Federer On Course for 7th Wimbledon Title

Hi Guys! Been really busy again lately, working 13 hours a day etc. Great to see you still commenting on my blog though. You guys are very loyal readers and I appreciate you not just moving on while I am still settling over here. I have been following Roger’s progress at Halle over the last week and I am delighted at what I have seen. Not that I ever doubted him. I saw a lot of negativity from fans after the French Open which was unnecessary. I never felt Roger was going to win the French Open or even make the final. The hunt for major #17 really starts here. I felt it was important that he did well at Halle after the French Open just because people were starting to write him off like they usually do when he doesn’t win everything in sight.

The match against Raonic was always gonna be key. He was probably the most dangerous player in the draw after Nadal. Roger lost the first set in a tie break but got the break right away in the second set. Then it was just a question of holding serve to even things up at a set all. The third set went to a tie break again and this time Roger got the job done pretty comfortably. It was a serving contest and one that Roger simply had to win. Losing to Raonic after the French Open would have been almost a disaster. It’s amazing how Roger keeps beating these youngsters. He showed once again that Roger 3.0 went nowhere and that the ability to win the close matches is still there.

People just overreact way too easily. The big surprise of the tournament was of course that Nadal lost to Kohlschreiber in the quarters. Big upset. That pretty much gave Roger the title as long as he got past Raonic. Roger beat Youzhny easily today as the win against Raonic would have given him a lot of confidence. He will face Haas in the final who I am glad to see doing so well after time out of the sport. So I feel Roger pretty much has this title in the bag now. One more match but he should be able to take care of business. If he does so it would be just what was needed at this point. In a sense the French Open was a disappointment and needed to be put behind him.

I think Roger will win Halle now and will be a strong favorite for Wimbledon. I said before that the US Open might be his best chance at a slam this year but we all know how special Wimbledon is for Roger. It is where he won his first slam and it would be peRFect if he can possibly win his last slam there and equal Sampras’ seven Wimbledon titles. I say ‘possibly’ because he can still win more than one slam if he keeps 3.0 level up. Well it’s been nice catching up with you guys. Happy the clay court season is behind us and that we are onto the grass!!

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70 Comments

  1. Hey Ruan.Glad to here that you have settled in THE USA bro.And a perfect post to start after the boring “CLAY” season.Its been good to read at perfecttennisblog and at leftyadvantage so the time is just going without just waiting for you to post these days.But We all are YOUR loyal readers and I dearly hope that you start your blogging routine as soon as possible.Anyways,back to the tennis.Roger has been showing great form in Germany and I hope that translates into GS success.I have been reading at the Bleacher Report lately and it puzzes me that most of the writers there are pure Nadal fans.One writer says that it is imperative for Nadal to put up a big show at Halle while another says that Nadals early loss will not affect him at all for Wimbledon.WHile another writer says that Nadal is the overwhelming favourite for SW19 above Roger and even Djokovic(Defending Champ not favourite,hmmm,says something about the writer isnt it??).Its just boring to read such silly articles and I mean this,”WE MISS YOU”.Hope you and Roger come back with a BANG THIS WIMBLEDON.

    V

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks V I appreciate that very much. I miss you guys too.

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  2. Hi Ruan it’s nice to see you post again. Hopefully you are living a nice life in the US. :-)

    As I admitted earlier before, I was very disappointed with Roger’s performance in RG against Djokovic. But earlier I just read that Roger actually had a hip injury throughout the clay season, this can explain his lack of 1st serves in the last few weeks. He says now that the injury is gone, and immediately you can see his serve coming back, in Halle Roger is serving crazy and you can count on them saving crucial points once again. Serve is a VERY important part in Roger’s game, it gives him a lot of cheap points and avoids rallying. Roger has done many shanks lately, whether that’s due to the bad hand-eye coordination because he’s older or because of the bad bounce on clay doesn’t matter. Good serves means that Roger would most likely get sitters and finish points quick. Talking about shanks Roger has done less in Halle now, but somehow more comes from the FH rather than the BH, especially when Roger wants to be aggressive it often results to the ball flying into the crowd.

    Now the question is: where/when did Roger get the injury from? Surely he played well in Madrid, otherwise he would have been bombed out in his 1st match. The slipperiness in the Final? I don’t think so. Watching the matches against Ferrero and Seppi in Rome his 1st serve was so accurate. In fact he got 12 1st serves in a row against Seppi up to set point. So I’ve come to a conclusion that Roger may have possibly got the injury from the Seppi match. After that against Djokovic the serve was gone, and it was the same all the way through RG. Is the Seppi curse that bad? But it’s gone now so that’s fine.

    Regarding Roger’s matches in Halle, I think he played well, it was a nice start with Mayer, he was a guy serving fast as well so he got Roger into rhythm. Then comes Raonic for the 3rd time, losing the 1st set and once again closing in a TB. Perhaps since Roger has been in the same position thrice he was more calm and played as usual. I didn’t feel too nervous when they went into the 3rd set TB, Raonic cracked under pressure when Roger managed to block a 1st serve and him slicing the ball into the net. After that came an excellent cross-court passing shot which gave Roger 4 Match Points. Raonic is a force but I don’t reckon he’s too big a threat in slams due to the large amount of errors he makes, big servers tend to have really weak serves in 4/5th sets, when certain Spainards grind long enough he may just scrape through the match (Refer to Isner last year). Today against Youzhny was just routining, Roger saved 3 BPs in the 1st set with his serves, got broken when serving for the match at was at 30 all at 5-4. But clutch Roger smacked 2 aces and sealed the match, which shows once again how important the serve is.

    I actually expected Nadal to lose against Kohlschreiber. Kohly did well but they was a part of Rafa tanking, and you wonder why the tournament directors love Roger and even named a street after him. Roger treats every single match with the same importance and with respect. He’s playing Haas in the final which I’m glad that he’s made a deep run in a tournament. Ah the good old days. Credits to him beating Berdych and Kohly, I feel happy for him.

    Now Roger is ready to claim his 75th title! If he does so only 2 more to equal McEnroe, the 3rd most in the Open Era, another record to celebrate. If Roger takes his game in Halle into Wimbly I say he has a fare chance in winning it, most of his service games are untouchable which provides him a cushion in the match. Let’s hope that Roger stays fit an healthy for the rest of the grass season. ALLEZ! :-)

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Jonathan I love it here :-)

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  3. Ru-an, am so happy you are back with your analysis on your blog. Have missed you a lot. Wishing you continued success in the USA. So glad your fans keep commenting on your blog, enjoy reading them all.
    Roger is doing well in Halle, he is much admired and loved there.
    Yes, the tennis writers keep gushing over Nadal, making excuses for him on his loss against Kohlschreiber, etc. Oh, well, we know better.
    Two old-timers are meeting in the Final tomorrow, should be a good match….good luck, Roger.
    Kindly,
    Dolores

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Dolores it’s nice to be in the US.

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  4. hi Ruan, hope all is well in the US
    thanks for the post… good to see a very optemistic title :-)
    i love Halle, it looks so beautiful. hope one day it will become a Master.
    few things about the post:
    – i think rafa’s loss means nothing. he will come focused and motivated to Londin and as always will be a great force there. dont forget the guy has made the final for the last 5 out of 6 yrs. and we all remember he never entered the tourny in 09.
    – Fed looks great and winning the title tmrrw hopefully will give him much needed confidence. still, with Wimby in mind, beating the 2 top guys one after the other in best of 5 set matches is a tough task and i believe Fed will need a little bit of luck.
    – who do we fancy at Fed’s half? i still contemplate that question… tend to think nadal is better. not sure.
    hope to read more of you soon!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks feddybear I agree that Nadal’s loss at Halle probably means nothing.

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    Jiten Reply:

    Dear Ru-an,

    Great to see the positive tone in your write-ups after your arrival in the US and I am very happy that you are on the verge of settling to your new environment there. Well, that Fed lost the final to Hass, should we take it in the same vein as Rafa’s loss or is there something more than that? In my opinion, Fed just had an off day at office today. It seems his body still has not settled down from the minor niggles yet. Probably this one week rest (with some practice in between) leading to SW19 will do him a lot of good.

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  5. About Nadal – he clearly gave a 60% effort in . He always loses early at Queens (apart from one year he won in 2008) to save energy. This way he gets the practice in, and a nice appearance free.

    The grass at Halle is really faster than wimbledon, they must use the old pre 2001 Wimbledon grass. Good for Fed to beat Raonic on such a fast service.

    Would have liked to see Fed play Nadal on natural grass like this.

    Haas is playing inspired, great grass court tennis. in a way he’s a lot like Fed, awesome serve, huge forehand, and his 1 handed backhand is very sharp (seems like he hits it harder than Fed, and doesn’t slice it as much). It will be entertaining tomorrow.

    I think Fed in 3 close sets.

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  6. Like Ruan, I am happy the clay court season is over. At least Roger bagged a Masters 1000 event in Madrid when dual whiners Djoker and Rafa went out. I admit I was very depressed that Nadal got slam #11 at RG. It is so important for Roger to take at least one of the remaining 2012 slams. 17 slams would be pretty damn hard for Nadull to match, but 16 somehow seems plausible.

    One thing not mentioned is this: If Roger wins Wimbledon and Djoker goes out in the semis or before, Roger will be #1 again on the computer! I really hope Nole loses early at Wimbledon so Roger can pass another of Pete’s records for weeks at #1.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Agree Candace 17 sounds like a nice number. Would love seeing Roger getting it this year.

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    Wilfried Reply:

    There is indeed a lot at stake in Wimbledon, no less than the number 1 position in the ATP rankings.
    Currently, Djokovic and Federer are separated by 2,970 point gap (12,280 – 9,310).
    If Federer were to win Wimbledon ’12 and Djokovic would lose in the semis, Roger would gain 1,640 points and Novak would lose 1,280 points, which would imply a total switch of 1,640 + 1,280 points = 2,920 points, which is 50 points short of overtaking Novak.
    In the scenario that Federer’s Halle points are being counted (Fed gets 150 points as finalist or 250 points as champion) and the Doha’12 points (90 ) being discounted, Roger will overtake Novak by 100 to 200 points.
    Djokovic and Nadal are currently only separated by a 2,220 points gap (12,280 – 10,060). If Nadal were to win Wimbledon 2012, he would only gain 800 points (= 2000 points (Wimby ‘12) – 1200 points (finalist ‘11)). This are not enough points to overtake Djokovic top position in the ranking.
    In summary :
    DJOKO: 1,280 – 2,000 (Wimby 11′) + 720 (semis WImby 12′) = 11,000 pts
    FEDERER: 9,310 + 150 (Halle runner up) – 90 (Doha SF ‘12) + 2000 (Wimby ‘12) – 360 (Wimby 11′) = 11010 pts
    NADAL : 10.060 + 45 (Halle QF) + 2,000 (Wimby) – 1,200 (finalist in 2011) = 10,945 points.
    Conclusion : there is a lot at stake in Wimbledon, especially for Djokov

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    WIlfried Reply:

    Correction.
    DJOKO: 12,280 – 2000 + 720 = 11,000 points.

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  7. If Fed can win Wimbledon or the US Open, I really think he’ll get to 18 Slams, since he’ll have another good chance to win those two titles in 2013 as well.

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  8. Ru-an, You haven’t told us what part of the States you are in. Close to any tournaments? We promise not to hunt you down.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Lol. I’m in Kansas right now. Travelling through the midwest. Doubt there is any time for tournaments.

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  9. Hey Ru-an! Glad you’re enjoying the US :-)

    Anyway, I was disappointed with Roger at RG, only because I wanted to see him put up more of a fight against Novak. And it’s not really just because of RG, but because I feel like his mentality goes in through one ear and out the other when he faces the top 2 in the slams. Maybe you can include anyone of the top 10 for that matter.. but, I know about the hip injury, so it was nice that he still managed to pick up a title in Madrid, because I hate clay anyway, and I know that that’s Rafa’s baby as well, so I’ll just leave it at that.

    He’s been looking great in Halle, and I agree, it’s nice to see him still getting through the tricky ones like Raonic. Hopefully a win in Halle can give him some confidence for Wimby, and more support from the crowd (not like he needs it with the size of his fan base), and get him back into the conversation for Wimby-olympics.

    Glad to see you blogging again, we’ve missed you!

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  10. Hi Ru-an! So glad you are back on duty!! No more leave for you for the rest of the year, eh, Ru-an!! You are missed too much. But your readers here are just so awesome. It doesn’t matter that you are not around, they just carry on commenting as if you don’t exist! Lol! Seriously, you guys here are the BEST!! It really feels like family here. Now, about the grass!! AAAWWWWW!!! Fed and grass – made for each other; like strawberries and cream! I’d forgotton how majestic and graceful he is on grass! And what about Haas and Kohlshrieber?! Such great players and classy gentlemen and so beautiful to watch too. Nadal, again, losing early and protecting his positive h2h with Fed. It’s frustrating how Fed has been consistently across the net, all these years, in all levels of tournament, on all surfaces, whether he’s top form or limping on one leg, to meet the top dogs but quite often they are not always there to meet Fed. It is heartbreaking for me that Fed has very few chances of improving his h2h against them and that Fed just gets punished for making the latter stages of a tournament especially when he is not 100% fit and on his less favoured surfaces. On the other hand, my admiration of our champion continues to grow of what a courageous, sincere, honest, and fair game player Fed is. I hope what we are seeing at Halle is a harbinger of what is to come – no. 17!! Allez Roger!!

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  11. How does one explain this erratic form that Roger is carrying at the moment? He came out of the blocks today against Haas but quickly dropped his level . Haas played great, but also with some generous help from Roger. Roger hits so many unforced errors it’s really exasperating to watch. What does it mean for Wimby? It just seems Roger’s consistency is not there anymore and he really needs some luck to bag #17…

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  12. accidentally put my comment on the previous post – at any rate this was a bad loss today.

    He got the early break but then seemed to lose comfort from the baseline. Put a lot of forehands into the net and even double faulted twice in a row at one point. I was hoping he’d go to the net more but he let Haas dictate the rally.

    He semeed pretty relaxed and was extremely gracious to Haas at the net, appluading Haas great play to get the break. So I guess he didn’t mind losing somehow.

    Still, was really hoping he would push for it, because it would give him confidence going into the first week.

    One thing is for sure – if he starts dropping sets in early rounds like the French, he probably really is injured and he’ll have difficulty getting past the QF if he meets a big server.

    Who would everyone like least to meet in the QF? Tsonga? BErdych? Del Potro?

    Nadal will get Ferrer of course…

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    Jonathan Reply:

    Tipsarevic or Ferrer in Roger’s quarter would be ideal.

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  13. Yes, a disappointing day. Is it like the loss to Roddick? Somehow letting his old rivals win another?
    Nalbandian sure behaved badly today. And then he blamed the ATP for being forced to play so many events. What an ass.

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  14. Wow, this loss to old man Haas is a killer. I was 100% convinced Roger would win this easily. This horrible trend he has of not holding his serve after breaking and losing leads is agonizing. A terrible portent of things to come at Wimbledon.

    I understand that Roger lost his serve 4 times in the second set of RG against Djoker. He didn’t want to face Nadal in the final, so I can hang with that. But losing to Haas when he was up a break in the first and squandering BP after BP? WTH?? He needed this win for hi confidence!

    Fed’s aura is slipping as we speak. He said in 2010 that the worst loss of the year for him was losing to Hewitt at Halle. This loss, even though it’s a lousy 250 event, is huge. There is no way Fed will even make it past the QF’s at W. in this form. It was Federror the whole match.

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    Kyle Reply:

    No reason to panic, and I’m dead serious about that. Haas played like a top 10 player and do you really think Roger’s confidence would be any higher if he won the event against a 34 year-old. If he beat Rafa or Berdych in the final, then sure, but if he were to beat Haas it’s not like it would spike his confidence that much. I believe he sees his game in a general way and he has said he’s happy with where he’s at heading into Wimbledon.
    So Fed loses one match to an inspired Haas and he won’t make the semis? So what, Nadal won’t make the quarters, since he lost terribly to Kohl? That logic is stupid. The last Slam he won, he came into it having lost for the second time in as many events to Davydenko, and then he beat Davy in the AO and routed the semis and finals. A 250 event literally means nothing in the grand scheme of things and there is no reason to panic yet. Fed played very well all week long and Tommy was just the better player (he was the best player all week).

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Agreed Kyle it’s ridiculous of Fedfans to make anything of this loss. Roger doesn’t only have to prove the haters wrong these days, but his own fans as well!

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    veronica Reply:

    Hey Ru-an, I want to stay positive. It’s not about proving something to someone or yourself. It is about staying competitive and relevant in whatever we choose to do in life. I wanted to feel free to share my feelings as I feel safe in this blog. I am all open to others opinions on how they saw Roger’s performances. I am ready for correction or whatever from all you commentators. In fact, please assure or convince me that this loss doesn’t mean anything!!!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    No worries Veronica it wasn’t aimed at you or anything. I understand where you are coming from and I like you.

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    steve Reply:

    Hi, Veronica. Hope you’re doing well.

    No loss is really good, but there are worse things than losing to a 34-year old Haas in a best of three, even if it was for the title.

    Haas played very well, he beat the world #7 (a man seven years his junior) and then the defending champ/Nadal’s conqueror on his way to the final. He was world #2 a long time ago and has incredible talent, especially on grass.

    He had that X-factor going for him this time. It may well be his last, magical title run and he just refused to be beaten, even by Roger Federer.

    Our man is playing pretty well, and he got the maximum number of grass court matches he could have, so he’s in good shape.

    Federer is doing all the right things. He’s raised his game and is playing more consistently than last year and winning titles again. If he just hangs in there and keeps plugging away, at some point he will get that small opportunity to get a crack at another major title and he can go from there.

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    veronica Reply:

    Kyle, I get where you are coming from. The thing is, I feel, Fed needs a bit of “practice” in the mental dept. He needs to get into habit of fighting, of being mentally tough; as long as he is physically fine. If he is not, I understand, let the match go. But if you are fit, and you’ve fought so well in the earlier rounds, plus you are NOT getting Nadal or Berdych in the final; what is the logical conclusion? Finish what you have begun and win the damn trophy, right??!! OK, Haas was inspired, maybe best player this week, even beating Berdych; but you could say the same for Fed too who was playing sublime tennis. However, watching how Haas got through to the final, I do admit that I wasn’t completely confident that Fed would win this final. Still, this tournament was Fed’s to lose especially after Berdych and Nadal lost early. I know in the grand scheme of things it may not matter but when you can’t even get a grip of opportunites, (however small or insignificant) that rarely come your way now, I can’t see how you are ever going to be a serious contender with the top guys again. And Halle is actually very significant if he wants to regain no. 1. He has everything to gain at Halle and he should maximise it. We can always say that winning Halle is no guarantee that would translate to Wimby success. But at the stage that Fed is in now, he needs every bit of confidence, every momentum, every opportunity there is to boost himself. I’m not depressed or disappointed or whatever. I’m quite “well-trained” now to take losses. I’m just struggling to understand this loss if I want to maintain that Roger 3.0 is still active and kicking.

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    Kyle Reply:

    Roger has had plenty of tough matches this year that he has come through, including one this week. He has fought better this year than he has since the summer of 2009. Sure, he may not be at his best all the time anymore, but would you rather he win Halle and lose Wimbledon or lose Halle and win Wimbledon? Again, losing this final to Haas is not a really bad experience like some other losses are – Fed was very happy for Tommy.
    I’m a positive person and choose to look at things that way. For me, I took out of Halle that Fed looked good on the grass, he served very well, and did enough to prepare for Wimbledon. Let’s face it, fast grass is a big change from slow clay, and it’s amazing that Fed made the super-quick transition as well as he did. Give it a week or two and he’ll hopefully have hit his best form on the grass. And with the #1 ranking in his grasp, he’ll definitely not be lacking motivation.

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    veronica Reply:

    Thanks, Kyle, I feel a bit more convinced already!! I’ll let it go. I too am happy for Haas as I’ve always liked him and really admire his toughness in coming out of injuries. Maybe Fed is happy where he is at on grass, he got a few games in already, and losing to Haas is like a “gift” to a good friend. OK, this match is forgotten already! There are loftier goals ahead!!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Exactly. Roger was glad for Tommy and so am I and that’s all there is to it.

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    Jiten Reply:

    Did anybody notice Fed clapping his racket after Hass had played an almost impossible backhand flick winner near the net? I have never seen Fed doing this to his opponents before. That really shows how much love and respect he has for Hass.

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    Bharata Reply:

    Yes I noticed this gesture as well, its’ pretty rare he does that – it’s not easy to impress Federer!

    I felt pretty down about the loss because of the way he lost it, getting broken at the critical moment (serving at 4-3). That’s usually when Fed breaks his opponent to serve it out.

    Also he slipped on the grass badly, hopefully that’s not a problem.

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    veronica Reply:

    Good observation, Jiten. I saw it too and I rewinded it few times to make sure I wasn’t seeing stars! That ultra generous gesture did help me accept this loss a whole lot better. He does have a lotta love for Tommy!! Maybe he could identify with Tommy – a father, desiring his daughter to watch him, still playing after 30 – everything that Fed himself is; so maybe he kinda didn’t try hard to come back in the match. But Fed is getting too mellow, too kind (maybe it’s the age and father thing). He can’t afford to have this kind of attitude and still hopes to stay competitive at the same time, it won’t work. Also, I think Djoko’s habit of applauding his opponent’s shots might have caught on with other players! Much as I dislike Djoko, I “grudgingly” like this about him and I think he is the most gracious loser on tour – he always looks opponent in the eye, gives firm handshake and sometimes even a pat on the back or a hug – very professional.

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    Jiten Reply:

    Hi Veronica. This just is a prelude to Fed vying for Djoker 2.0’s mental fortitude. No grudge. LOL!

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    veronica Reply:

    Haha! Jiten! I WISH he is!!

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    Sioux Reply:

    Hi Kyle,
    I agree with you. I am also very optimistic of Roger’s performance evem after that loss to Haas. I believe Roger is at peace with himself. All his achievements and tough losses. He started very well in the first game and second, but somehow he looked like he had a realization that he could win this match anyhow. So, instead of fighting hard and insanely competitive, he reserved his game so we could still enjoy a beautiful tennis match with some great winners and amazing shots from the both of them. I think he felt Haas needed the boost more than him.
    It looks to me as if he wants his veteran friends to still have hope and inspire the world, like his defeat to Roddick and Haas. Especially when he mentioned that “”I’m just really happy for him … happy that he’s been able to fight off so many injuries and come back and still believe in himself, still want to travel, still want to sacrifice his family (life) too,” during the interview.
    That tennis is not about power and youth. And at the same time he wants to encourage young up and coming stars to keep fighting hard to get where he is now, like how he treated Goffin and Raonic.
    I think Mirka’s smile at the end of the match yesterday says it all.

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  15. What is this?! What happened to Roger 3.0?! Was this the same Roger I saw who valiantly fought ace giant Raonic and routed Yohzny?!! The only reasons I can think of why Fed “gifted” the match away are : 1)He loves Tommy so much, he wants to make Tommy’s 13th title dream come true, 2)He still has niggling aches maybe. Those are the only reasons to “justify” such a lame performance from Fed. If those aren’t the reasons, then it is worrying times for us. The mental frailty seems to be showing its ugly head again. When there’s resistance which he didn’t anticipate, he can’t seem to put up a fight; (I think he was over confident about Haas and when Haas upped his level, he was taken by surprise and seem lost how to fight back). He can’t seem to mentally forget about sets that he feels he should have won and this distracts him from focusing on playing every point as a new one. He said as much in his presser here in Halle and also in USO against Djoko. No one is “entitled” to a “should have won this set”. You should have but you didn’t. Move on!! FOCUS AND PLAY the next point/set BETTER!! pooh! Rant over! Common Fed!! Bring it on!! PLEASEEEEEEE at Wimby!!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Nah Veronica he had a cold. Roger 3.0 is here to stay.

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    veronica Reply:

    Heeheehee! Ru-an! Must say your cool is one big comfort for me – like my soft big pillow that I punch every time Fed loses but which always stays soft and won’t hurt my hand and ever ready for me to punch EVERY TIME!! You stay cool, eh, Ru-an??!!!!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    You know I’m cool ;-)

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  16. You know, a lot of Federer fans panicked when Federer lost against Haas and said that he’s error-prone or following a trend that once he establishes a one or two-game lead he allows opponents back into the match only to see him lose. I don’t think that Halle reflects how Roger is going to perform on the big stage (grand slams). Roger played great against Raonic and even his second serve percentage was over eighty percent, which people have stated was a weakness in his game or his forehand volley. Roger will continue to work on these areas and tighten up his game as he continues to play more matches on grass. I believe in Roger and he has had a great year despite some losses and some inconsistent play especially after Madrid. People forget he is human too, he has had to deal with being sick ( Indian Wells, Halle) or some minor injuries and we can’t possibly know how much this affect his game or should we expect to him slug out every match just to win. I believe he has to be cautious in how he expends himself and prioritize to which tournament is of great importance. I believe Federer will win Wimbledon but it won’tbe easy because almost certainly he will have the most brutal draw but Federer always seems to manage to find a way through the draw with some close games. Congrats to Haas, who I think is one of the most talented palyers and is no slouch at the young age of 34. Remember Haas upset Berdych and Kohlscrieber, so he’s obviously played some great tennis of late. Wimbledon here we come. Go FED!

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    Dave Reply:

    Spell correction- players not palyers.

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    Wilfried Reply:

    Glad you’re back in town, Dave.
    I like reading your posts.

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    Dave Reply:

    Likewise, I enjoy reading your posts a long with most of all the other frequent visitors on here.

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  17. No one wants to hear excuses for losses, whether its Nadal fans (or the media) saying he loses because he is “tired” or “injured”, or Roger’s fans saying he is a “peace with himself” when he loses. What the hell does that mean! If his losses don’t mean anything, then neither do his victories. That’s not the way of great champions. The best of them hate to lose more than anything else. When it ain’t so then it’s best they leave the locker room. Because their opponent sure wants it. Like Haas yesterday.

    [Reply]

    Kyle Reply:

    There’s different degrees of losses though. I’m sure he wasn’t at peace with losing in the AO or USO or even Wimby vs Jo, but in a warmup tournament in a final against a good friend, why should he bother overanalyzing it? I hold my ground and say that he’s only content with the loss because it’s Haas. If he had lost to Rafa or Berdy or even Raonic it would have annoyed him far more, but Haas? The guy wanted one last title, everyone knows what it means to him, and even then, Roger got some great match prep. And BTW, losing to Haas is better than losing to Hewitt since Haas has some serious firepower and actually has beaten Fed in a Slam (and took him to 5 sets in 06). Maybe that’s off topic, but I guess my point is that this loss is not like the one to Hewitt two years ago. For one, he’s completely healthy which is the most important thing.

    [Reply]

  18. I agree with this. Saying he didn’t mind losing is sort of a rationalization of the loss.

    It seems more like he was unwilling to invest his total energy and focus. It’s like he was willing to win playing 80% only. Usually this is enough to beat anyone outside of the top 2, but Haas had upset Berdych and was playing well. Really, it was surprising to see him push Fed around especially using that great backhand.

    Or, maybe we are seeing that a Fed who is one half-step slower is vulnerable to guys he used to beat, I hope not.

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  19. Being a Roger fan is like being a parent. It’s all about expectations. If you expect your child to become a doctor and they choose to become a landscaper then there is disappointment. (Not that I don’t think landscaping isn’t a great job). But if the child is happy, then they are a success!
    For Roger, if he is happy and enjoying his tennis right now, then he is a success. If I have no expectations of him but just enjoy watching him play until retirement…then I’ll be more than happy with it all.

    [Reply]

  20. I have only one small worry, that he’s still dealing with whatever was affecting his game after Madrid. But he wouldn’t have gotten by Raonic unless he was playing very well and mentally very clutch, so more likely he just came out sloppy in the final.

    In best-of-three, lose the first two sets and it’s over. In best of five he would have had a chance to come back against Haas even after losing the first two sets (just like he did at RG three years ago, when he was five points away from being bounced in straight sets but managed to overturn the match in the nick of time).

    A player can win in best of three simply by randomly having one of those days where he gets hot, and every shot he hits goes in. There are more than a few players who can outhit even Roger Federer for two sets and if he’s a little off, they can beat him.

    This was surely the case with Haas, who played like a man possessed this week. He was truly hungry to win the title, probably more than Federer. In front of his home crowd, he clearly poured everything he had into this final–it might well be the last title of his career, after all.

    I’m happy that he managed to win this title on his comeback. So, too, is Federer, even if it was at his expense.

    This loss makes it difficult to assess the state of Federer’s game. No one knows what form he’s really in: merely very good? Or great, enough to overcome Nadal/Djokovic and capture the Wimbledon title? The champion probably has a much better idea than we do, but he ain’t telling and we won’t know for several weeks.

    The only consolation from the loss, if there is any to be had, is that the media expectations for Federer to win Wimbledon will be slightly less.

    He had enough matches on grass, now he just needs to soldier on and prepare for Wimbledon.

    [Reply]

    rich Reply:

    Some good points, Steve, but I am not so sure that Roger himself knows how he is going to play these days. His form can be good, but each match he plays can vary considerably. All it takes is a loss of accuracy or consistency at a crucial stage and the match is gone. Other commenters note how he breaks serve only to hand it back in the next game – that isn’t the Roger of old. His unforced error rate can cost him dear, as well as not making enough first serves when he needs to. I wonder if he is trying still to play at a level he was capable of a few years ago but now cannot execute as he used to. He stubbornly tries to hit his way out of trouble, but misses. Although a best-of-3 format is less forgiving of lapses the shorter matches often suit an older Federer. He is making more finals (and winning them) in that format than in the slams. Even though we have seen him come back from very difficult positions in the slams (such as in his qf against DP in the French) he also finds it difficult to sustain his form throughout the longer match format. Hence his blowing a 2-sets-to-love lead against Tsonga at last year’s Wimbledon.
    Like many fans, I enjoy seeing Roger playing well, but it is increasingly a nerve-wracking experience these days. You just don’t know what is gonna happen. He can start great and then simply disintegrate. I don’t know if he really knows what’s going on with his game either, because unlike others here I think he is largely a player of instinct rather than analysis. In the era of his peak talent he could trust himself to find his best game when he needed to. Putting it bluntly, now he can’t. I suspect Wimbledon will be a bit of a roller-coaster again. I don’t think the title will be his unless the stars come into alignment: he maintains form at critical times, and in a bit of unexpected good luck one or other of his two main rivals will be knocked out. But, as Haas has shown – beware the underdog.

    [Reply]

  21. Disappointing. It’s not the loss or the poor form (in a title match!). It’s the importance of that specific tournament for the upcoming stretch (the most important part of the year according to Federer). Federer could have built some confidence and more important, some deterrence. With that loss he’s just shooting his own leg. Everyone in Wimbledon will now think he has a real chance against him and that means he will have to work much harder. Disappointing…

    [Reply]

  22. If Roger won´t win GS this year, he never will. If he wins one then ai believe he can add 2 or 3 more. Anyhow I think it is more difficult for him to keep playing in highest level for longer period. He needs to play 100% in at least 3 matches in GS (QF, SF & F), maybe even one more if he meets Raonic or someone like that. Hope he is able to do it.

    [Reply]

  23. I think Wimbledon will be an open tournament with Nadal motivated with the FO victory and Djoker high on confidence but Roger has all the motivation in the world to get to his 7th Wimbeldon, 75th title and number 1 ranking (possibly) all in one go! He has had his eye on this part of the year including the Olympics and US open stretch. Go Roger!!!

    [Reply]

  24. Roger Federer is seeded third in the Wimbledon men’s singles draw 2012.
    Which is why I believe he will likely be drawn in Djokovic’s half of the Wimbledon men’s singles draw 2012, because the last twenty years, the third seed was put in the upper half of the draw, 13 out of 20 times, on spot number 33 :
    Year Third seed drawn at: Top seed Second Seed
    2011 Murray spot 33 ( Nadal: top seed; Djokovic :second)
    2010 N.Djokovic spot 33 (Federer:top seed; Nadal: second)
    2009 A.Murray spot 33 (Nadal:top seed; Federer: second)
    2008 N.Djokovic spot 33 (Federer: top seed; Nadal: second)
    2007 A.Roddick spot 33 (Federer:top seed; Nadal:second)
    2006 A.Roddick spot 96 (Federer:top seed; Nadal: second)
    2005 L.Hewitt spot 33 (Federer:top seed; Roddick: second)
    2004 G.Coria spot 33 (Federer : top seed; Roddick: second)
    2003 G.Coria spot 96 (Hewitt : top seed; Agassi: second)
    2002 A.Agassi spot 96 (Hewitt : top seed; Safin: second)
    2001 P.Rafter spot 96 (Sampras : top seed; Agassi: second)
    2000 M.Norman spot 33 (Sampras : top seed; Agassi: second)
    1999 Y.Kafelnikov spot 33 (Sampras : top seed; Rafter: second)
    1998 P.Korda spot 33 (Sampras : top seed; M.Rios: second)
    1997 Y.Kafelnikov spot 33 (Sampras : top seed; Ivanisevic: second)
    1996 A.Agassi spot 96 (Sampras : top seed; Becker: second)
    1995 B.Becker spot 33 (Agassi : top seed; Sampras : second)
    1994 S.Edberg spot 33 (Sampras : top seed ; M.Stich : second)
    1993 J.Courier spot 96 (Sampras : top seed ; Edberg : second)
    1992 M.Stich spot 96 (J.Courier : top seed ; Edberg : second)

    [Reply]

    Wilfried Reply:

    Needs to be corrected.
    Should be 12 out of 20 times,because in
    2011 Federer was third seed at spot 96.
    Sorry about that.

    [Reply]

  25. Three reasons why I expect Roger Federer to be drawn in the same half as Djokovic:
    1°) in the last 20 “Wimbledon draws” (from 1992 -> 2011), the third seed was 12 out of 20 times in the same half as the first seed (= 60% probability of a 1-3 combination in the upper half of the draw);
    2°) when the same player is third seed in two consecutive years, than in the Wimbledon draw he apparently isn’t drawn in the same half as in the first year. Evidence for this: G. Coria (2003: drawn on spot 96; 2004: drawn on spot 33); A. Roddick (2006: drawn on spot 96; 2007: drawn on spot 33);
    R. Federer (2011: on spot 96; 2012: drawn on spot 33????????)
    3°) in 2011, the third seed didn’t land in the upper half of the draw on spot 33 as it was the case in the four preceding years ( in my opinion to avoid a possible semifinal clash between Nadal and Federer);
    in 2012, to avoid a semifinal clash between Nadal and Federer, Roger needs to land in the upper half of the draw.

    [Reply]

    George Reply:

    You guessed it right.

    [Reply]

  26. I thought I would share my thoughts on the draw. A higher score represents an easier opponent based on potential meetings in that particular round.

    Djokovic
    1st Ferrero 1
    2nd Harrison/Lu 4
    3rd Stepanek 5
    4th Monaco 5
    Q Berdych 1

    Total: 16

    Federer
    1st Ramos 5
    2nd Fognini/Llodra 3
    3rd Benneteau 5
    4th Simon 3
    Q Tipsaravic/Isner 3

    Total: 19

    Murray
    1st Davydenko 1
    2nd Karlovic 1
    3rd Anderson/Baghdatis 3
    4th Cilic/Raonic 1
    Q Ferrer/Del Potro 2

    Total: 8

    Nadal
    1st Belluci 5
    2nd Dodig/Rosol 5
    3rd Kohlschreiber/Haas 2
    4th Lopez 3
    Q Tsonga 1

    Total: 16

    The way I see it Murray has a killer draw. Djokovic and Nadal have similar draws on the easyish side. Federer has a clear path to the semis.

    I like Fed’s draw and his chances! Go Fed!

    [Reply]

    Rajeesh Reply:

    Hi Josafina, I modified the difficulty level a bit,

    For Djokovic,
    Ferrero – 3
    Total – 18

    For Federer ,
    Ramos – 4(Playing for first time)
    Tipsaravic/Isner should be 2.
    Total – 17

    For Murray,
    Davydenko – 4
    Karlovic – 3
    Total – 14

    For Nadal,
    Belluci – 4
    Total – 15

    [Reply]

  27. i haven’t seen much where federer gets the easiest draw, he should make full use of it, make quick work of his opponents on court and hope he’ll be well rested and fresh come sf time, also nadal has a tricky draw with haas and tsonga, murray has the toughest one doesn’t matter much coz everybody knows he’ll not win a gs anytime soon :-P , i’d like to see massive servers like raonic/ delpotro(if he’s fit) to come through that quarter.

    [Reply]

    Wilfried Reply:

    On paper, I think with this draw Roger might reach the semis without having lost a set in the previous encounters. But the matches still have to be played, and things do not always turn out to be as easy as they look at first sight. Anyway, lets’s hope Roger plays well in WImbledon. Come on, Roger!!!!

    [Reply]

  28. Hey, hey, hey, Roger will now officially be the only male player to have won a blue clay event:

    http://www.atpworldtour.com/News/Tennis/2012/06/Features/ATP-Rules-Out-Blue-Clay-For-2013.aspx

    Nadal’s complaints were heard at the ATP; I guess this proves that something is rotten in the state of Denmark…

    I won’t make predictions for wimby because all my prior ones were off target; also I won’t follow it closely… I have a PhD thesis to finish…. sigh!!!

    Best,
    Vasco

    [Reply]

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