Federer in Nadal’s Half in Madrid

Hi guys! Finally things have settled down enough after a very challenging month for me to make a post again. If I had to go through all the things that went wrong it would probably be the longest post I ever made, but I am here to post about tennis so I won’t get into that. It’s just nice to be back and I have missed tennis, Roger, and you guys. The last post I made was about Roger taking a wild card in Monte Carlo, so I actually missed only one tournament. It felt like more because I could basically not make a post for a month. Anyway I was still following Monte Carlo and catching some highlights on Youtube. Roger ended making the final in Monte Carlo only to lose to his buddy Stan.

It was a tough loss to take because Roger has historically owned Stan and he would surely not get another chance like that to win one of the only two Masters Series titles that has eluded him over the years. He even won the first set 6-4, then lost the second set in a breaker, and Stan dominated the final set 6-2. It was a big disappointment but Roger was clearly happy for his friend. Roger is now 1-3 in finals this year after losing in the finals of Brisbane and Indian Wells and winning Dubai. At least Roger got another win over Djokovic in Monte Carlo who was struggling with a wrist injury, and he still narrowly leads the head-to-head 18-16. As far as the Fedrinka relationship goes I realized that if there was ever a problem from either side it was from Stan.

I was amazed at Roger’s humility once again. He really just wants what is best for Stan, even though Stan has said some less than complimentary things about Roger and his Davis Cup policy in the past. If there was ever a problem it was Stan’s jealousy and I think he has finally overcome it now with his first slam title and win over Roger in Monte Carlo. I’m happy for Stan but what really impressed me was Roger’s complete lack of resentment towards Stan for denying him one of only two Masters he has not won and the fact that he has said some less than friendly things about him in the past. Roger looked so happy for Stan that you thought he had won the tournament himself. Now that is true friend.

This week is Madrid of course and you can view the draw here. Roger’s draw is Paire/Simon, Bautista-Agut/Verdasco/Seppi, Murray/Tsonga, Nadal/Dimitrov, Ferrer/Wawrinka. Given the poor form Nadal is in and the fact that Djokovic withdrew due to his wrist problem it’s not the hardest draw. It is also the clay surface where he has the best chance of beating Nadal. He actually has a chance of a rare clay win over Nadal if they meet I believe, but with the form Nadal is in he may not even get that far. As I suspected would be the case that final in Melbourne really crushed Nadal’s confidence. In Monte Carlo Nadal got straight setted by Ferrer who he had only lost to once on clay in their previous 18 meetings on the surface.

Then in Barcelona he loses to Almagro for the first time in their 11 meetings. I saw some of his tennis and his confidence is really shattered. I expect this form to continue as well. Historically Nadal has always slumped after losses like the one against Stan in Melbourne, and the slump has always lasted for a long time. I don’t see him winning the French Open this year either. But the fact that Djokovic is struggling with a wrist injury does help him. I just think his confidence is so low that we will probably see an early round upset like that one against Soderling in 2009. Then of course Stan is a serious threat for the title, and Roger will also have his chances. I’m not sure when the baby is due.

We know Roger said he wants to be present for the baby’s birth this time so who knows what will happen. I’m glad Roger is playing Madrid anyway. It has been pretty good to him because it is higher altitude and faster conditions, and I have this week off so I want to follow the tennis and blog about it. At least Roger had a good run in Monte Carlo which means he has already played quite a bit of competitive tennis on clay. He can afford to miss Rome now for instance and still be ready for Paris. Winning the French again will be a tall order but at least I’d like Roger to give it another serious go, especially now that Nadal is at an all time low. It even seems very doubtful now that Nadal can catch Roger’s slam count which is great news.

He has not even equaled Sampras yet which everyone expected would happen in Melbourne, and I think he is going slamless this year for the first time in many years. Not even equaling Sampras is now a guarantee, although I do think he will win at least another French Open. Well that’s it from me for now. I hope Roger can make another deep run in Madrid and even win it. But we will have to see what his form is like. He was pretty poor against Tsonga in Monte Carlo, and only won thanks to an epic collapse from Tsonga in the tie break. Roger’s break point conversion rate was 2/19 in that match which is bad even for him. I am looking forward to watching some tennis!

 

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26 Comments

  1. Hi Ruan, welcome back, nice to hear from you again, good post as always. As you said Roger is playing well and Stan was just too scary good in last set,btw wouldn’t worry about Tsonga match, if you read all the stats Roger was better in each department and Tsonga was under constant pressure on his serve, it was almost funny how many times he got out from it for a long time. As for Nadal goes as you predicted, when Roger is on high wave Nadal us down and all this losses hurt him more than when Roger was losing last year. Roger is and always was more confident person so he sorted out himself though times, but you can see on Nadal that sometimes he looks lost on the court looking at Tony… And I guess if he meets Stan again in French open, he will be gone and maybe we will see another carrier threatening injury… Being sarcastic obviously.
    Hope you can enjoy tennis now, good luck to you and Roger and all the guys in the site

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks for the info Pete. I obviously could not watch the matches. Nice to know what went down in MC now. Roger is obviously back in a big way but he is struggling to win that big title. It would have been nice if he could at least have won either IW or MC, but him and us will just have to be patient. He is bound to break through if he keeps making finals.

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  2. Hey Ru-an, nice to hear from you :-) So glad that things are better for you now. We all are here for tennis, but also for you Ru-an. Just makes sure Roger and you are doing oke :-)

    About MC… well, that is Roger for you. To be honest, makes Stan not look that good now that Roger was obviously very happy for Stan and Stan made remarks in the past about Roger not playing DC.
    But I do think that is selfish from Stan’s point of view. Roger is not like all the other players out there who can just play DC whenever they want.
    a) He has played more matches than anyone else (1100). b) He almost never loses in the first rounds, so he always plays up to the end of a tour.
    c) The most important one, he is 5 years or more older that the rest.
    It is so easy for Stan to say to the press that he is disappointed that Roger does not play DC more, but lets see what happens when he is Roger’s age and someone from Swiss is targeting him in the press to play more DC !!! It is SO SO SO easy to attack someone from the sidelines. And Roger got his “revenge”. HE and HE alone got Switserland through to the SF this year. Stan was mentally “missing in action” until Roger pulled him through. Roger is not a saint, but really Ru-an, he does not deserve all the bad things some people are saying about him. And don’t think I am mad at Stan. I could never be that :-) If it wasn’t for Stan, Rafa would have won 2 or 3 GS this year. But because of Stan, Rafa is low in confidence. Which to be honest is good. Roger went through that last year and overcame it. Now it is Rafa’s turn. Like Roger last year said: “It is easy to love tennis when you are winning everything and holding up the cup. But you will know just how much you love tennis when you are not doing well for some reason and you cannot win all the time. Then you have to look to yourself and ask why you love the game and why you started to play the game”. Yes, the dude does say good things :-)
    And Ru-an, don’t be too disappointed that Roger lost MC final. In the end it will be a blessing !!! Because now Roger and Stan have played each other in the first final, it will be easier for him to see him as an opponent instead of a friend.
    I am calling it: Madrid final: second all Swiss final with a different winner this time: Roger :-)
    Oh and…. maybe RG will be an all Swiss final too :-)
    Take care Ru-an. And about Rafa, he is low on confidence and won’t come far in Madrid, but could also end up winning the damn thing :-) You never know what effect is will have on him knowing that Novak will not be there…

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Good post Katyani and thanks for the support. I agree that the things Stan said was unnecessary but karma got him like you said when he screwed up against Khazakstan and Fed won it for the Swiss.

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    Katyani Reply:

    Hey Ru-an, thanks for the compliment and great to have you back :-)
    I am so happy for Roger and Mirka that the baby is coming very very soon, but also honestly a itsy bitsy sad that we won’t see him in Madrid and Rome. But… Roger has done more than enough for us, Mirka and he and the girls deserve some family-time.
    Hope her delivery will be painfree and that the baby will be healthy.

    But… no worries, we will see our Goat roaring back at RG, proving to all that he is the one and only Goat :-)

    About Kazah… since I saw Golubev play, I am kind of becoming his fan…. love the way he sort of plays like Roger….

    Guess my all Swiss final will have to wait (till RG)….

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Great to be back! Are you sure Roger won’t be in Rome either? Anyway would have been nice to see some tennis from him in Madrid now that I have a break.

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  3. Ru-an you’re back! Sounds like a week off with the tennis is just what the doctor ordered. Take care.
    I watched the Tsonga match live and it was probably the most torturous Federer win I think I’ve ever seen, and maybe one of his most impressive at the same time. Nothing and I mean NOTHING was going his way that day. The mental strength and patience he showed was quite something. Really shows how his confidence and mental strength has improved ten fold the last 6 months.
    The Djokovic match was immense. That first set was maybe the best set of clay court tennis in recent years, Fed won it fair and square playing Goderer-like stuff to save those set points, and then all the Sky commentators can say is how Djokovic was injured and waah waah waah completely taking it away from Roger! Respect to Novak though for taking to the court, as Federer did against Nadal in IW last year.
    The final was really flat, and Roger came to within a tiebreak AGAIN! Well we can learn from Roger’s example, another break point missed lets go for the next one… he has a great chance in Madrid honestly and who thought we’d be saying that when he hobbled off in Gstaad?! The guy continues to amaze. A second FO is not out of the question either. #daretodream
    Lastly, Murray with McEnroe?! I joked about that line-up a few years ago when Murray spent 90% of his court time swearing. Can’t imagine if it would work though…

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks for the info Tom it’s nice to be back. I was concerned about the Tsonga match but from what you guys tell me it sounds like it just proved Roger’s mental strength this year. And I’m sure he played very well against Djokovic and deserved to win. I mean just look at the scoreline and how well Djokovic was playing in the earlier rounds!

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  4. Fresh off the press – roger to skip Madrid for birth of child. I think he will go straight into the French Open now since Mirka is really close to delivering skipping Rome as well to be with his family. This is a great opportunity for Roger to win FO again and ensure he is the most deserved first winner of all grand slams at least twice in the modern professional era. Djoker and Nadal are lesser threats this year and Stan the man will be overcome in a five setter for sure!!! Go Fed!!

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Good optimism!

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  5. Hi Ru-an
    good to see you back…thought you had gone to ground
    like Roger! Marc Petchey on sky said a little earlier that he thought they were going to announce
    that Roger wouldn’t be coming to Madrid, so hope all is moving along well with the Fed Family. Just said
    Mirka is about to give birth!!!! The power of T.V eh?

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Gone to ground? You know how it is with me and Roger, we don’t stay down for long ;-)

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    elizabeth Reply:

    Ha ha well said Ru-an, everyone knows
    you can’t keep a good man down!

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    :-)

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  6. Welcome back! Mirka is due to delivery anytime soon now, Roger will skip both Madrid and Rome. Wonder if he will skip RG too.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks! Would be a bit strange if he skips RG too. I don’t see him taking two MS and a slam off, but who knows.

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  7. Leo Federer and Lenny Federer :-) Oh my God, congrats to the Goat and little future goats…..
    Two twin girls and now two twin boys :-)
    Table for 6 please :-)

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Wow. Amazing.

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  8. Hi Ru-an, This is exciting news, indeed, is it not? I am sure all Fedfans will join me with wishing Mirka and her two sweet baby boys the best of health, inclusive congrats to Roger and Family. An exciting time for the Federers.
    It will be interesting to learn when Roger will be resuming his tennis.
    Ru-an, so happy to hear from you, my thoughts have been with you along with best of wishes. Keep us posted.
    Kindly,
    Dolores
    PS. Katyani, love your comment….”Table for 6 please!”

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Dolores. Yes apparently the chances of having two sets of twins is 0.00000147! Amazing.

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    elizabeth Reply:

    Surely with these odds it must be easier
    to win a slam than to have twins again!
    Wonderful news Fabulous Fed and Magical
    Mirka what a mixture!!!

    [Reply]

    Katyani Reply:

    Hey sweet Dolores, thank you :-)
    Yep, first he was alone, then he became a twosome, then they had two angels and now two more blessings :-) table for 6 :-)
    Now….. what if they had another twin in a couple of years??? They have twin girls and twin boys, but not…. twin girl and boy…. How would that be???

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  9. Congratulations to the Federers on the birth of another set of twins. That is amazing, geez Roger is an ‘old man’ now with four children! Haha!
    Wishing both proud parents all the best.

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  10. Well, well, well. Now it’s a grand slam for the maestro on the home front! Two twin girls and two twin boys. Everything perfectly balanced, just like Roger’s tennis game. Now he’s just going to have to top it off with his 18th Major. And I predict he will before the year’s out. And when he retires, I predict he’ll coach his sons and daughters and help one of them win a Major. And beyond that, who knows, maybe he’ll become the world’s first trillionaire by astutely investing his wealth. Nothing Roger Federer accomplishes in the future would surprise me. He truly leads a charmed life…. And a deep, respectful bow to the Mother Goddess Mirka! What immense fertility! She is the archetype of Motherhood itself.

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  11. Folks, this is just too peRFect to be true! Roger already owns every record on court; does he own every record off court too??!! Yes, Balthazar, deep bow to Mirka, Mother Goddess!! And Roger, the King of reproduction!! The Federer genius carries on! Can you just imagine what could happen if some of these twins choose to pick up a racket?! Gosh! we are talking about possibility of father and sons/daughters being grand slam champions! Unheard of in tennis history!!! “Twins”, last four letters of the word is “wins”! Yes, Roger “wins” in tennis and in life! Roger now has the record for most grand slam titles and most children on ATP!! Take that Djoko, Nadal, Murray!!!! And Roger WILL lift his 18th for his sons!! Welcome back, Ru-an!

    [Reply]

    Katyani Reply:

    Oke that’s it. You HAVE to be a writer or teacher in real life. You HAVE to be :-) How do you come up with these stuff: “Twins, last four letters of the word is wins”… I mean come on, even I can see that, but it did not occur to me to look at it like that :-) You really know how to play with words, Mirka 2.0 :-)
    But yes…. beat that Djoko and especially Rafa and Andy (too afraid to get married and have children)…
    How will you guys beat the Goat now???

    Speaking about beating the Goat, Veronica, have you read the article where Agassi AGAIN says that Rafa is better than Roger?? Really, what is up with the dude?? Does he get paid by Rafa or the Great Uncle Toni??

    [Reply]

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