Federer Looks Forward to World Tour Finals

“I don’t feel like five, six, seven, and eight have no chance,” commented Federer. “I definitely think they have a chance to go deep, like it was in the year with Juan Martin del Potro and Nikolay Davydenko making the finals.

“Fish and Djokovic at this point look a little bit weary. But then again, I think with a week’s break everything can heal and they are maybe going to be in top shape.

“I do believe if Djokovic is fit, and Murray fit as well, which it seems like he is, they are also going to be difficult to beat.

“And Rafa, regardless how he is going to be, he is always a tough customer. So I think it is going to be a really good World Championships.”

http://www.espn.co.uk/tennis/sport/story/121264.html?CMP=OTC-RSS

 

I hope you are still enjoying Roger’s win in Paris. Roger in the mean time has looked ahead to the Masters Cup in London next week, saying the Murray and Djokovic will be tough to beat. I love how the title of the article is ‘Murray a major obstacle in London – Federer‘. And of course this is a British website. The British keeps putting pressure on Murray despite the fact that he is clearly feeling it. It’s not that the title is completely off. It’s just that extra spin they put on it to an extra bit of pressure on Murray. Roger has played mind games with Murray in the media before, but I don’t think that was his intention here. I think he was just being honest when he said that Djokovic and Murray will be the ones to look out for, as well as Nadal. I mean that is what I would have said. I think the last time he put the pressure on Murray was before the 2010 Australian Open final.

There he had a reason to do it because it was only Murray standing in his way. Why would he single out Murray in this situation? That would mean Murray is his biggest threat, which is not the case. The way I see it Djokovic is the biggest threat to Roger if he is healthy. But that is a big if because he is looking weary like Roger says. I think Djokovic should have skipped Paris, in which case he would have been better prepared for London. But he decided the money was more important. Then Nadal is the next biggest threat for me. We know Roger has never lost to him indoors, but he remains a threat due to the match up issue. Last year he was the only guy to win a set off Roger. And third comes Murray. Murray had a good chance to come in as a hot favorite after his exploits in the east, but then he got a sketchy injury in Basel and choked against Berdych in Paris.

The fact that they play in London is added pressure for Murray. The guy just can’t step it up in the big time. As for number 5-8 I don’t see how we can have something similar to the Del Potro/Davydenko final. Probably the guys that can make the biggest impact of the last four is Berdych and Tsonga, but we saw what Roger did to them in Paris. In the end Roger is the clear favorite to take a record sixth title for me. I don’t think the groupings matter too much. Roger will have either Djokovic or Nadal in his group. I already said that I hope it is Nadal, but Djokovic won’t be too bad either. It would be good if he gets Djokovic early. Roger is coming off a high and Djokovic has been struggling, which means he can get a much needed win over the Serb. Then it won’t be bad to have Fish and Ferrer in his group, because I can’t see him losing to either one of those.

Tsonga and Berdych are bigger threats, but he just beat both quite comfortably in Paris. So in the end I would like Nadal, Fish, and Ferrer in Roger’s group, but if it is the other three it is not that bad either. Roger will try to win all his matches anyway, and will be the favorite for doing so. These days this is the best time of the year to be a Fedfan. We get to relive the glory days when Roger was effortlessly dominating the tour. Roger goes into the Masters Cup with the best possible preparation. Last year Roger was going through a tough time in the middle of the year and he needed to rebuild, starting in Toronto. He went on an impressive run, but it took him quite a while to get back to his very best at the Masters Cup. This year he has actually been playing at a more consistent level.

He was still playing very well at the US Open. Therefor it was easier this year to kick right into top gear again when the indoor season started, even though he skipped the Asian leg. Yet there is still an upward slope of form here. Roger has been more impressive in Paris than in Basel. He has had tougher opposition in Paris and showed more impressive form. Therefor I think he can play even better in London. When Roger was at his very peak in London last year he didn’t have one ‘off’ match. There was only one match where he was not quite as impressive as in the others, which was against Soderling. I think this year we could see something similar. In Paris Roger had the one ‘off’ match against Monaco, but if the upward trend continues then Roger won’t have a match like that in London.

If he does want to have an ‘off’ match, then it must be in the round robin. The thing about the Masters Cup is that there are no ‘easy’ opponents like Monaco. But the round robin system does allow for you to lose one match and still qualify for the semis. Anyway my point is I don’t think Roger will need a match like that. I think he can win the event like last year without losing a match. Lets not forget that the Masters Cup is the unofficial fifth slam. There are no easy draws and only the player who is in the very best form wins. Roger sure is in great form and he must once again use this opportunity to get some important wins under his belt. He can use a win for his head-to-head’s with the top three especially. He is 1-4 against Djokovic for the year and 0-3 against Nadal. A win against each of these would be the peRFect way to cap off the season.

I am now very much looking forward to London. I don’t want to set my expectation too high, but I simply can’t deny the fact that Roger has another great chance here to finish the season on a high. Six Masters Cup titles would be another impressive record for the GOAT…

Roger Federer


Posted in Uncategorized.

18 Comments

  1. i think we should watch out for Rafa. he intentionally skipped Paris to get ready for the WTF. considering he had accomplished almost everything at the highest level of the game, i believe he considers the fact that he did not win the year-end tournament a shameful thing. he wants to win it badly and will be highly motivated. i wouldnt like to see him at the same group as Roger.
    the best case scenario as i see it: Djoko, Ferrer, Fish and Fed at the same group. Fed vs Murray in semis, Fed vs Djoko in the Final.
    Fed has to stay storng menatlly, as you said there are no easy matches in this tournament.
    i was hoping Fed is getting some rest now coz he didn’t feel to well at the end of Paris, but he is hopping around Switzerland instead. hope he will be fit and healthy next week!

    [Reply]

    booya719 Reply:

    I agree Nadal will be the most dangerous player in London. However about the pooling, on the other hand, if Roger and Nadal are in the same group they will not be able to meet each other in a SF. If Roger beats Nadal in the round robin and goes 3-0 in the pool, Nadal will be 2-1 to finish second in the pool and he is gonna have a tougher SF against the other group winner, probably Djokovic who will be 3-0 if his injury doesn’t hamper him.

    We definitely want Nadal in Federer’s pool because it will have the possibility of putting Nadal up against Djokovic in the SF. It also gives Federer a crack at playing Nadal before the final, to give him some insight on how to play him should they meet a second time in the final. Nadal on the other hand prefers to avoid Federer and moonball him with the same old tricks in the final. The advantage is to Federer in every way if Nadal is in his pool. Even if Federer loses to Nadal in the round robin it can prepare him better to adjust for the final – the match that counts. Nadal at 3-0 and Federer at 2-1 in the same pool could still end up meeting again in the final match.

    The only way it works good for Federer to have Nadal in the other pool is for Nadal to get Murray, Berdych, Tsonga in his pool as you mentioned. If Nadal gets Murray, Fish, and Ferrer I see Nadal easily cruising to the SF without breaking a sweat. At least Berdych and Tsonga can MAYBE beat Nadal on this surface and possibly Nadal will not make the SF with the tough pool…but that’s absurd to focus on or hope for. I don’t see those guys stopping Nadal regardless of their slim chance.

    Plus, at the moment Djokovic seems injured and unable to compete well, Fish is injured too, and Ferrer is Ferrer – he is not a threat on this surface to anyone. At the moment I would say Nadal, Federer, Tsonga, and Berdych are the fittest and have the best odds of beating guys or advancing in the tournament.

    Unfortunately all four of them could all end up being in the same pool. Murray might be good, maybe not. You never know what you’ll get with him. Maybe his butt is still injured. I think the pooling could really end up having a huge impact on the tournament. However, I am assuming Nadal is fully fit and will reach the final one way or another. I just hope Roger can make it there too to face him.

    [Reply]

  2. Don’t think one should be too worried about Nadal at an indoor event. His moonballing antics don’t go down very well on an indoor hard court. He is also not match-tough due to his long lay-off. I’d actually be surprised if he made it to the final. Murray and the Djoker are more of a threat, though I see no reason Roger couldn’t handle either of them if he keeps up his current level. And he seems motivated to do this. I think he finally realizes, thanks to all those tough losses in the Majors this year, that he must keep his foot on his opponents’ necks when he has a lead, and finish them off quickly.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    It’s mostly all due to the surface.

    [Reply]

  3. I think this year’s WTF is quite open. At least much more open than it was last year. First off all the top players(Djokovic & Nadal) are coming off after a break or injury. Secondly, I think Berdych and Tsonga can do some damage here. Both played pretty well in Paris and it took a Federer nearly at full flight to beat them in straights. They may not go on to win, but I think they will do some damage here in the round robin and take out higher seeds.

    The weak links in the tournament are Fish and Ferrer. Fish because he is coming back from an injury and Ferrer because he does not have any weapons to trouble any of the top four. A real cupcake draw would have both of these in one side. Tsonga and Berdych in one group will make it a real group of death. I hope this does not happen.

    1. Federer looks to be peaking, but I find it difficult to believe that he will win all five matches even if he does win. He is in good nick and has the best chance of everyone.

    2. Murray seems to be in good shape physically and is best placed to take advantage of a sub-par Djokovic form. I reckon that he is a safe bet to the semis no matter what group he is in

    3. Djokovic is a big question mark after his injury. If he is not 100%, he is not going to win against either of the two players above. He may not be able to make the SFs if he is playing injured

    4. Nadal is an interesting case. He should be highly motivated as this is a title missing in his decorated career. But he is going to be undercooked & facing a red-hot Tsonga or Berdych first up will be a big challenge(both players went deep in Paris and are in good form). I see Rafa as most vulnerable in top four to an upset by Tsonga/Berdych. Last year, Rafa played himself in through the tournament(tough match against Roddick), Djokovic with eye problem and Berdych was in poor form after Wimbledon. This year, he may not get any easy matches.

    5. Tsonga/Berdych are my dark horses to reach semis. I think they take out Djokovic or Nadal in the process. Their tournament will end here though.

    6. Fish and Ferrer can both go without winning a single match.

    [Reply]

  4. I, too, am hoping that Roger can keep building on his recent form. Ideally, I would like him to peak at the AO in January. To win the Masters would be great but I would be happy enough if he beat Nadal. It would remind me of the ’06 and ’07 Masters (not to mention last year.)He’s beaten the world no.1 this year, I would like him to do the same to the number 2, to remind them both of who he is. The rain in Spain would fall mainly in Mallorca.

    [Reply]

  5. Nadal hasn’t played competition lately while he usually Nadal needs a string of good contests under his belt to play his best tennis. This disadvantage might be offset by his strong motivation to perform well though.
    For Nadal a lot will depend in my opinion of whom he will face in his first match. If he faces a strong and confident opponent other than Federer, he might lose his first match. If Federer also is in his RR-group, he’ll lose that match as well and therefore doesn’t advance to the semis.
    If he wins his first match, he’ll get a lot of confidence out of it, and might become Roger’s strongest contender in the run for the title.
    For Djokovic, I don’t see him performing at his best level in London.

    [Reply]

  6. my poor Rafa. drawn against the GOAT and Tsonga. hope he atleast beats Fish. ENJOY ya all Fedfans. enjoy Fed demolish our Rafa. hope Tsonga beats Federer though, dnt count the paris final, he was spent after the epic semi with Isner. Counting on you Tsonga to do it for Rafa!

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    You are a Nadal fan? How did you get in here?

    [Reply]

    booya719 Reply:

    Rafa has had the fortune of playing Roger on clay 14 times. This is only the 4th time they will meet on Federer’s best surface indoor. Poor Rafa?? I don’t see Tsonga or Fish stopping either of them. The pools are not too bad for once – Tsonga and Berdych are on opposite sides thank goodness.

    The way I see it Federer and Nadal will go 2-1 and 3-0 in the pool to each reach the semis and then wind up playing each other again in the final match anyway. The pools actually look not too bad for once. I see Tsonga going 1-2 and Fish 0-3, each to miss the playoff round. It’s very bad luck for Tsonga having to play in the tough pool against Nadal and Federer. His odds of making it past the RR are very slim. He would have a way better shot in other pool. Berdych got lucky to get into Djokovic’s pool with Murray and Ferrer. Ferrer will be 0-3 in that pool and then it might be a 2-1 three way tie for first there and it’ll come down to sets or games won for who gets in the SFs between Djokovic, Murray, and Berdych. All Berdych has to do is beat Djokovic (who is injured and hasn’t been able to do much since the US Open) or beat Murray (who he has just beaten in Paris) to go 2-1 and possibly reach the semis on games or sets won – which is not impossible for the Berdman.

    The playoff match ups will most likely be Federer (3-0) vs Berdych/Djokovic (2-1) and Nadal (2-1) vs Murray (2-1). I find it hard to see Djokovic going 3-0 with his current form. Either way it’ll end up as Nadal vs whoever and Federer vs whoever in the semis.

    Final: Nadal vs Federer

    This could be Federer’s best and only real chance of getting 2 more wins over Nadal and make the H2H a bit more respectable at 17-10. It would prove finally how much surface factors into the head to head. Can you imagine if they had played the other way around? 14 times on indoor hard and only 4 times on clay? I doubt Federer would be losing the H2H in this case.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Agreed Booya, the h2h would be a very different story.

    [Reply]

  7. “Murray had a good chance to come in as a hot favorite after his exploits in the east, but then he got a sketchy injury in Basel and CHOKED against Berdych in Paris”

    Seriously dude? Stop associating Murray choking to each loss he gets, Murray chokes in the GS eg Wimby Semi against Nadal, he choked. Losing to Berdych in a tight 3 set match is not choking, Berdych played really well in the 3 hour battle. Berdych played better against Murray than he did against Fed. Berdych was kind of flat when he did play Fed, Fed took advantage and won. But stop saying choked to Murray in a normal loss, if it’s a GS like Wimby where he was dominating and then throws match away, fair enough.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Well first of all how do you go down 0-40 when you are serving at 4-4 in the 3rd. That is already a sign of choking. Then Berdych himself chokes so hard that he hits two sitter returns into the bottom of the net. Yet Murray manages to serve a double the next point. Sorry but that is obvious choking. We have seen it all too often for it to be a coincidence.

    [Reply]

    Azy Reply:

    Serving a double can happen, the way Murray played when Berdych was serving for the match. It was the opposite of choking, he was fighting to the very end and as FedFans we shouldn’t be talking about choking. Since our guy has choked against Nadal in so many matches, where he was dominating and then losing afterwards. “two sitter returns” I would like to see how you return Berdych serve with that comment. Did Federer choke when he lost to Berdych in Cincinatti? I am sure he hit alot of shots into the bottom of the net then aswell, hittind a double 0-40 down and shots going to bottom net is not choking. If Murray/or any player had set points or match points then lost the match then thats choking.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    As Fedfans we can talk about choking whenever we want. When Roger chokes I say it. It’s about being consistent. The double fault was a choke. It really was. Return Berdych’s serve? I am not a pro tennis player am I? So I don’t see what that has to do with it. Of course Roger choked in Cincy. It was obvious. The stunning thing about Murray is the consistency with which he does it.

    [Reply]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *