year he wins atleast DC and the WTF. If he wins DC than he will not have to answer those questions anymore. If he wins 7 WTF than basically no one will be able to beat him there.
    Even if Roger loses to Berdych, I won’t mind. He already did more than we hoped for, so…. but a win would be nice, to finally beaten as I call it “The Mac Enroe curse”.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    No offence either Charlie but you said Fed would beat Djokovic 6-1, 6-3, which is far-fetched in anyone’s book.

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    Joe Reply:

    Thanks Ruan, your post was very inspiring to me. I saw the highlights (thanks for posting those too!) and I have to agree with you when you say “Maybe the best I’ve ever seen him play.” So sharp physically, and his mental state was almost scary good.

    But Djokovic looked good too! He threw everything he could at Roger, but wow what a great match it was.

    I saw someone post somewhere that Roger’s first serve percentage was only 50% in the second set. It’s very impressive that he could stay in and win the set if that’s true.

    This is such a high level that I wonder if Roger can keep it up. I see that he dropped the first set to Berdych, but I know he can come back to win!

    Ruan, no one would have guessed that you were sick when you posted your great perspective on this great match. I hope you will stay on the mend!

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    Charlie Reply:

    Yeah Ruan I guess we can all get a bit carried away sometimes. Anyway good that Roger got the title, and in some ways these tough wins are better than easy wins, because it will really help Roger to trust his game more in the big points. The theme for the whole of last year was succumbing to adversity, this year it seems to be overcoming adversity. What a difference it makes. To be honest I completely agree with you calling my prediction far-fetched, looking back I will even call it ridiculous. Indian Wells up next for Roger, and he can potentially gain 820 points there. Would be good to make at least the semi to start to push his ranking up again. Its just a matter of getting the consistency back, not getting beaten too many times by lower ranked guys and scoring the occasional big win, and as Roger said in an interview a few months ago the ranking comes when you play well and win titles. Should be interesting to see the Indian Wells draw when it comes out, with both Murray and Roger out of top 4, and Del Potro and Ferrer likely absent. I actually want Roger to draw Nadal, just to see if his improved game and tactics can have any impact in a best of 3, where it is easier to outplay Rafa. Wow this has turned into a long post, I think I wrote enough, I will end up repeating myself otherwise. Enjoy the tennis everyone.

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  8. Am I crazy to say that Fed’s has found a new lease of life? I don’t think I would’ve believed that Feds still had the hunger for big matches against big players. Dubai has been a happy hunting ground for Fed’s, and I’m so glad that he put the disappointment of losing that first set, to run rampet for the rest of the match. Definitely a positive sign for the season ahead, although, Berdych will be tough in the final.

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  9. What a great showing from Federer. He proved that even at 32, technique never dies. If he doesn’t win the tournament then I will be sad, because he truly earned it!

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  10. Anyone watching??? Me, I am too nervous. Roger has to win both sets now. Is he tired from yesterday, because Berdych is not playing that well right??

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  11. Well done! Federer has finished the title draught after a long time. Moreover, he is third in the number of titles won. Congratulation!

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    Katyani Reply:

    Finally getting rid of the JMac curse. Now he wanted this year atleast 4 or 5 titles. Isn’t it strange, Roger and Stan have a title, but Novak and Andy don’t???

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    rahan Reply:

    At least one title a year to 14 consecutive years. The first tournament he won no longer exists.

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    Katyani Reply:

    Hey Rahan, and don’t forget, he is and will be forever the ONLY winner on blue clay !!! Goat !!!

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    rahan Reply:

    How I miss blue clay :-)

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    Katyani Reply:

    Hey Rahan, please reply. How do you get a smileyface in a comment? What do you have to press?? (It’s not a joke, I am not that good with computers)…

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    Ru-an Reply:

    You press : and then ) Katyani. Or ; and ) to wink. Or : and P to stick your tongue out. Or : and D for a big smile. Hope this helps :-) ;-) :-P :D

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    rahan Reply:

    Ruans, thanks a lot: I knew only the sign of a smileyface.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    No worries :lol:

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  12. No one can call this a fluke either. Novak was playing his best and Berdych did not even lose a set before tonight….
    Ru-an, were you able to watch???

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    rahan Reply:

    Yes Katyani : Not for the Faint of Heart!!!

    But here we are:

    Open Era Title Leaders

    1 Jimmy Connors 109
    2 Ivan Lendl 94

    3 ROGER FEDERER 78

    4 John McEnroe 77
    5,6 Bjorn Borg, Pete Sampras 64
    7,8 Rafael Nadal, Guillermo Vilas 62
    9 Andre Agassi 60
    10 Ilie Nastase 58

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    Katyani Reply:

    Hey Rahan, surpassing Lendl might be doable if he plays for a lot of years, but Connors is not doable for anyone.
    How in the hell did Connors get so many titles???

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    rahan Reply:

    Hi Katyani,

    Yes this is Connors’s record for the NEAR future.

    Look at this list: 10 years of hard work to go from 78 to 110

    79. 1979 Hong Kong

    80. 1979 Dorado Beach,US
    81. 1980 Birmingham, US (6)
    82. 1980 Philadelphia, US (4)
    83. 1980 Dallas WCT Finals, US (2)
    84. 1980 North Conway, US (3)
    85. 1980 Guangzhou

    86. 1980 Tokyo Indoor, Japan (1)

    87. 1981 La Quinta, US (2)

    88. 1981 Brussels, Belgium

    89. 1981 Rotterdam, Netherlands (2)
    90. 1981 Wembley, UK (2)
    91. 1982 Monterrey, Mexico

    92. 1982 Los Angeles, US (3)
    93. 1982 Las Vegas, US (3)
    94. 1982 Queen’s Club, UK (2)
    95. 1982 Wimbledon (2)
    96. 1982 Columbus, US (3)
    97. 1982 US Open (4)
    98. 1983 Memphis, US (3)
    99. 1983 Las Vegas, US (4)
    100. 1983 Queen’s Club, UK (3)
    101. 1983 US Open (5)
    102. 1984 Memphis, US (4)
    103. 1984 La Quinta, US (3)
    104. 1984 Boca West, US

    105. 1984 Los Angeles, US (4)
    106. 1984 Tokyo Indoor, Japan (2)
    107. 1988 Washington, US (3)
    108. 1988 Toulouse, France (1)

    109. 1989 Toulouse, France (2)
    110. 1989 Tel Aviv, Israel

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  13. I want to add this press bit from before today’s final match. I hope everyone will enjoy it as much as I did.

    “According to Barry Flatman of the Sunday Times, Berdych thinks that he can win, although Federer wasn’t particularly impressed by Berdych’s confidence.

    Q: Tomas said earlier he was glad that he’s playing you in the final because he thinks he can beat you.
    Federer: Good for him.”

    I love this exchange!

    [Reply]

    rahan Reply:

    Yes, The Berd is very self-confident:

    “It’s very disappointing for me the way I handled that situation. I was in the better shape and playing really well and made my chances, but unfortunately I didn’t execute it in the end.”

    He should remember that only in the first set he managed to win 26 points vs. 24 points for RF.

    I would say “I was very lucky” instead of “I was in the better shape”.

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  14. So happy for R Fed! Great start to the year! Finals in Brisbane, Semis at Melbourne a Title in Dubai!

    Even more impressive – wins over Djokovic, Murray, Tsonga and Berdych! Only Nadal was the problem. Otherwise Roger would have been sitting at 18. Either way, Roger can definitely win Wimbledon this year – the way he is playing! Brilliant!

    Some of us were doubting Roger and it’s unfortunate but the GOAT showed yet again why he is who he is! :-)

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    rahan Reply:

    and now we can also be proud of BABY FED: he is winner in Acapulco
    7-6, 3-6,7-6 (vs. Anderson)

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  15. I talked to some tennis player who said Roger can’t beat the big guns. He was a customer, so I don’t remember who he was, but man, I’d love to hear him talk now. Vily stated the facts of the folks he has beaten this year, and it’s looking like it may be a great year. Did you guys see the interview with Roger where he said he would win, or agreed that he would win, the French and Wimby? Great answer. Sure, was all he said. Loved that. Roger, you played like we all know you can. Thanks for the great weekend. G

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  16. Hey Ru-an, some “good” news for you. Unfortunately Anderson lost the Acapulco final, but he played great I think. I only saw the last few games and the last TB and HE took chances. Came to the net instead of playing it over all the time. Unfortunately he made two mistakes that cost him the title. He is now up for the doubles final, hope he wins that. He was so disappointed. But kudos to Dimi. He beat Gulbis, Andy and now Anderson. Almost playing like 3 hours each match. Great for him.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    I’m glad Anderson lost. I don’t like him. And besides, I like Dimitrov and wanted him to win.

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    rahan Reply:

    What a coincidence:

    I was wandering about your feelings when I posted my previous comment:

    “and now we can also be proud of BABY FED: he is winner in Acapulco 7-6, 3-6,7-6 (vs. Anderson)”

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Yeah I had a feeling it was Dimitrov’s moment Rahan. Anderson is just mentally very weak for pro level.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Just wana make it clear when I said I don’t like Anderson I meant as a player. When I knew him he was a nice guy. That was a long time ago though.

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  17. Interesting question:

    do you think that the mental department of a 28 years old pro tennis player can be improved with the help of a psychologist ?

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Of course.

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  18. I completely agree Ru-an with your thoughts on the mental game, because at the highest level the margins are so small. If you look at stats even for the No.1 vs the No.100 the winners and errors can be really close to equal, but because the break point statistic favours the top player the score looks like a blowout. Once you possess most of the basic strokes to a high level, physical and especially mental aspects become increasingly important. One of the things that really annoys me is when a lower ranked player is leading a top player in a GS (lets imagine they are up a set and a break), and then when they serve out the set they go for a stupid drop shot or something. That can turn matches. Same reason why Stan is a slam champion and T-Berd, Tsonga and Ferrer are not. Obviously this is just my opinion, and if there is anything you or anyone else disagrees with feel free to let me know. :D still got a smile on my face after Roger’s 6th Dubai title.

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