How good is it to see Roger back at number one seed for a tournament like Cincinnati, right where he belongs? And his draw doesn’t look bad at all either. But before I get to Cincinnati, let me go over Toronto which is currently going on. Of course Roger withdrew from Toronto. He didn’t have much of a choice after the Olympics. It would have been a terrible decision to play. Murray did decide to play Toronto, and had to withdraw before his quarter final meeting with Raonic due to injury.
Just goes to show once again that Roger is the GOAT at scheduling as well. It seems there is a chance Murray might miss Cincy as well now. After winning the Olympics, the Murray hype has started once again and he is now many people’s favorite to win the US Open. Sound familiar? Someone also told me Murray said that the Olympics are more important than Wimbledon, after winning the Olympics. If that is indeed true then Murray is in for another rude awakening. He doesn’t seem to learn.
Winning the Olympics has gone to his head and already he made the wrong decision by showing up in Toronto. The pressure of expectation on him has already increased ten fold since winning the Olympics, and it looks like he is already cracking under it. I’m pretty sure he is not winning the US Open for his maiden slam title. He will just have to wait a little longer to win something that really matters, or maybe forever. This is of course good news for Roger who will have one less big name to worry about.
Then Nadal is also skipping Cincy after having skipped Toronto. Doesn’t look like his injury have healed yet. Whenever Nadal is injured I’m not surprised in the least. In fact I’m surprised he doesn’t get injured more, given the nature of his playing style. It looks like he won’t be a big factor at the US Open either. That means the US Open pretty much comes down to Roger and Djokovic, which is fitting. The best player of 2012 is between these two. If either one of these wins the US Open they will be the best player of 2012.
Both of them won a slam so far and neither won the Olympics. So far Roger have clearly had the better year, but if Djokovic wins the US Open he will win 2012. It is always about the slams. Aside from winning the Australian Open, Djokovic has had an average year compared to 2011. But he can’t be counted out during the North American hard court season. He is now already in the semis of Toronto and looks like he will win that event. He’s only got Tipsarevic and the winner of Isner and Gasquet to overcome.
If he wins Toronto and then goes on to win Cincy as well then he will be number one again. We don’t want that. It’s getting interesting now. Looking at Roger’s draw in Cincy, it looks like he will make the final there at least. There is no one in his half he should lose to, especially given Berdych’s poor form of late. In the bottom half you have Djokovic, Murray, and Del Potro. I’m not sure if Murray will play or if he plays whether he’ll be fit. Del Potro made a poor showing in Toronto, losing in the second round to Stepanek.
One would have expected something better after his good showing in the Olympics, but perhaps he should have skipped the event as well. He will want to do very well in Cincy, and has the potential for it. So at least Del Potro is there to test Djokovic if Murray isn’t fit. It will be tough for Djokovic to do the Canada/Cincy double. He couldn’t even do it last year when he was almost unbeatable. But we may very well have a Djokerer final in Cincy, which would be a match to determine the number one ranking.
Whoever wins such a match would also get a big emotional boost just before the US Open. I am looking very far ahead now. Djokovic may yet lose in Toronto, in which case Roger only has to make the final in Cincy to keep the number one ranking. We are not sure what’s gonna happen at Cincy either. But the chances looks good that Roger will be ranked #1 going into the US Open. And I think it’s important for his US Open campaign. I’d like to see him come back now and win Cincy.
It’s an event that he always liked and that he did well at. He has a week of rest now and he will be fresh and still very confident. He must stamp down his authority before the all important US Open and make it clear that he is still the one to beat. Then we may well see him win #18 in New York and continue to have on of his best years on tour at age 31. The fun is about to begin…