Federer Misses Great Opportunity Against Murray While Djokovic Secures Year End #1

Hey folks. Surprise surprise, I’m sick again. Must have something to do with Asia because I hardly ever got sick before I came here. I’ve only been able to watch one of Roger’s matches so far, the one in the afternoon session against Nishikori. Today he is playing his semi against Stan again in the evening session again which begins at 3 am here. Strange scheduling. And being in the state I am in I might have the miss that match too, as well as the final which begins at 1 am here. Oh well. I won’t make a long post about the final group stage matches either in an attempt to save my energies. I did say some things about the Murray match on Facebook if you want to check it out. I think Roger missed a big opportunity to double bagel Murray in the second last game when he was leading 6-0, 5-0 and 30-0 on Murray’s serve.

I looked everywhere for footage of that game but I only found one point, so that has to be taken into account. But from what I hear he missed a volley at 30-0 and made two more unforced errors. Then I read what he said in the presser afterwards and I was convinced he pretty much tanked that game because he was feeling sorry for his opponent. That is admirable and all, but this is pro tennis where the name of the game is kill or be killed. So that left a bitter taste in the mouth. More so because I realized that is the attitude which cost him the Australian Open in 2009 against Nadal in the final, which happened to be the most painful loss for me as a Fedfan. And judging from Roger’s reaction after the match it was the most painful loss of his career for him as well.

How often do you get the opportunity to double bagel an opponent, not to mention a two time slam winner? And then you feel sorry for your opponent when you have the chance? Get outta here! Anyway I don’t want to take anything away from Roger’s 6-0, 6-1 master class over Murray, but it just reminded me why Nadal now owns Roger in he head-to-head and why Nadal is breathing down his neck in the GOAT debate. And this has happened against Djokovic too in two US Open semis where Roger was match points up and failed to drop the hammer. I just hope it doesn’t happen should they meet in the final here, but I’m not gonna expect it. From what I heard and saw Roger was on fire against Murray which was great to know anyway. It takes some doing to hand a quality player like Murray a bagel and a bread stick.

39% first serves?!

So I am delighted with Roger’s from so far in London and he will have a lot left in the tank for the semis and finals if he makes it. He now plays Stan which is a bit of an awkward match, especially with Davis Cup ahead too. After Stan got schooled by Djokovic he came back to beat Cilic in three which was great to see. It shows that the match against Berdych was not just a one off and that he seems to be finding some form indeed. This is huge for the Swiss Davis Cup chances. It also shows how damn well Djokovic is playing that he man handled Stan the way he did. Djokovic then also went on to secure the year end #1 with a 6-2, 6-2 drubbing of Berdych yesterday. There never was much doubt that it was gonna happen after Roger lost to Raonic in Paris and in the end Djokovic claimed the #1 in no uncertain terms.

In the end he clearly deserves the #1 ranking after what he did this year compared to Roger, so I am fine with it. I would however like to see Roger spoil his party now and I do believe he can do it after what I’ve seen from his this week(which isn’t a lot mind you). But I can tell where Roger’s game is at by watching highlights anyway, and after what I’ve seen I now believe more than I did at the beginning that he can win the title. Yes the court speed favors Djokovic and he is in devastating form, but Roger is playing as well as he can too. This is not 2012 where he was burned out or last year when he was low on confidence. I have no doubt he can win the title, but he needs to win two more matches first. We know how tough Stan can be when he is in the zone. So that will be hard enough.

Nishikori also qualified with a three set win over alternate Ferrer after Raonic withdrew due to injury. Nishikori is the same as Stan in the sense that he can beat anyone on a given day. That said, Djokerer goes into their respective semis as the favorites. It seems destined that we will have a Djokerer final, kind of like it was in 2012. They are the two best players of the year and it is only fitting that they play in the WTF finals. And if it happens Roger will have a great opportunity to spoil Djokovic’s party. If he wins he will go to 4-2 against Djokovic for the year and to 20-17 overall. So then you have a situation where the one player is more accomplished but the other player owns the head-to-head, a lot like Fedal. But Djokovic did win that all important Wimbledon final so even in the head-to-head Djokovic would have it better.

KOMM JETZA!

I’m sure Roger would happily exchange the head-to-head with Djokovic had he won the Wimby final. But whatever the case may be it would no doubt be huge if Roger can win the WTF and I think he has a great shot. Well I have already written a lot more than I planned. I suppose I just had to have my say. The semis should be awesome to watch, not to mention the final if we have a Djokerer one. I am looking forward to see if Kei can at least make life difficult for Djokovic and then I will see if I can somehow watch some of Roger’s match. Problem is I’m having laptop difficulties again too! Wow. Maybe it is a sign that my health should come first and that I should not have gotten up at 3 am to catch a glimpse of the Djoka match during the week.

Highlights

Posted in World Tour Finals.

48 Comments

  1. Nah I saw the match live on TV. Let me tell you he so wanted to win that point at 30-0. He looked super disappointed that he missed that volley but mind you it wasn’t aa easy one. Then Murray hit two good serves. Only one point where Federer played badly you could say Roger might not have been fully focused. Look I think you are making too big a deal out of it. Let me actually quote you from a previous post. You were super disappointed after Indian Well 2012 that he didn’t win the match against Nadal by two breaks in the second set saying that he lacked killer instincts. Basically Roger went on a tear after that winning loads of close matches (against Raonic,Berdych,Del Potro,Raonic,Bennatau,Djokovic,Murray,Del Potro). So my point is the double bagel barely matters. If Roger wins the tournament then its all good.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Winning the WTF is not gonna turn the h2h vs Nadal around is it? Neither is it gonna stop Nadal from continuing to close in on his slam count. Sometimes one should look at the bigger picture. And I don’t buy that he wanted to win the point at 30-0 so badly. He said himself he didn’t. So there’s that.

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    Ajay Reply:

    I saw the match man. Try to watch a replay if you don’t believe me. What Roger said was in hindsight it would have been pretty ugly. Infact atleast see the full presser. He first told he wanted to win the game. And about Nadal H to H. I don’t see how it is relevant right now.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Well I didn’t see the match simply because I couldn’t find it anywhere. As far as the presser goes I think it’s pretty clear what he was saying. He was HAPPY that he didn’t win the second last game and he DIDN’T LIKE being in that position. If that is how you feel then you are not gonna play your best, are you? I don’t blame him for it. And no matter how hard you try to deny that it is the reason why Nadal owns the h2h and is closing in on Roger’s slam count, it remains a fact. I know it is a painful truth for Fedfans to accept but better to accept the truth than live in denial.
    Anyway I can already see my readers are focusing on the one negative thing that I said instead of the many positives I mentioned. That should already tell you something.

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    Alex Reply:

    I understand what everyone is saying that given the way Roger beat Murray was something that cannot and probably should not be criticised but I fully understand what Ru-an is saying as well. It’s definitely one of the bigger factors as the reason the h2h with nadal is so one sided, in that he always did lack the killer instinct. This could also be evident from his break point conversion rate (although related, that is a whole different story on its own). Anyway we can rest assured that with age and the fact that he has to shorten the points nowadays he has become a lot more clinical than he used to be. The problem with nadal though, especially after AO 2009 which scarred him psychologically forever is a mental one. That coupled with the fact that nadal takes so much time away from his opponents (coz they know they have a limited amount of time to hit a clean winner and if it’s anything other than perfect they know that he WILL chase it down) makes Roger too eager at times and going for too much and ending up with unforced errors on points where on a normal day at the office would have been routine. Nadal and Djokovic DO have that killer instinct and this is evident by the manner in which they usually beat down on the lesser opponents. Wouldn’t hurt Roger to be more like that I believe.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks for admitting the truth Alex. And you are totally right that Roger has improved mentally with age. Against Stan was another example of it.

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  2. Ru-an,

    I really enjoy your blog but I believe that the first part of your post was completely unnecessary. Instead of focusing on the masterclass performance and the most humiliating defeat of Andy Murray’s career by the Swiss Master, you are focusing on Roger’s missed chance of the double bagel. He basically destroyed and humiliated Murray like never before in front of his home fans and you basically stated that Roger lacks the killer instinct and that explains his h2h record with Nadal. Just hear yourself! That is absolutely a ridiculous thing to say. I really like your blog and I REALLY share a lot of your views but on this one I wanted to tell you what I felt.

    I mean, to be honest Murray had a 40:30 lead on 3 occasions in this match – at 1:0 in the first, at 3:0 in the second and at 5:0 in the second.

    Roger was able to turn it around in 2/3 and break Murray. I believe that we can forgive him for missing on the third one.

    As far as I know they don’t give out special trophies for double bagels and I’m sure that you’ll agree that winning the tournament 7:6 in the third will mean much more than losing it even if he got the double bagel.

    In any case, I hope that you are not too upset with me..

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    Ru-an Reply:

    I’m not upset. I’m sure you’ll do well in the thumbs up department though ;-)

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  3. I have to agree with Ajay on this one. I also saw the match and Federer did something similar to what Djokovic did in the Beijing final when he was leading 6-0, 5-0. It was not a choke, more like a semi-choke. Murray did win that game, Federer did not give it away.

    Besides that, Federer played absolutely perfect. Reminded a little bit of how he played against Novak in Shanghai.

    It’s gonna be a great final…

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Well I’d still like to see it myself but it hardly matters as far as the WTF goes. So lets not focus on it anymore. As for the final if you mean a Djokerer one then it is not a certainty yet. Stan can’t be underestimated.

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    Joe Reply:

    Elegantly quotable, yet subtly understated!
    :-)

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Haha can’t believe Stan did S&V on all those match points Joe. He could easily have won this. What was he thinking!?

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  4. Guys,

    I don’t know what it is but I have a strong feeling that Roger will dispatch Wawrinka today in straights, but more importantly that he’ll beat Novak tomorrow in 3.

    Novak has now been broken at least 3 times in this tournament by Cilic, Wawrinka and today by Nishikori. I have no doubt that Novak is ruthless at breaking and even at breaking back.

    However, I have a strong hunch that Roger will take the first set. Novak will come out strong in the 2nd and will even the scales.

    But in the 3rd Roger will rise and claim the trophy. This is my feeling and I feel very confident about my predictions. You can feel free to blaim me if it doesn’t pan out this way.

    I for one did not see Nishikori taking a set of Novak even though it does make sense. If anything else, that reinforces that Roger does look a little bit more in the zone than Novak. But it will be tight.. As long as Roger is ruthless, he’s claiming this trophy! :-)

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  5. Hi Ru-an, sorry you are feeling a bit under the weather take care. Watched the match today of course Djokovic deserved to win but on my how he yearns to be liked…it’s definitely unfair when the crowd cheer at a double fault but if only he wouldn’t show that it gets under his skin! However I’m expecting a lot of cheers tonight at an all Swiss semi-final, just hope the right Swiss wins so C’MON ROGER x

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thank you Elizabeth. I’ll be fine :-)

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  6. Hey buddy, feel better. I think it might be poor air quality. I still have a scratchy throat from the china trip and that was many weeks ago that I returned. I saw the match and it was a mega blow out. Aside from Rogers first serve percentage, roger was perfect. Murray played very poorly and moping around the court with a miserable attitude the whole time didn’t help him either. I think the one game is irrelevant, Roger was extremely ruthless, even throwing in the drop shot / lob volley combo a few times just to humiliate the guy. Roger was not soft. He slapped at a couple of shots that game, maybe careless, maybe overzealous. I’ll be curious to hear what you think when you’ve seen the match. Komm Jetza!!! I made my wife watch roger say that 30 times before she could understand what he was saying. LOVE that you quoted it because it’s what he most excitedly says to himself. Feel better!

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  7. Erm, looks like God-mode Wawrinka has decided to make an appearance tonight. It’s one-set apiece, but a poor overrule by the umpire has gifted Stan a break at the start of the deciding set.

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  8. This is annoying though – Novak is sat at home enjoying this (amazing) match, and these two guys are probably really tired. Whoever wins is going to be gassed tomorrow, surely?

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  9. Yay!!! GO Federer saving match point/s didnt see it scoreboard online Federer into the final!
    I hope Stan didnt take the starch out of Fed in this match for tomorrow Vamos Roger!

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  10. The Mighty Fed saves 4 Match Points to win 4-6, 7-5, 7-6! 8-6 in the tie breaker.
    Ridiculously clutch from Roger, but Stan will be absolutely kicking himself. Even though I’m a Fed fan, it’s clear Stan was really playing well, probably outplaying Fed until about 5-4 in the final set.
    REALLY hope Roger has enough in the tank to face Nole tomorrow!

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  11. Wow OK. My TV signal cut out EXACTLY as Federer was serving at 5-6 in the tiebreaker (!). What happened next? I was going crazy and by the time the signal came back he was signing the camera…

    Well Federer was cheated 2 times: first, the first point of the 3rd set; then his serve at 4-3 in the tiebreak was actually in, but that umpire called it out…but Fed never challenged…

    Well he will be exhausted now. But I’m glad he made it.

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  12. YES!!!

    I’m pretty sure Roger’s “weak mental game” from the last few years is totally gone. He certainly is the most clutch player on tour right now. Unfortunately, I can’t help but feel he’s gonna be tired for tomorrow. It’s one thing to save match points against Leonardo Meyer and then have to play Bautista Agut the next day, and a totally different thing to save match points against Stan and have to play Djokovic the next day. Sincerely hope I’m wrong though. Fantastic match today either way.

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    steve Reply:

    The only thing I can hope is that the relaxed little practice session he had against Murray will have helped him save enough energy for Djokovic.

    The new racket has increased his effective endurance because it allows him to generate power and spin more easily and stay closer to the baseline rather than be run ragged from the back…hopefully this will be enough to allow him to play well tomorrow.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Yes it seems with age this is the one thing that has improved Chris. He seems better mentally these days. Can’t believe he saved match points again!!

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  13. I had all but given up hope when he went a break down after that ridiculously horrible overrule…but because he’s Roger Federer, I kept watching, hoping against hope that he could pull it off, swearing at the TV every time he missed a chance to break back (and he missed many!)

    It was a very fractious encounter, Federer seemed distracted and annoyed at times and Wawrinka’s level varied from sublime (most of the time) to amateur (on a few of the most important points), Cedric Mourier also seemed out of it at times (besides the crappy overrule, he once spoke to the crowd in French, forgetting that just because he was umpiring French-speaking players didn’t mean he was in a French-speaking country).

    But somehow he survived it all by dint of sheer bloody-mindedness (and some occasional great shotmaking) and finished the match with a classic chip-and-charge. Still, I’m not sure how he managed it. Perhaps even Wawrinka subconsciously felt what an anticlimax it would have been for him to make it to the final only to receive a second helping of what Djokovic dished out to him a few days ago. Perhaps it was Federer’s all-court play that he pulled out on important points and that Wawrinka couldn’t duplicate. I don’t know.

    Many times Federer has mounted an amazing comeback only to fall agonizingly short at the last second…but this time he made it all the way past the finish line. Hopefully he has enough for the world #1, who also had to play three sets to get to the final.

    I’m so proud of his fight and heart today. But there remains one more match. So c’mon Roger!

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  14. Guys, as you can imagine I am JACKED right now and my HR is through the roof. WTF? Where the heck has this Stan been all year and especially against Djokovic. Everyone freaking wants to kill Roger nowadays. And jeez. 4 match points and more missed opportunities. The tie-break was insane too. The game at 4:5 was absolutely ridiculous… Jesus!

    I’ll shut up about tomorrow. If Roger is lucky he’ll win. He’s already LUCKY to be there! ;-)

    Allez!

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    elizabeth Reply:

    I said in a previous post that no matter who got through they would burst a gut playing Fed. I always think Stan looks so angry and maybe he was as Roger had to duck a few times, I was just thinking if one of his bodyserves had hit its mark the match would have been over! But as you said Vily where was this Stan when playing Djo? Hope that Fed is ok and fingers crossed for tomorrow..C’mon Roger x

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  15. Just to copy my post from Jonathan’s blog as it summarises my thoughts fairly well:

    Wow, just finished watching and reading about the match. Well played Roger!

    P.S. Sedatives and a defibrilator anyone?

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  16. Guys, I owe you an apology. I learned a great lesson today – that you can never be too confident or too cocky about anything in life. There isn’t such a thing as a sure thing.

    I think that both Roger and Novak were victims of their overzealousness to outdo each other. The race to 6:1 and 6:0 scores took a lot out of them and in the end it nearly cost them everything. Such shorelines make you feel invincible and almost cocky and careless to a fault.

    When I saw how Nishikori took the 2nd set today I saw it coming. I never imagined that Stan will jump on Roger the way he did but to me the fault is entirely Roger’s. I am pretty sure that after that 6:0 6:1 drubbing of Murray, he completely relaxed and felt that he can beat Stan with relative ease. And it couldn’t be further than the truth. Even worse than that, even I fell for the trap. Today, Roger saved 4 match points and he may end up winning the tournament that he’s lucky to learn this lesson without losing the match. It could have been much worse.

    Never underestimate your opponent! No matter what! :-)

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  17. And here I thought this match was a foregone conclusion! How wrong was I… Well OK fed did make it through in the end but barely. I was so sure that this would be another borefest and that fed would destroy wawrinka…three letters best describe what happened today. WTF???????

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  18. I know that it was an epic match today and it would be easy to thank Roger for the comeback and leave it at that but he knows and we know that the task in not done. The fighting is not done. There is STILL a final to be won and Roger should rest up and mobilize as best as he can and get up for the match.. Only after he wins, he can enjoy it.. Now is not the time to reflect on what transpired. The quicker Roger gets over this the better.

    Let’s go, Champ! One more win and you will be the Champion once again! ;-)

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  19. Haha! What did I say, Vily?! You never know. And given this year’s wacky results, you can never be too confident how the next match will go no matter how well a previous one was played. The “bursting a gut” to play Roger that Elizabeth mentioned is a big factor when we predict Roger’s results. It’s harder to be confident that Roger will win because of this additional factor as compared to Djoker where all players shrink when they play him. Maybe I’m the only person here nervous about Stan. I guessed it would be a hard fought 3 setter and it was. Stan matches up well with Roger and since winning AO, he is more confident and less fearful/respectful (professionally, not personally) of Roger and every time these 2 meet, I’m nervous because he can blow Roger off the court if his head holds up. Thank god his head didn’t hold up last night!! Haha! Roger lives to fight another day. Hopefully he has enough recovery time. It’s gonna take full alert against Djoker tomorrow. But Djoker did mention he was tired too so that’s good news. C’mon Roger! LIFT that trophy!!,

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    Ru-an Reply:

    It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that Stan couldn’t be underestimated Veronica. Glad you didn’t fall for it. Stan should have won, but looks like he insisted on gifting Fed the match with those ridiculous S&V plays on MPs.

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    Vily Reply:

    I am worried because usually as history tells us, a Roger almost always loses after a miraculous comeback..

    I really hope that’s not the case but the stats don’t lie.

    Epic win against Del Potro in London Olympics – 2012 and he got killed in the final.

    Epic escape against Monfils at this year’s US Open – he got straight-setter by Cilic

    Just cave back against Wawrinka – I can’t help but feel that he’ll lose tomorrow.

    But you know what – I prefer that. Rather to be pleasantly surprised than to expect a win and get down emotionally.

    Obviously Roger cannot allow to fall behind again but we’ll see. If he is able to steal the first set, I think that he can pull it off in two or three sets.

    In any case, whatever happens happens. It’s already been a good year – if it can be a great one – so be it. Today the Gods were once again on Roger’s side. Let’s hope it plays out similarly to Shanghai where he won the tournament. A tight win is still a win.

    Ru-an. Hopefully you’ll get to see it. But I am glad you didn’t get to sit through today.. It was at times very difficult to watch…

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    Alex Reply:

    I know what you mean Vily, although I didn’t watch the match, I fear it may have taken too much out of him. I’ve already lowered my expectations. I’m sure he’ll give his all though.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    You worry too much about history Vily. Live in the moment. If anything he needed a match like this to prepare him for Djokovic. I do think the schedule is strange but whatever. The good thing is that Roger will still be fresh after he lost early in Paris and got through his RR matches easily. As for not sitting through today these are the kind of matches I watch tennis for so it is a shame I could not watch but I am proud of myself that I put my health first this time, as I went to sleep around the time the match started.

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    ben chia Reply:

    Hi ru-an, I know exactly how u feel. I live to watch matches like these too but am holidaying with family at Hong Kong at moment so can’t catch many games. “Surviving” on highlights and illegal YouTube recordings (before they get taken off). Do take good care of your health. We need u to keep this blog going! Ps+ I think this great escape helped Roger prepare for the final show down. Dunno why but it Felt like the Mayer game… here’s hoping for best tmr! Already proud of Fed tremendously this yr :-)

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Hi Ben Chia, personally I can’t understand how people do not like these kind of matches. Do they prefer boring one-sided matches? Lol. These are the matches that gets the excitement and adrenaline flowing. Good to know I’m not the only one missing out in the matches. I hope you are enjoying your holiday with family in Hong Kong though!

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    Ben chia Reply:

    Hi Ru-an, I’m really enjoying the weather in HK now. Forgot that I have an exception to the norm. I.e. I do like “boring one-sided matches”… if it’s anything to do with Nadull getting crushed. That never gets old for me! LOL!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Well that is something altogether different BC. The more one-sided it gets with Nadull the better!

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  20. Oh Nooooooo!

    What an ANTICLIMATIC finish – Roger had announced that he’ll withdraw…jeez!! So sad and terrible!

    Aye aye!!! Veronica, God damnit! You called it and you were right!

    But it is a final!!! Jeez!!! Aye aye!!! So sad!!!

    Never seen this happen.. I’ve seen Roger withdraw in Doha prior to the semis but prior to a WTF… The final..

    So so sad. Almost wish that he didn’t win yesterday and didn’t get injured…

    Noooooo!!!!

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  21. This is so FUCKING sad. Roger loses the title and now he’ll probably lose the Davis Cup too because his back is screwed up. God damnit…

    Noooooooo!!! I was so ready to watch too. This is simply pathetic.. Roger, WTF?????

    Dude!!!! 6:0 6:1 show off… Than fuck against Stan and now injury…. Terrible!!!

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  22. Now there’s a bunch of talk about a problem with Stan last night. That he was pissed off and had words with Roger’s camp and then the two of them had a argument or something in the locker room after the match that lasted a really really long time, preventing Fed from getting into the training room and getting a message. He didn’t get to his presser until 1am. This all really blows!!!!

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  23. WTF, and I don’t mean World Tour Finals http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/roger-federer-stanislas-wawrinka-war-ahead-switzerlands-davis-cup-final-against-france-1475089

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Yeah I saw this Eric. The big question is could Roger have played the final had he gotten that back worked on immediately instead of having to deal with Stan? It’s very important to get these things worked on before it cools down, after which is becomes very stiff. Wow.

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    Vily Reply:

    If this is true, I am actually very UPSET at Stan.

    First of all, why all this “butt hurt”?

    Second of all, what is he Heck is Wrong with Stan?

    Roger has always supported him and was the first to call Stan after his AO triumph.

    Then, when Stan stole Monte-Carlo from Roger, Roger wasn’t angry and he showed class in congratulating him there as well.

    Finally, what the heck is wrong with Stan? Isn’t he supposed to be helping Roger?

    Where the heck was this ruthless Stan against Djokovic when that would have helped Roger for the Year-End Number 1?

    And why try to push Roger to the brink when all you have done in the prior matches is okay poorly?

    And at the end, instead of accepting defeat, no matter how hurt you are, you mess up with Roger’s recuperation and treatment.

    I hope that he apologizes and moves on because that wasn’t cool at all.

    Not only did he do nothing against Novak (fell meakly 6:3 6:0). Not only did he tire out Roger unnecessarily but also he’s arguing with him in crucial moments after the match.

    What can I say? My opinion of Stan has reached a new low after this.. Not cool!!!

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Stan is a jerk. I lost all respect for him after this.

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