Federer Gets Raonic in his Indian Wells Draw

http://www.bnpparibasopen.com/Scores/Draws.aspx

The draw is finally out and you will see that Roger has young up-and-coming star Milos Raonic in his eighth of the draw. That could potentially be a tough round of 16 match for Roger. Raonic will play Mardy Fish in the second round but he will feel good about his chances having recently beaten him in the semi-finals of Memphis. There is probably two unseeded players I didn’t wana see in Roger’s eighth of the draw and that was Del Potro and Raonic. They have both won titles of late and is still getting better with every match. They are two very dangerous dark horses who can do some serious damage in the draw. This will be Raonic’s first Masters Series event since he has become a prominent player on tour, but he has been so impressive that I would have to classify this as a tough draw for Roger.

Getting back to the first round, Roger will face the winner of Nishikori and Andreev. That is already pretty tough but Roger shouldn’t have any rust this time after having played Dubai. Then it looks like Roger will face the winner of Petzschner and Chela. Then it is possible that he could face Raonic in the round of 16, but only if he gets past Fish and Garcia-Lopez. That could potentially be a blockbuster encounter. Raonic has shown that he is fearless and with his huge serve he is a threat to anyone in the draw. But Roger needs to get past him if he is to improve much on last year’s result. Should Roger make the quarters, he will probably face Berdych, Wawrinka, or Cilic. Berdych will be another tough match for him. And if that is not enough then Roger has Djokovic in his half of the draw.

You can see that it is not the easiest of draws, but Roger should be ready after Dubai and I would like to see him make at least semis here. He may well face Djokovic again and it is hard to see him beat Djokovic now. So it is hard to see Roger pass the semi-finals here, but you never know. We can only hope for the best.

Roger Federer


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25 Comments

  1. Wow not an easy draw at all. At least all the top seeds got a tough draw…. Oh wait a second no they didn’t because Nadal pretty much has a bye into the semi finals again!! So annoying. I’m genuinely starting to get concerned about how these draws are made. On paper Nadal keeps getting a stroll into the later stages. He could have got Del Potro or Raonic but instead he gets 2 fellow spaniards and he usually ‘owns’ his countrymen (barring injury) as they all respect him too much. And why do Murray and Soderling keep getting drawn together since Murray became number 5 in the world? He could’ve been seeded against any of the ‘big 3’ for the quarter finals but wasn’t.

    Roger should be ok for the first round, the second round is easier and then the last 16 will be ok in my view as Roger loves to beat big servers. Look at his record against Roddick, Karlovic, Lubijic (who is defending champ). He loves to play those players. He struggles against counter punchers, not big servers. That being said, I’m more worried about him having to play Berdych in the quarter finals. Berdych played well against DJ in Dubai and should have won as DJ admitted himself as he said he played awful tennis. Berdych has always troubled Roger- even when Roger was at his peak- and therefore I don’t think we can look past the quarter finals for now. The semis against DJ is another bad slice of luck. He could’ve done with being on the opposite side so Nadal could’ve been knocked out by DJ. Hopefully Roddick will beat DJ in the quarter finals. He’s a player who has in the past troubled him. Although considering DJ’s current form I think this might be wishful thinking!
    Murray or Nadal in the final if Roger makes it that far? These 1000 events are not easy to win!!

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  2. Regardless of the draw, I think Federer will do well. Keep the faith, Ru-an. I don’t see any bad slice of luck in this draw. In fact I’d consider it bad luck if he had to play journeymen opponents like he did in Dubai. Those kind of matches are not the preparation to do battle with a fellow top 5 player like Djokovic. Roger needs to play with quality opponents to know where he stands and then go forward from there. If anything, it will keep him awake for longer periods of time in the match : )

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  3. Generally don’t like exo’s, but anyone know if tonight’s “Nike clash of champions” Fed match with Nadal is being televised?

    On the draw, agree with Andrew that Raonic is not that big a concern but Berdych definitely is. Also, Andreev may be a tough first match, given their USO and AO history.

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    GEORGE Reply:

    A 7-5 loss for Fed, but that was not unexpected at all provided that Nadal gives his 110% even in exo’s.
    Personally I’m not worried whatsoever, in fact I believe that in a possible Fedal final the GOAT will ‘school’ him again as he did in the WTF.

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    Andrew Reply:

    Roger lost in the EXO already?

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  4. These draws are becoming too predictable. Roger and Djoko in the same half again. Nadal has the easiest quarter again a bunch of qualifiers (5) and spaniards(5).
    One of these days the Draw Gods are goIng to stop gifting
    Nadal but who knows when.It is what it is.Let´s hope Roger has his “A” game.
    These past weeks I have heard a ton of nonsense that I
    as wondering if Roger is real or a product of my most beautiful dream.But I gotta try and stay positive somehow.But in any case it´s time for Roger to DEMOLISH DJOKO once and for all.AND HE WILL.GO ROGER!!!

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  5. I agree with Bragi, while it may not be an easy draw, Federer will certainly relish the challenge and it will be good for him in the long run to face quality opponents to try and recapture his best form.

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  6. The Draw Gods are not at work here, this draw is clearly man-made. And it’s really getting the fun out of the sport.
    -The ATP site publishes an article “Battle For World No. 2 Set To Intensify”, so guess what, we might have this battle in semis (the winner takes the 2nd place in the ranking). That’s a miracle…
    -And of course, we won’t lose one of the 1st three seeds in the quarter, cause Murray and Soderling are in the same one.
    -And guess what else, we might have a dream final: Nadal-Djokovic (the best players today???) or even better a Fedal final. It’s a win-win situation…
    All the pieces are falling conveniently in place and TV rating will soar in the US, just wait for Bodo’s articles… some work of Gods…

    Anyway, about Federer’s draw – he’s going to work hard this time to get to the semis. But he should get there. Raonic, Berdych and even Nishikori in the 1st match, they can all cause troubles but, as always (almost), it’s in the hands of Federer. If we get a focused hungry Federer, like the one in the WTF, he should reach the semis against Djokovic. No excuses.

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  7. I wouldn’t count on Federer winning the title but I think he can make it to semis at least.

    Nishikori could be tricky if Federer’s not on his game, but I don’t think he has the weaponry to really hurt Roger when he’s in peak form. Andreev is a lot more dangerous, as their previous Grand Slam meetings have indicated, and he could be really tough.

    If he plays Raonic there will be at least one tiebreaker but Federer’s experience should allow him to get through. Raonic’s game is pretty straightforward, it depends so much on his serve, and if Federer returns well he should be able to break Raonic down.

    Cilic has been playing well lately, making the final of Marseille by defeating players he had never previously beaten like Berdych and Youzhny, and then winning his Davis Cup matches against Mayer (whom he had also never beaten) and the always-tricky Kohlschreiber. He could be the one to make it to the quarters. That has the potential to be a tough match since they have only played once before, when Cilic was not as good as now, but I would expect Roger to come through.

    On the other hand Berdych only really plays his best tennis when he senses hesitation and confusion in his opponent, otherwise he can be mentally shaky. I think Federer’s confidence is sufficiently high right now that he would beat Berdych, even if it were very close.

    I’d worry about Djokovic if and when he actually makes the semis. It would be tough on Federer to play him so soon again after two losses, but he has to face whoever happens to be across the net. I wouldn’t bet on Federer to win, but I also wouldn’t say it’s the foregone conclusion everyone seems to think it is.

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    george Reply:

    Hopefully by the time they meet each other at the semis the courts will be faster than the earlier rounds. Having said that, if they play at day I believe Roger will defeat DJ in straight sets, but that is very unlike (there will probably be a night match)

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    Andrew Reply:

    Roger seems to be becoming a victim of his own success. He is the GOAT so everyone wants to see him and the crowds are bigger for the night matches. So he keeps getting night matches everywhere he goes. but they’re harder for him because he’s getting older and the court slows down. I’ve also heard Roger mention a couple of time now that night matches can cause his back to be bad because of the cold sweat/ wind causing stiffness :-(

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  8. Having a look at Nadal’s draw again is just so depressing. When is he gonna get a bad draw!? Maybe when he’s going for his 11th or 12th slam?? (if he gets that far.) Roger doesn’t seem to be getting much luck with draws lately- especially with slams. If Nadal loses before the semi final stage I will be shocked. He just has to play at 70% to beat the guys in front of him. Roger has to be at 90% from the first round!!

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  9. As usual these days, Nadal’s draw is ridiculous; mere sparring partners at best. Either he is incredibly lucky with these things or Someone Up There (I mean of course tournament control) wants him to win. I see also that he may meet Ferrer in the latter stages, in which case normal order is likely to be restored – unless “Mini-me” is determined to show again that his doctor is better than Nadal’s.

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  10. Its like ATP wants Federer to lose his number 2 position giving way for Djokovic!!!!????? :-(

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    Jiten Reply:

    Don’t worry. Fed will have his answer ready by at least reaching the finals. Tough opponents in all the rounds will toughen him up. In my opinion “cruising easily” in the earlier rounds cost him the title at Dubai.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    I agree that cruising early in Dubai cost him, but im not sure about the title. Djokovic beat him pretty handily in the final.

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    Andrew Reply:

    I hope you’re right Jiten. Cruising easily early on was bad in Dubai….. but then again people said Roger would do better in the latter stages of the Aussie Open because he survived a ‘test’ against Simon but it didn’t really work out that way :-(

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    Jiten Reply:

    In 2011, the only person stopping Fed has been Nole. Therefore, based upon only two tournaments, we should not extrapolate what holds for Fed in the near future. If we impute that Joker is going to stop Fed for the third time in a row, well, he does not have an easy draw either. He has Golubev, Gulbis, Llodra or Troicki and Roddick in the waiting. Llodra and Troicki had given him hard times in the recent past. By the law of averages, Joker’s unbroken run is due to be over soon.

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    Nelson Goodman Reply:

    Just to add a bit to what Jiten says here, and to push a bit back against the Djokovic build-up, which is understandable but perhaps going overboard here. What I mean is that, yes, Djokovic is in amazing form this year and presents difficulty for Fed. But let’s not forget, he was also in very good form last fall and it was Fed who stopped him. Look at his post-USO record: won Beijing, semis loss to Fed in Shanghai, finals loss to Fed in Basel, throwaway loss in Paris (all the top 4 players took this event less seriously in the lead up to ATP London) and then a semis loss to Fed in ATP London, after two crushing defeats of Berdych and Roddick and staying even with Nadal at 5-5 until a contact lens malfunction. In other words, he has been in great form since the USO – indeed since Toronto – and the main difference is that a confident Fed had his number on indoors courts in the fall and he has an edge on slower courts this year. All of which to say is, Fed’s still in the hunt. If you need more convincing, I urge you to watch the ATP London semis. Fed’s 6-1, 6-4 victory there is more one-sided than either of his losses to him this year, and don’t kid yourself this wasn’t b/c Djokovic was already in Davis Cup in his head, as made clear both by his on court frustration and expressions of disappointment after the match.

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  11. I just realized that in most sports, I want the champion defeated. Golf, I want Tiger to lose. Football, I go with the underdog. Boxing, give the new guy a chance. Baseball, almost everything…..except Tennis. I have no idea why I want Fed to win everything, everytime. Anyone else understand what I’m saying? Go Fed!! G

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  12. This time I think (and hope as well) Fed will be pretty different from the last time we saw him in Dubai against Djokovic. His backhand should be much more solid -avoiding those too many awful mishits- and his unforced errors will be reduced should he takes his time before hitting the ball, unlike he did both in AO and in Dubai where the courts were slow. Like many of you guys said, I’ve also noticed that Roger was trying to play his ultimate attacking tennis despite the courts being so slow. I mean let’s face it, his backhand was ineffective already, let alone when he used it to attack and take the point instead of using his strongest weapon, the most lethal forehand in the history of tennis.
    I also want your thoughts on that, but I think the post-Wimbledon 2010 Federer used to quickly run to his left side and throw a powerful forehand (or just a safe but amazing also backhand slice which proved to be quite effective in most of the occassions) instead of an attacking backhand he uses a lot lately which of course leads to many tragic unforced errors. I can recall the Shanghai 2010 where he did that thing a lot with success, for sure.
    Anyway, I’m confident that the GOAT’s tremendous versatility is finally gonna pay off this time in California and Miami. He’ll mix it up peRFectly this time, bear this in mind Nole :-P

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  13. I have made a contact with the ATP ABOUT THE DRAWS,it
    would be interesting if some of you leave your opinions there.I´m a fighter and they will read my opinions and others not so different, nothing is impossible.

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  14. It’s always nice to hear what the GOAT has to say…..
    ….
    http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/11032011/58/federer-excited-own-form.html

    He is always so confident of his own abilit. It’s odd really because Nadal has the absolute opposite way of handling the media. He’s never the favourite. He’s always only playing so so, he thinks everyone else is a better player. Yet Roger is modest whilst being honest- he is the GOAT and he knows it by now. And he still thinks he can spank anyone off the court most days!!!

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  15. I am super excited as I’ve heard 3 amazing things today:
    1) Roger is playing doubles tomorrow with Stan Warwinka
    2) Roger is playing in the David cup v Portgual in July
    3) Roger is gonna play at Monte Carlo event this year!!!
    Yay!! :-)

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