Djokovic def Federer 7-6(6), 7-5 In Masters Cup Final, But…

Hey, guys. I’m sorry Roger couldn’t get it done today, but don’t despair. It has been a fairytale year and although the ending wasn’t peRFect, it was very positive. I was at work today while the match was being played, but Jonathan kept me updated once more and I lived through some of the emotions of it. At first this loss stung, but it wasn’t long before I got perspective over it and felt better. As a Fedfan, I have high expectations and hoped Roger could end the year in the PeRFect fashion. That is the problem with expectations. If they don’t materialize disappointment sets in. I guess I never learn.

But like I said the disappointment was short lived. The biggest reason I felt better was the way in which Roger lost. This is the key. It was an extremely positive loss because the match was on his racquet. He broke Djokovic to love in his opening service game and consolidated for a 3-0 lead. Amazing. Yet he could not hold onto the break as Djokovic broke back at 3-1. At 4-4 Djokovic then took the initiative as he broke Roger. Djokovic was going to serve for the first set. He could not consolidate however as Roger break him after a lengthy baseline rally. The first set then came down to a tie-break where Djokovic got the first mini-break to take a 2-0 lead.

Roger broke right back though with a GOAT backhand down the line winner. It was one of those shots where time stood still for a second and you got lost in the pure beauty of it. Moving ahead now to 5-6 in the breaker and Roger serving to stay in it. Djokovic has Roger stretched to his limits at the net after a passing shot, but Roger comes up with a genius drop volley which Djokovic runs down. Roger then makes the pass. 6-6. Unfortunately, Roger then sprays a backhand wide which gives Djokovic set point, and Djokovic then wins the first set with an inside-out forehand winner. One feels it was a shame that he lost the set after being up 3-0, but the match wasn’t over.

Roger just needed to win the second set and things would be back on level terms. He goes on to break Djokovic in the opening game of the second set after Djokovic steers a backhand down the line wide. Roger then consolidates and once again he has the advantage in the set. He holds serve until 5-4 where he would serve for the set. He looks confident too, having hit a scary drop shot in the previous game. He takes a 30-0 lead in the game and even produces 2 sets points. Yet he fails to convert and Djokovic breaks back. With that he loses the momentum and Djokovic breaks again at 6-5 to win the match.

Federer-WTF-700x450

So what does all of this mean? Nothing much. Just that Roger lacked the confidence to win the important points. I said yesterday that he needs to win the important points. He failed to do that and that is why he lost. Simple as that. It is not because he wasn’t good enough or anything like that. He was after all in winning positions in both sets. The match was definitely on his racquet, but he let it slip. Again I attribute this to a lack of confidence. Why? Because he has struggled with confidence since the US Open. He clawed his way back in the indoor season but stumbled over the final hurdle.

It was asking too much to come off a loss in the Basel final to beat Murray and Djokovic consecutively. So all in all I am delighted with how things worked out. Sure I would have loved it if he won today, but he showed me he is right up there with Djokovic. There really is nothing between them. And what more can you ask from someone who is 31 years old now? In fact, it’s not even necessary to mention the age thing anymore. Roger is a timeless player. It’s a mistake to measure him by years lived because he is the exception to every rule. Like I said, he is right up there with the best player in the world.

If Roger had more time to regain his confidence after the US Open there is no doubt in my mind he would have won this match. Simply because the match was on his racquet. So there is nothing whatsoever wrong with his tennis. It is right there. That is why I say this was a very positive loss. He is right back at that level that saw him win Wimbledon, regain the #1 ranking, and win 5 other titles. So I really can’t ask for more. I was a bit worried about his form after the US Open and the fact that he lost the #1 ranking, but I now feel very optimistic about his 2013 season. I was worried that he was starting to lose that Roger 3.0 status, but I couldn’t have been more wrong.

Roger will of course not play the exho in Abu Dhabi over the New Year, and there are rumors that he won’t return to Doha either. I think that would be a wise decision. After his showing this week, he doesn’t need any tour matches before Melbourne. He needs a rest first of all and then some time on the practice court. That would be the peRFect preparation for the first slam of the year. The early rounds will be enough to get him match fit again. That is the upside of what he achieved this week. His confidence is high enough now that he doesn’t need to play a warm up event to Melbourne. He can just show up there and start as one of the heavy favorites for the title.

Novak+Djokovic+Novak+Djokovic+Serbia+beat+p-hO_7yo8zsl

Let me just say something about his win against Murray which I left out in my last post as well. That was the crucial win really. He couldn’t afford a third straight loss to Murray after the Olympics and Shanghai. The head-to-head would have slipped to 7-10 and instead it is now 8-9. Roger ends the year with a 3-2 winning record over Murray then and a 2-3 losing record against Djokovic. It is clear after today that Djokovic was the best player of 2012, that Roger was the second best, and that Murray was the third best. But these three are now very close together at the top. Nadal has a lot of work to do if he ever wants to get in contact with them again.

So 2013 will be fought out between these three players. Then it will also be interesting to see what Nadal and Del Potro does. There are five very good players who promise to make 2013 another epic year in tennis. How fast do things change? Just a few days ago it looked like Fedal was over and done with and that 2013 will belong to Djokovic and Murray. Yet with his last minute heroics Roger 3.0 played himself right back into the fray and will be one hell of a force to be reckoned with once again in 2013. There is just no stopping this GOAT and neither is there stopping me as a blogger. Here we come 2013!

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41 Comments

  1. A very good and positive post.I didnt see the match since it started well past midnight here in India.But when I saw the highlights,IT was amazing how Fed played and I felt as though if he had just won a couple more points here and thre that he would have won it in straights.But thats the way it goes and this match proves that both Djokovic and Federer are the players to beat at Melbourne and I am sure with these two months of rest,THE FED EXPRESS will be roaring forward next season.

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  2. Wonderful post, Ru-an! Previous one as well. You say it so well!! You are my favorite, favorite blogger, Ru-an!! I had zero expectations as i wasn’t expecting Roger to win so he actually gave me a very pleasant and shocking surprise when he turned up all business-like. Still, I wouldn’t be human if I say I wasn’t disappointed. It was so close!! Sometimes i think its maybe i hate Djokovich winning rather than Roger losing. But it has been a fantastic unbelievable year and Roger gave all he had this match and in the semis. So I can’t ask for more. Plus most important of all, as you say, Ru-an, is that Roger maintained 3.0. Mighty proud being a Roger fan that has brought so much joy and unbelievable moments in my life. I am truly blessed. Have a wonderful and well deserved break, champ and thank you so very very much for a magnificent 2012.

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  3. My conclusion after a fantastic year of absolutely mind blowing tennis with all 4 different slam winners and actually 3 players vying almost equally for player of the year is this: in the modern mentally and physically demanding game and in this golden era, NO player can dominate/consistently produce good results within a year : Djoko did well first part of the year, fell off in middle part and with great effort ended it well. Rafael did well first half and faded. Murray was non existent besides the slams. Roger had a great first half, couldn’t sustain last part. Even 2011 where Djoko had his incredible year, he broke down at the end of it. This makes it very interesting how the players schedule and pace themselves next year. As far as Roger is concerned, I feel he would be seeking to peak at all the slams to try and win a few more since he already broke the 300 week mark. But still he would have to maintain his ranking at least no. 2 in order to get better draws at the slams.

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  4. Ruan—Great post as usual. I felt the same way. I liked Fed’s attitude on the court and I think he played really well. here’s a question for you —there’s no doubt in my mind that Djoker is the more consistent (not necessarily better) player at the moment. And I don’t attribute it to Fed’s age as the over-hyped media tends to. I think it’s something that has troubled his entire career. Remember those multiple losses to Simon, Canas? Fed has always had trouble with players who make him press the issue more (though Ferrer is the exception here) and Djokovic does that more than the other two. So, my question, is what can Fed do to change things in 2013? IT’s clear that he cannot hang with the top three (I’m including Del Potro here) in long rallies. He has so much variety, do you think he should be doing a range of different things? The ESPN commentators kept saying he needs to slice more but we know that is exactly what they complained about when he did against Nadal, and Nole just eats those low slices up. As a fan, I want to look forward to what creative genius Fed will come up with to keep up with these guys. But as always, he’s in it and has a chance to win!!

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    feddybear Reply:

    Sakhi, i agree with your analysis about Fed’s match up with those baseline monsters. he has to play very well and with a lot of confidence to beat them. tactically i think he needs to be very solid on serve, and use the backhand down the line more. yesterday when he use that shot it worked some magics. but he had to fill very secure to use it and like ruan mentioned, he was defintle lacking confidence.

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    Kyle Reply:

    Slicing against Djokovic is actually a good play because he loves pace and has pretty average footwork. It has worked wonders for him in the past and when you can get Djokovic wrongfooted and off balance, you wi the point 99/100 times.

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  5. I would like to think that the silver lining to this loss is the AO trophy! I already booked my flight to Melbourne to see RF play! Yey can’t wait!

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    David C. Reply:

    Anewor,

    History is leaning our side, as since 1990, the majority of YEC winners failed to go on to win the following year’s AO. This is true in the cases of Fed, Agassi, Djoker and so forth. So who knows, Roger might just go on to win the AO in 2013, given he didn’t win the YEC this time. Let’s go Roger!

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  6. Ruan, loved your post and couldnt agree more!!
    about Fed’s 2012 – it was unreal, but if we set aside the calander year and take a look at the year Fed has had from USO ’11 – USO ’12 – we will see an astonishing record of 9 titles (including Wimby, 4 masters), olympic medal, single digit number of losses and of course breaking PS recored of no. of weeks as no. 1. AMAZING!!
    Nole might be the best player of 2012, but Fed is the best player of Sep 2011 – Sep 2012 :-)

    i hope you are not going to disapear on us – would like to see you wrap up this fantastic year – what do you think Fed’s best matches of the year were?
    also what would be reasonable expections of the GOAT for 2013?
    i still think ND and AM will fight for the no. 1 spot, but i would like to see Fed making another ran for 18th slam… maybe AO, that’s my favorite; if i could wish for only one big title-match win for Fed – i’d like to see him finally beat Rafa in the final of RG. i dont think it is out of this world – Nadal might be slightly weaker and a touch insecure coming back after such a long injury…

    anyway – here is for a surprising and delightful 2012 for the GOAT, may 2013 be even BETTTER !!!

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  7. Bonjour,
    Could you please comment on this ? This may have caused 3-0 in the first set and the determination of Djokovic to rally and win the set and the final.I know these guys don’t like each other, however the GOAT doesn’t need to use this kind of messages to win a match, let Nadal bump into opponents on changeovers when he gets frustrated.

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/gameon/2012/11/12/roger-federer-novak-djokovic-chair/1700519/

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    Chris Reply:

    Interesting. I think Roger is capable of doing this on purpose. Not to derail Djokovic, but just because he thinks that this place should be his. It will be very hard for him to let go when his time for decline has come

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    Veronica Reply:

    Michel, the chair on the right side of umpire has towel with Djoko’s name on it; which means Djoko must been allocated that chair and Roger was allocated the no. 1 chair. Can somebody shed some light on this?! I don’t think Roger would stoop that low to do things like that. He would be so embarrassed I would think.

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    Jiten Reply:

    Spot on Angel-ica. I could immediately figure out a Hercule Poirot on you. Ha ha ha ha! I suspect a gentleman like Federer would ever do that; that too on purpose. If somebody is to be blamed for this, it is the organizer.

    For me what cost Fed the match was his wrong choice of shot at 6 all in the first set tie-break when after a spectacular out of the world (what dexterity) forehand pass, in the next game, he attempted a very poor backhand down the line on Joker’s return. But I am more than happy for whatever he has achieved this year. 70+ match wins in a year is not a joke, even during his heydays.

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    veronica Reply:

    Heehee G-10! Chris Chase is a Fed hater. Loves to stir up things with baseless writing. Merci, Michel, for linking the article. You know, G-10, even the skies were darkened following Roger’s loss. We had a total eclipse of the sun this morning!!! I feel Roger actually outplayed Djoko – except on the big points. Which is what is so frustrating about tennis sometimes. You can be playing the match of your life and still lose it or you can be playing very poorly but if you play the big points well, you win. It’s not just playing well but getting the win. And Nadal and Djoko seem to have mastered the art of winning. Totally agree with you how Roger errored away the first set after such a spectacular shot to even up at 6-6. It was so anticlimatic how it ended for both sets; the last two points were so fast and abrupt. But, at 31, what a champ, what an incredible year! I’m happy and very proud of him.

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    Kyle Reply:

    That is right – Djokovic was allotted the chair on the right, which means that there was a mistake or the organizers gave Roger that spot. And if I remember correctly, Federer took the right seat against Nadal at Wimbledon in 2007 when he was number one in the world.

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    veronica Reply:

    Exactly, Kyle. What is so annoying is how journalists are so irresponsible (baseless writing, deliberately taking things spoken out of context). It is so damaging to the players’ reputation. And I am speaking not just for Fed but for all players. When I first read from tennis fans about Fed taking the no. 1 seat, I was disturbed, to say the least; and frankly, I was immediately disappointed with Fed. Afterall such an obvious act must be true and with all those big mouth, smart alec journalists twittering about it, it can’t be false. Yet, something inside me knew that Fed would never do such a lowly thing; it’s just not in his character. So, as G-10 said, I put on my Hercule Poirot suit and the true murderer was revealed. Gotcha!! Chris Chase!! haha!

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    Muhammad Reply:

    So what if federer took the wrong seat!who is the real number one after all.Deal with it haters!

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    Jiten Reply:

    You are Hercu-lica then! Hi hi hi… Cheers for our hero.

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  8. Thanks for this highly positive and reflective post. I was feeling miserable after watching Federer blow multiple leads. It seemed he had regained confidence with his backhand in the 2nd set, but then the errors started to flow . 40-15 though at 5-4, it reminded me of the US open SF, 2011. One good first serve and the 3rd set is wide open. Overall I think Federer was the superior player in fact, except that Djokvoic is the finest big point player ever. The man really has nerves of steel.

    The thing to remember is that 3 huge matches in 3 days was too much to ask I think. Even the Masters 1000s level would rarely have 3 consecutive days of high calibre opponents as Del Potro, Murray, and Djokovic. IF Fed had had Monday off he would have a bit more zip on the serve.

    As someone said above the question is how Federer can contend over 5 sets with people who are just so solid like Murray and Djokovic. They have no obvious weaknesses (even Fed has a weaker backhand). With the courts continuing to slow, especially AO, and bounce higher, it will be tougher.

    He MUST hang on to No.2 to avoid meeting Djokovic and Murray consecutively.

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    feddybear Reply:

    actually i think he can still ran into them back to back – Murray in the semis (coz no. 3 can end up in his side of the draw) and no. 1 in the final.

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    Bharata Reply:

    Yes, good point. He could face both, as was possible at the US open. Although i”m not a draw conspiracy theorist, I suspect Murray will end up Djokovic’s side.

    Unfortunately though, Federer had such an amazing winter 2011/spring 2012 (WTF, Rotterdam, Dubai, Madrid) it will be tough for him to maintain no. 2.

    I think he just was mistiming a bit the groundstrokes though, rushing them a bit. Given a bit more rest and time on the practice courts, it should back in.

    Still disappointed with that loss, since I feel he really should have won in 2 sets. But that shot at 5-6 in the tiebreak makes you realize how fortunate we are to watch this guy. At 31 he forces a 25 year old in the prime of his youth to barely win.

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  9. That’s a nice write-up and I agree that it was just a few important points that decided each set and the match. Though it’s not the first time Roger has had leads in matches and somehow lost them. And I don’t know if it comes down to confidence – a 17 time major champion is not lacking in confidence at any time when he’s already conquered the world. But perhaps a little complacency is to blame, I don’t know.
    Anyhow, Roger keeps going and long may he continue!
    I’d love it if you’d check out my Federer Shrine here: Roger Federer the Legend

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    Jiten Reply:

    Yes, probably a little complacency on Fed’s part. For example, when Joker was serving at 3-5 in the second set, Fed had two very casual returns on Nole’s serve in the first two points. There itself he sent the wrong message to Nole: “Anyway, I am serving for the set in the next game and the second set would be mine.” I didn’t see the fight in him to finish off the set there itself. But again, I do think we are expecting too much from a 31 year old LEGEND after a long, tiring year. Nobody at this juncture last year would have believed that Fed will win 71 matches in 2012.

    Wishing a wonderful 2013 for our hero and all the followers of Ru-an’s blog…

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    Duncan D. Horne Reply:

    Hi Jiten, I appreciate the reply. I would guess that’s the one thing that annoys me about Federer – chipping returns mid-court when I’m certain he should be striking it topspin much much deeper. And perhaps we do put a little too much expectation on him like you said. He’s a 31-year-old married father of two, and just the fact that he’s still competing with and beating the likes of Djokovic and Murray is testament itself to what a great great athlete he is. His longevity at the top will be marveled at for decades to come, I am sure!

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  10. Hi Ru-an, glad that you were able to make several posts during this tournament.

    This match reminded me a lot of their meeting at AO 2011–brilliant patches from Federer, but not enough to penetrate Djokovic’s suffocating defense and relentless returning. Gaining the lead only to inexplicably lose it, etc.

    The most encouraging thing to take away is that he is still as hungry to win as he ever was–even at age 31! He scrambled, he came up with magical shots, he broke back from set point down in the first set, saved a set point in the tiebreak. He fought absolutely as hard as he could, even though his game was lacking that nearly indiscernible fraction of a percent that would have allowed him to win. He tried everything, left it all out on the court. He can be proud of his effort during this tournament as well as his entire season.

    As you say Federer’s game is ageless so he will be fine for next year. Until the day he decides to retire, he will be capable of dominating and winning the biggest tournaments. And next year there will be no Olympics, so he will not be as drained as he was by the middle of this season.

    Looking forward to your summary of Federer’s year.

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Thanks Steve I always appreciate your comments. I like how optimistic you are too. I agree that Roger can dominate for many years to come. Looking forward to making a summary post.

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  11. Just so everyone is clear, there is no rule that states the higher-ranked player gets to sit to the umpire’s left during a match. There have been numerous matches that I have just researched where the lower-ranked player had the seat on the left. Murray took the left seat vs Fed at Wimbledon as the lower-ranked guy, and at the Masters Cup in 2007, Federer took the seat to the right against Ferrer. There are more examples here:
    http://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/showthread.php?t=445644&page=4
    Basically, that article is just a baseless attempt to attack Federer, and by USA Today no less. Shame on them.

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  12. A few years back, somebody probably in this site showed a possibility of Federer continuing playing while his juniors such as Nadal and Djokovic, among others, would retire. In case of Nadal it looks pretty certain and I think that with the kind of Djokovic’s style he will also be forced to retire before Federer hangs up the racket.I frind this pretty interesting

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    Duncan D. Horne Reply:

    Well that is an intriguing notion that Federer could outlive his juniors on tour. Considering Djokovic and Murray are both 25/26, I would give them another 2-3 years at their prime, and maybe 3-4 years tops where they will be seriously challenging at majors. That would take them up to almost 30 years of age. The question then is, can Federer continue performing at a high level for another 4 years, until he’s 35? Incidentally, that would also take him to the Olympics in Rio for maybe one last shot at Olympic singles gold?!

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    Kyle Reply:

    Federer’s fitness is so elite that I have no doubt he can play at a high level until he’s 35 if he wants to, just like Agassi did (and Andre was in much worse shape physically). It rarely ever gets mentioned but I believe Roger’s fitness is better than Nadal or Djokovic’s.

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    Duncan D. Horne Reply:

    Hi Kyle,

    I have no doubts that Federer has the fitness to equal and even surpass that of Djokovic, Nadal and Murray. It’s just a question of him being able to get out of long baseline rallies which the three of them try to keep him in.

    For Federer to be successful, he has to keep the majority of the points short. If he can do that, then I’m certain he’ll last at least another 4 years and continue winning majors.

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    Kyle Reply:

    I think even when he is pushed physically, his body doesn’t feel it as bad as the others do. He is just a natural athlete. Also scheduling properly will help, and we know he’s the best in the game at that.

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  13. To give you all an idea of how fabulous Federer’s return to the top spot was, I’ll give you a few interesting data to reflect on.
    Let’s have a look at the rankings points a player had to collect together to retake the number one position in the ATP men’s singles rankings during the 2008-2012 time period :
    1° Nadal’s climb to the top spot ( august 18th 2008):
    Nadal (1): 13400 points; Federerb (2): 11860 points; DJokovic (3): 10210 points;
    2° Federer’s first return to the top spot (july 06th 2009):
    Federer (1):11220 pts.; Nadal(2) 10735 pts; Murray (3) 9450 pts; Djokovic (4) 8150 pts.
    3° Nadal’s return to the top spot (june 7th 2010):
    Nadal (1) 8700 pts; Federer (2) 8360 pts; Djokovic (3) 6675 pts; Murray (4) 5385 pts.
    4° Djokovic’s climb to the top spot (july 4th 2011)
    Djokovic (1) 13285 pts; Nadal (2) 11270 pts; Federer (3) 9230 pts; Murray (4) 6855 pts.
    5° Federer’s second return to the top spot (July 9th 2012):
    Federer (1) 11075 pts.; Djokovic (2) 11000 pts.; Nadal (3) 8905 pts ; Murray(4) pts.
    6° Djokovic’s first return to the top spot (November 5th 2012):
    Djokovic(1) 12925 pts; Federer 10265 pts; Murray (3) 8000 pts; Nadal (4) 6795 pts.
    These data show us that whereas Djokovic had to pass the 12000 pts cap to retake the number one spot from our dear Roger, whereas Nadal only needed 8700 ranking points to return to the top spot on june 7th 2010 !!!

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  14. Amazing posts by everyone! Bravo! Roger had an amazing 2012 and I love how his scheduling brilliance is at work again.

    Roger has released his 2013 schedule and he is skipping Miami and Basel. I think that it is a good decision. Roger has owned Basel and has been named the Goat of the event so there is nothing more he would wanna win from there. Miami has always been taxing and I think that schedule would be the smartest thing for Roger.

    Basically he’ll chill for 6-7 weeks now.

    Then he’ll hit it hard core in January, February and the beginning of March. Then he’ll take another 6 week brake, then he’ll play in May, June and beginning of July. Then he’ll take another 6 week break and he’ll play In August and September – then another 4 week break – and he’ll play on October – then another 2 week break and he’ll play the last two events again.

    I think it’s brilliant and that he can have another 2-3 great seasons with minimal taxing on the body.

    Roger Federer’s genius is at work again.

    Btw I told myself that if I had to choose between the the Year-end championship and number 1 ranking vs. the AO 2013 I’ll pick the second. I think that Roger has a lot of confidence. He had slight mental and physical fatigue in that final against the Djoker – issues that he’ll clean up after a nice bit of rest and recuporation.

    Hopefully he’ll show us a masterful display in Australia. He played brilliantly up to that semi with Nadal last year,

    It will definitely be a toss-up between the top 3 guys with Nadal being a WC pending his “recovery”

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  15. He is skipping Doha as well.

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    Kyle Reply:

    Good decision in my opinion. He doesn’t need the extra few matches, plus Djokovic has won the past two years at the AO with no warmup. If it works for him, it can work for Fed.
    Since he’s only playing 14 tournaments next year (15 if he goes to Basel), plus a DC tie or two, I think he’ll aim for 60 wins.

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  16. Good article as always.Ruan if you did not see the match,watch highlights and this point- ,,Moving ahead now to 5-6 in the breaker and Roger serving to stay in it. Djokovic has Roger stretched to his limits at the net after a passing shot, but Roger comes up with a genius drop volley which Djokovic runs down. Roger then makes the pass. 6-6,,was out of this world,really just for this shot making a winning that point Roger deserves to be right there on the top with Djokovic.Points won Federer 95,Djokovic 96…it says it all.I always said it and will say it,Roger is here to stay,no fricking slow step and all this crap from haters,he was toe to toe with Djoko who is in his prime,well Roger is in his prime even at this stage,i just love it..Well,peRFect year,lets see what is for us next year,wish you all happy thoughts.Roger all the way

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  17. 2012 is an amazing year, finally 7th Wimbledon title. My only wish for him in 2013 that he remains healthy hopefully win 1 GS to make it 18th GS title.

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  18. Hi Ruan, Wish you many more happy returns of the day…

    Last 2 years, we had your b’day with Roger’s WTF victory article…Waiting for your next article…

    Thanks :-)

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    Ru-an Reply:

    Hi Girish. Means a lot to me that you remembered my b-day. I will try my hardest to make a post tonight.

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