(1) DJOKOVIC, Novak [SRB] vs. MATHIEU, Paul-Henri [FRA]
HARRISON, Ryan [USA] vs. GIRALDO, Santiago [COL]
QUALIFIER vs. LOPEZ, Feliciano [ESP]
TROICKI, Viktor [SRB] vs. (31) STEPANEK, Radek [CZE]
(20) QUERREY, Sam [USA] vs. QUALIFIER
QUALIFIER vs. BAKER, Brian [USA]
KAMKE, Tobias [GER] vs. CIPOLLA, Flavio [ITA]
QUALIFIER vs. (15) WAWRINKA, Stanislas [SUI]
(11) MONACO, Juan [ARG] vs. KUZNETSOV, Andrey [RUS]
ANDERSON, Kevin [RSA] vs. LORENZI, Paolo [ITA]
MALISSE, Xavier [BEL] vs. ANDUJAR, Pablo [ESP]
GOFFIN, David [BEL] vs. (22) VERDASCO, Fernando [ESP]
(26) MELZER, Jurgen [AUT] vs. KUKUSHKIN, Mikhail [KAZ]
FOGNINI, Fabio [ITA] vs. BAUTISTA AGUT, Roberto [ESP]
QUALIFIER vs. RUFIN, Guillaume [FRA]
RUSSELL, Michael [USA] vs. (5) BERDYCH, Tomas [CZE]
(4) FERRER, David [ESP] vs. ROCHUS, Olivier [BEL]
KARLOVIC, Ivo [CRO] vs. QUALIFIER
WC: MILLMAN, John [AUS] vs. ITO, Tatsuma [JPN]
RAMOS, Albert [ESP] vs. (28) BAGHDATIS, Marcos [CYP]
(23) YOUZHNY, Mikhail [RUS] vs. EBDEN, Matthew [AUS]
DONSKOY, Evgeny [RUS] vs. UNGUR, Adrian [ROU]
QUALIFIER vs. BERLOCQ, Carlos [ARG]
HANESCU, Victor [ROU] vs. (16) NISHIKORI, Kei [JPN]
(10) ALMAGRO, Nicolas [ESP] vs. QUALIFIER
GIMENO-TRAVER, Daniel [ESP] vs. KUBOT, Lukasz [POL]
PHAU, Bjorn [GER] vs. DEVVARMAN, Somdev [IND]
BOLELLI, Simone [ITA] vs. (24) JANOWICZ, Jerzy [POL]
(32) BENNETEAU, Julien [FRA] vs. DIMITROV, Grigor [BUL]
ROGER-VASSELIN, Edouard [FRA] vs. QUALIFIER
LACKO, Lukas [SVK] vs. MULLER, Gilles [LUX]
HEWITT, Lleyton [AUS] vs. (8) TIPSAREVIC, Janko [SRB]
(6) DEL POTRO, Juan Martin [ARG] vs. QUALIFIER
BEDENE, Aljaz [SLO] vs. BECKER, Benjamin [GER]
CHARDY, Jeremy [FRA] vs. QUALIFIER
ZEMLJA, Grega [SLO] vs. (30) GRANOLLERS, Marcel [ESP]
(21) SEPPI, Andreas [ITA] vs. ZEBALLOS, Horacio [ARG]
SIJSLING, Igor [NED] vs. ISTOMIN, Denis [UZB]
GARCIA-LOPEZ, Guillermo [ESP] vs. QUALIFIER
MATOSEVIC, Marinko [AUS] vs. (12) CILIC, Marin [CRO]
(14) SIMON, Gilles vs. VOLANDRI, Filippo [ITA]
ROBREDO, Tommy [ESP] vs. LEVINE, Jesse [CAN]
LU, Yen-Hsun [TPE] vs. RAMIREZ HIDALGO, Ruben [ESP]
MONFILS, Gael [FRA] vs. (18) DOLGOPOLOV, Alexandr [UKR]
(25) MAYER, Florian vs. WC: WILLIAMS, Rhyne [USA]
QUALIFIER vs. STAKHOVSKY, Sergiy [UKR]
SOUSA, Joao [POR] vs. WC: SMITH, John-Patrick [AUS]
HASSE, Robin [NED] vs. (3) MURRAY, Andy [GBR]
(7) TSONGA, Jo-Wilfried [FRA] vs. LLODRA, Michael [FRA]
SOEDA, Go [JPN] vs. WC: SAVILLE, Luke [AUS]
WC: DUCKWORTH, James vs. WC: MITCHELL, Benjamin [AUS]
KAVCIC, Blaz [SLO] vs. (29) BELLUCCI, Thomaz [BRA]
(19) HAAS, Tommy [GER] vs. NIEMINEN, Jarkko [FIN]
DODIG, Ivan [CRO] vs. WC: WU, Di [CHN]
WC: OUANNA, Josselin [FRA] vs. FALLA, Alejandro [COL]
MONTANES, Albert [ESP] vs. (9) GASQUET, Richard [FRA]
(13) RAONIC, Milos [CAN] vs. HAJEK, Jan [CZE]
QUALIFIER vs. ROSOL, Lukas [CZE]
QUALIFIER vs. PELLA, Guido [ARG]
DARCIS, Steve [BEL] vs. (17) KOHLSCHREIBER, Phillipp [GER]
(27) KLIZAN, Martin [SVK] vs. QUALIFIER
TOMIC, Bernard vs. MAYER, Leonardo [ARG]
QUALIFIER vs. DAVYDENKO, Nikolay [RUS]
PAIRE, Benoit [FRA] vs. (2) FEDERER, Roger [SUI]
Roger having some laughs at kids tennis day before getting down to serious business…
Hey guys. Brutal day at work but I said I would make a draw post today and I like to do what I say. Veronica has already commented on my blog in a flat spin about Roger’s draw. Haha. Here is what his path to the title looks like:
Round 1: Paire – I have never seen Paire play, but he is ranked #43 in the world so he can obviously play a bit. That’s a pretty tough first round so Roger will need to be on his game from the start. No time to ease into things. It will also be good preparation for what is to come.
Round 2: Davydenko – He comes hot off making the Doha final where he was in the dominant position against Gasquet and then blew it. On a good day he is still dangerous, but Roger has a very good record against him and should be fine if he plays well.
Round 3: Tomic – Tomic just made the Sydney final where he faces a guy I played and practiced with, Kevin Anderson. I think Tomic will win. He seems confident and have made statements of late like: ‘I can be the best player ever’. Obviously there is zero chance of that happening. He isn’t nearly talented enough and he is not mature enough either. Not yet anyway. For one thing he has no big weapons to speak of as far as his shots go. That is already enough reason that he will never be the greatest ever. He is a very cocky kid and in tennis that can be a plus. But there is a difference between confidence and arrogance. Tomic is not good enough to be as arrogant as he is. Last year he played against the 30-year old GOAT and got destroyed 6-4, 6-2, 6-2. He didn’t do much in 2012 either. I don’t see any kind of ‘changing of the guard’ in the making here. But Tomic can be a test nonetheless.
Round 4: Raonic – Another promising youngster for Roger. Raonic of course has the massive serve, which is better suited for fast courts. His game in general is better suited for fast courts, and as things stand at the moment Melbourne still counts as slow hard courts. Against a big serve like Raonic it usually comes down to one or two points in the tie break. When the surface is slow it just gives the opponent that split second extra in those moments. Just a chance for Roger to get a racquet on a return or make one more defensive play. This could be another tough test but again I like Roger 3.0’s chances.
QF: Gasquet/Tsonga – I think it will be of these two Frenchman. On their day they can no doubt be a handful, but I’d prefer them over Berdych or Del Potro any day. If Roger passes his first four rounds I think he will be confident enough to get the job done here.
SF: Murray/Del Potro – Here is starts getting really tough. Both these players are well capable of beating Roger on a good day. Roger had a very tough match with Delpo at the Olympics and lost the following two encounters. Roger won his last meeting with Murray on the other hand in London. The slower surface will count in these two player’s favor. It gives Murray a chance to run down more balls and Del Potro will have time to set up those big ground strokes. JesusFed needs to show up to advance here.
F: Djokovic – Given the draw, I think it’s pretty certain that Djokovic will be waiting in the final. We know how good he is on plexicushion and will equal Roger and Agassi at 4 Australian Open titles if he wins this year. He is the ultimate test and Goderer needs to show up if he wants to stop Djokovic from equaling him and become the Australian Open record holder himself.
Yes it is a pretty tough draw but lets look at the positives:
- No Berdych in his quarter.
- No Del Potro in his quarter.
- If he does make it through the draw to the semi-final stage it will give him confidence boost that he can go all the way.
Roger had a good break now and will be fresh. He hasn’t played competitively for a while though and he can’t allow that to cost him. He needs to lock into form right off the bat and dominate the opposition. He can’t show any weakness if he wants to first of all keep his quarter final streak alive, and second of all have a shot at the title. So the first objective is to play well form the start, the second is to make the quarter finals, and then he wants to raise his game. If he can put in a confident performance in the quarters and not drop more than a set, he will be in good shape for the semis. Then he needs to raise his game two more times and a record 5th Australian Open title is his. Easy right? Allez!
Not convinced? He is Roger Federer…