US Open Rd 2: Federer def Phau 6-2, 6-3, 6-2

Another routine win for the GOAT as expected. Jonathan from Perfect Tennis Blog told me he expected one close set but I protested. I turned out to be right. Phau is decent but Roger 3.0 is a different animal. I mean we are talking about nearly prime Fed so Phau isn’t much more than a practice match for him. I watched this match but I still need to get a box for my cable and the quality isn’t that great right now. And besides it was very one-sided. Roger once again had a high first serve percentage of 68%. He approached the net 47 times which is a lot for such a short match. I talked a bit about this in my last post.

It is important that he stays aggressive for when he faces the likes of Murray and Djokovic. He needs to show the base liners that the slowing of surface from Cincy to New York is not gonna deter him from imposing his game on his opponents. Any match is on the racquet of Roger 3.0, with the possible exception of Nadal. He has already showed that by beating Murray and Djokovic at Wimbledon. The French Open and Olympics were different circumstances. On hard courts and when not too tired he is the favorite against both of them. The only thing that can stop him from winning this title is Stupid Saturday.

Incidentally Murray had a very good win over Dodig and is suddenly looking like a threat again. Tsonga also lost which means there is no one to threaten him in the quarters. We will see how things go against Lopez and Raonic or Blake, but he can for sure stretch Roger if he makes the semis. And that is what we don’t want. If Roger plays Fish, Berdych, Murray, and Djokovic in a row, with no break between the semis and the finals, he could be in trouble. He would need to beat Fish and Berdych in straights, and lose only a set to Murray. As I said in the beginning the draw doesn’t favor him, but there is still a long way to go.

The draw is just a rough estimate of what could happen. And having a difficult draw is not necessarily a bad thing. It can prepare you for the latter rounds. Djokovic has an easy draw and it may cost him if when he plays Roger or Murray in the final. Djokovic is looking good so far, winning his first two rounds like the Djokovic of 2011. But it’s not like he is playing against giants of the game. He did the same thing in Cincy and then got bageled by Roger in the final. The most important thing is always the next round and for Roger that will be against Verdasco. He needs to win in straight sets and I’m confident he will do just that.

One match at a time…

Ps. I said this before but since I don’t have a laptop right now I can’t send out emails to my subscribers list. I apologize for that. Just check in now and then. I will start mailing you again when I get a laptop.

US Open Rd 1: Federer def Young 6-3, 6-2, 6-4

As expected a routine win for the GOAT. I expected Roger to open the bakery against Young actually, but it was just the first round and he did what needed to be done. I didn’t get to watch the match but I now have cable and should be able to see some tennis for a change. But from what I heard Roger was sweating quite a lot, something you don’t see often from him. And of course like clockwork some Fedfans would claim that he is sick. Probably it was just humid. Where I live in the US Monday was a particularly humid day since we had a lot of rain over the weekend. So probably it was the same in New York.

Roger made a high 70% of first serves. He continued his impressive net play by winning 19/23 points in the fore court. Attacking the net is something that pays off on the faster courts of Cincy, but Roger needs to keep it up in New York. I’m not sure what the court speed is like, but being offensive sure won’t hurt his chances to win the title. Roger’s winner to unforced error ratio was 27-24, which shows that he wasn’t quite at his best. He didn’t need to be. There are six matches left if he wants to win the title and he needs to peak at the right time, which of course he is a master at. Roger next faces Phau, who he leads 2-1 in the head-to-head and lost his first match against.

That first match was all the way back in 1999 though, and doesn’t have any baring on their next match. Roger should win easily in straight sets. Djokovic was pretty impressive as he only allowed Lorenzi two games. He did the same thing against Lorenzi at the Australian Open though, and obviously Lorenzi doesn’t have much faith in himself against Djokovic after that match. Murray beat Bogomolov easily but from what I hear it was terrible tennis. Murray is already showing signs of weakness it seems. I don’t think he will make semis. He plays against Dodig tonight which could be interesting if Dodig plays well.

Berdych also won in straight sets and I think him and Roger is on course for a quarter final meeting. We know how dangerous Berdych can be. He has been struggling of late but made the final of Winston Salem and lost in the third set breaker to Isner. He may just have found some form right in time for the final slam of the year. But before that Roger has Fish to deal with in the fourth round. Roger should get through his first three matches without dropping a set. He has to try and do the same against Fish. Berdych at his best is a tough customer and can take a set off Roger for sure. The main goal is to conserve energy for a possible meeting with Murray in the semis.

Because of Stupid Saturday Roger can’t afford to be drained for the final on Sunday. Murray may not make semis but Roger needs to conserve energy anyway. At age 31 he will make it difficult for himself if he plays five sets in the semis against Murray and then have to face Djokovic in the final. One match at a time though.

Lost Post

Hi guys. It’s ironic how I’m trying to make up for missing posts over the last couple of months and then I lose a post. I was making a draw and preview to the US Open post and just as I was about to finish it somehow all got erased on my Ipad. And it’s not even something I could have avoided. So believe me I’m not happy about it but I am not doing it over as it took me two hours to do. I thought it was a pretty good post as well. Oh well, at least I ordered a TV now and it should be here from Monday-Wednesday. Then I should be able to watch some of the tennis with you guys for a change and blog about it.

Since my post got lost I will now leave the floor open for you where you can discuss the draw. I will also give my input. There is a lot to discuss. The main thing is that Murray is in Roger’s half and with Stupid Saturday that could be a factor. However there is a long time to go before next weekend and a lot can happen. The main thing for Roger is to win his matches before the final as easily as possible and conserve energy that way. I think he can do that. His first rounds should be easy. From the fourth round onwards it gets harder. Here is the draw again:

http://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/ms/r1s1.html