Federer Gets Decent Draw in Dubai

http://www.atpworldtour.com/share/event-draws.aspx?year=2014&eventid=495&draw=ms

It feels like an eternity since Roger has last played competitive tennis. I know he played Davis Cup but I didn’t get to watch any of that. I was hoping he would play Rotterdam but I guess he had to choose between that and Davis Cup. He can’t play as much as he used to. I was very satisfied with his performance in Melbourne anyway. There was a certain calm about him which I attributed to Edberg’s presence. He appeared to be mentally extremely stable. He lived in the moment and didn’t look back when he had a slump. I have always felt the game is still there but that mentally Roger was failing badly. As I have speculated before it seems that Edberg is bringing some mental stability and calm to Roger. It was the best start possible for Fedberg. Losing to Nadal in straight was expected.

Maybe he could have won a set but he was always gonna lose. I predicted that long before the tournament started, and some posters were so sure Roger could beat Nadal and that I was just being negative. I wonder where they are now. Anyway Roger’s draw in Dubai looks good for him to make at least another semi-final run but you’d hope for better than that. In current form Roger shouldn’t lose to Becker, Stepanek/Russel, or Tursunov. He’s got a decent draw because he has the lowest of the seeds 5-8 in his quarter, but he also has to deal with the #1 seed in the semis. Obviously Djokovic won’t be easy to deal with. He lost to Stan in Melbourne but don’t expect his level to have dropped. If anything he will be very hungry to set the record straight in Dubai. If he wins the title he will equal Roger who has won 5 titles.

Roger plays tomorrow against Becker who he has a 3-0 head-to-head record against.

Posted in Uncategorized.

17 Comments

  1. Hi Ru-an,

    I am a little bit confused:

    Federer: Nadal can eclipse my Grand Slam record

    http://www.espn.co.uk/tennis/sport/story/286027.html#geplhAV0rsW0HxAp.99

    Nadal: I don’t know if I’m able to reach Federer’s record of 17 Grand Slams

    http://msn.foxsports.com/tennis/story/Nadal-unsure-whether-he-can-catch-Federer-for-all-time-Slam-wins-021414

    What do you really think ?

    Are they coordinated ? :-)

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    I saw the first article. The second one is just common sense. Nadal doesn’t know if he can reach Fed’s slam record because it hasn’t happened yet. And besides he will always play the underdog. I am convinced he will reach Roger’s record and probably surpass it. Oh well. At least South Africa beat Australia at cricket today.

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    Tom Reply:

    Rafa needs 5 majors to surpass Roger, and I do believe that Roger’s got one more left in him. That’s 6 majors. Mission Impossible if you ask me, the competition is just as strong, if not stronger seeing as the ‘Big 4’ aren’t feared as much on the big stage anymore.
    Who knows we might look back on Stanimal’s win and go yeah that was the turning point. Men’s tennis changes so quickly it’s scary!
    I’m sure another freak will come along in x years anyway as Pete Sampras will tell you ha

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Hey Tom. That’s just the thing. No one thought Sampras’ records would be broken as fast as it was. I don’t see why Nadal can’t break Roger’s records even faster. The thing is he can win several more FO’s. The only guy who can stop him there is Djokovic and he hasn’t been able to do so yet. He just won Rio as well, and it looks like adding that SA clay swing to his schedule is really gonna help him. The AO final loss was a tough loss for him but now he’s back on clay already winning titles.

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    steve Reply:

    I don’t think another “freak” like Federer will come along for a very long time. A supreme natural talent who is also totally dedicated to the game and has the desire to keep going even after he’s won so much.

    There’s a lot of pieces that go into making Federer the champion he is. Not just his skill but his heart and aesthetic sense and his personality. There’s a lot that went into winning those 17 majors (and counting).

    Nadal just looks at all the trophies Federer’s won and sees a number, a target that he must reach at all costs, but that number tells you nothing, or almost nothing important.

    It’s again an unfortunate consequence that in the age of Federer we look down on a guy with one major. “Only” one major–as if it were such a trivial thing to win one! Becker and Edberg with “only” six, Wilander with “only” seven, Lendl with “only” eight, Borg with “only” eleven.

    Djokovic with six majors is only considered middle-of-the-pack. Murray with two is considered an underachiever. Even Nadal who has more than all but two men in the history of the game is still frantically chasing, chasing, and he’s stumbled recently.

    It’s ridiculous to talk this way! We are talking about some of the greatest champions the game has ever produced, after all. But the presence of Federer distorts the measuring stick beyond all recognition.

    Once Federer’s finished his career, he’ll have done everything that can possibly be done with a tennis ball, he’ll have exhausted all possibilities of shotmaking and tactics. Every player after him will only be able to do, imperfectly and haltingly, a fragment of what he did naturally and fluently.

    It’s one of the cruel consequences of genius–once you have the guy who can do everything, and he does it, there’s nothing left to be done. There won’t be much uncharted territory left to be explored. And to really explore it, you would have to be more prodigious than Federer. There was only one Shakespeare, one Mozart, one Michelangelo. No one could follow them, at least not for centuries.

    There won’t be another genius like that until the sport has evolved sufficiently to allow it. I think it will take at least four or five decades, possibly more.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    I don’t agree with this. When Sampras won 14 slams he was viewed in exactly this way. A genius whose achievements won’t be surpassed in a very long time. Federer surpassed him pretty fast, and now Nadal is threatening Roger. This is just how the sport evolves. We thought for a while Federer was the ultimate tennis player until Nadal came around and owned him. He showed that hard work and mental strength is more important than talent. The next step in tennis evolution would be someone who has the combined talent of Federer and physical and mental gifts of Nadal. Djokovic is somewhere in that ball park but he took a while to hit his prime and has some way to go.

    [Reply]

  2. Hey Ruan, aah I’m really looking forward to seeing Rog back in action! It would’ve been nice to see him in Rotterdam but hey he’s playing Miami this year so that’s cool… and quite surprising actually considering it’s purple clay ha.
    With this week FED NEEDS SILVERWARE and has done for quite some time hasn’t he… The tennis he’s been playing of late he can beat Djokovic! The game is there for all to see, it’s just the mental side of things. That’s why it’s so frustrating for us as we know he’s so darn close. But from Melbourne we saw exactly what you’ve said above, the improvements on that side, and he’s clearly been training hard again so I’m optimistic. It will click. It could be this week, it might not be but at some point this season it will and he’ll be in the winners circle again. It’s only a matter of time. :-)

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  3. Hey Ru-an, this has to be said. You do find the best pictures of Roger !!! Loved this one too.
    I so hope Roger will win Dubai. But it will be difficult. SF is doable, after that….. First he has to go through Novak. If he has enough energy left, than he has to play the final as well.
    Roger needs to defeat Novak. My God, Rafa, Andy and Roger are the only ones who can beat Novak. And Roger is the one who comes close so often.
    Oops, sorry dear Stan, you are also someone who can defeat Novak now !!!

    That Mac Enroe curse has to be overtaken right now. Seriously, Mac Enroe put some kind of spell over Roger. Please dear Roger, let us and yourself not wait till Halle to win a title again.
    Meanwhile Rafa won Rio. 62 titles. Man, he is coming closer to Roger. Kudos to how he defeated Anjubar.
    I was so rooting for Pablo. He played so great, but at the end one mistake and Rafa ended up winning.
    Kudos to both, but would have loved if Pablo would have won….
    Anyway, cannot wait for Roger to play. Hope I can see the end of it. Will be at work so…
    So strange, Novak and Delpo are each playing doubles.
    I think Novak or Berdych or Roger will win Dubai, but not Delpo.
    Isn’t it strange that Andy is playing Acapulco but not Dubai???

    [Reply]

    Katyani Reply:

    And one more remark. I think we have to get used to him getting the top 3 very very early on. He is number 8 afterall.
    Want to bet he will get Rafa in his draw the maximum times??
    I would love to see Andy vs Rafa. How long has that been? I think they have to treat each other as newcomers. Think they will have forgot how to play each other…

    [Reply]

  4. Since Basel last year he has made at least the semis of every tournament he’s played, so I am not too worried about his making a deep run.

    It is nice that Del Potro/Tsonga/Berdych are concentrated in the other half of the draw. Although, of course, any player is capable of pulling off the upset on any given day.

    He needs some points now because he’s outside the top 5 and that means that the chances of his being drawn to meet a top-5 player early in tournaments increase. It would be nice if he could make the final, even nicer if he could win. Djokovic will be desperate to win and perhaps his losing the AO title took some pressure off him. He is, however, defending champion and that’s never easy.

    Federer said he should be back to his peak around April, so it’s a bit early yet to expect him to dominate. Would be nice if he took this title (and extended his record of most titles won here), but it’s not the end of the world either if he doesn’t.

    C’mon Roger!

    [Reply]

  5. Ruan,
    My take on the comments by both Roger & Rafa is as follows:-
    1) Rafa is easing pressure on himself by downplaying his ability to overtake Roger.
    2) Roger on the other hand is putting back the pressure on Rafa to break it.
    I think Roger is smarter now not to get suck in by Rafa. Previously Rafa was calling Roger the GOAT & I believe it did not help Roger because it make him become overconfident during his peak periods. I believe this is one reason of his downfall.

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Yeah it’s never smart to be over confident. You just put extra pressure on yourself. Roger was over confident against Nadal since the start and it is probably gonna cost him dearly when all is said and done. It started in the FO finals where he stubbornly tried to dominate Nadal from the base line. Now Nadal has almost caught up with him. Just a matter of time. If indeed Roger is trying to put the pressure back on NAdal(which we can’t be sure of) it is probably too late now.

    [Reply]

  6. Hey Ruan,

    Are you still in Thailand? How are things with you?

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Yes I’m still in Thailand Joe. I had food poisoning so this weekend was hell, but it’s getting better thanks. How are you?

    [Reply]

    Dolores Reply:

    So sorry to hear of your having had food poisining, Ru-an, can be a dangerous situation but you said that you are getting better. Thank Goodness. My best Get-Well wishes to you.
    Did you have a chance to watch Roger’s Dubai match today? It was a joy to see Roger’s tennis after many weeks of absence. Thought he played crisply, he delighted the crowd with his tweener.
    Hope you are able to give us an analysis, Ru-an.
    Kindly,
    Dolores

    [Reply]

    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Dolores. I survived it but it didn’t feel like I would! I did my post already. You have probably seen it by now.

    [Reply]

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